Sporting Lisbon vs SC Braga Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
05/10/2025 14:15
SC Braga

Prediction :

 

Sporting Lisbon to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Sporting Lisbon and Sporting Braga had contrasting outings in Europe but will converge in Primeira Liga on Sunday, eyeing three points. Sporting will host Braga, looking to keep in touch with league leaders Porto as Braga goes for a first league win in six. We have a prediction for the match below. 

Sporting are coming from a 2-1 defeat to Napoli in the Champions League. That marked their third defeat in 10 matches so far in the season. The Portuguese champions have won all the rest of the games. 

That will form the basis of their confidence coming here. With Porto facing Benfica on the same day, Sporting will hope to finish this weekend on top.

Braga haven't been an easy opponent for Sporting over the past few meetings. The last time they visited Sporting, they forced a 1-1 draw.

Following a tough start to their domestic campaign, it remains to be seen if they can pull another tough match on Sporting. The visitors are coming from a second win in the Europe League, after beating Celtic 2-0 away from home.

They have failed to replicate such form in domestic action and arrive for this match winless in the last five Primeira Liga outings.


 

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Sporting Lisbon v SC Braga Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.51 4.3 6
1xbet
1.51 4.51 6.77
Melbet
1.47 4.58 6.45
Betwinner
1.45 4.52 7
Bet365
1.49 4.1 6
Check all Sporting Lisbon vs SC Braga odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and SC Braga?

Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs SC Braga match is: Sporting Lisbon to win and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between Sporting Lisbon and SC Braga in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.74% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against SC Braga with odds of 1.51 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs SC Braga is 18.31% with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.95% chance ⭐ for a win of SC Braga vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 7 at Betwinner.

Sporting Lisbon - SC Braga Prediction and Best Odds:

Sporting Lisbon SC Braga Prediction Probability Odds
Sporting Lisbon wins 43.74% 1.51 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 58.01% 1.9 at Stake
Both Team To Score: No 57.08%
Half-time / Full-time : Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon 17.58% 2.3 at Bet365

Sporting Lisbon vs SC Braga Form

Sporting Lisbon and SC Braga's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Sporting Lisbon
82 34 25 7 2 +65
4 SC Braga
59 34 16 11 7 +28

Sporting Lisbon and SC Braga Last Matches

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Last matches
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

27 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

22 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Moreirense

18 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Kairat Almaty

13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Porto
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Moreirense

18 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Kairat Almaty

30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Porto

17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
6 :  0
Arouca

31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  0
Villarreal
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

27 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  3
Sporting Lisbon
SC Braga
SC Braga Last matches
D L D W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Celtic
0 :  2
SC Braga

28 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
0 :  1
Nacional Madeira

24 Sept 2025 - Europa League

SC Braga
1 :  0
Feyenoord

20 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  1
SC Braga

14 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
0 :  1
Gil Vicente

31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  2
SC Braga
W D W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
0 :  1
Nacional Madeira

24 Sept 2025 - Europa League

SC Braga
1 :  0
Feyenoord

14 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
0 :  1
Gil Vicente

28 Aug 2025 - Europa League

SC Braga
5 :  1
Lincoln Red Imps

24 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
2 :  2
AVS Futebol SAD

14 Aug 2025 - Europa League

SC Braga
2 :  0
CFR Cluj
W W W D D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Celtic
0 :  2
SC Braga

20 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  1
SC Braga

31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  2
SC Braga

21 Aug 2025 - Europa League

Lincoln Red Imps
0 :  4
SC Braga

17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
0 :  3
SC Braga

7 Aug 2025 - Europa League

CFR Cluj
1 :  2
SC Braga

Sporting Lisbon vs SC Braga Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sporting Lisbon

50 %

Draw

33 %

SC Braga

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

7 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  1
SC Braga

10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
2 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

11 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  0
SC Braga

23 Jan 2024 - Portugal League Cup

SC Braga
1 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

3 Sept 2023 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

1 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  0
SC Braga

Sporting Lisbon against SC Braga Lineups: Starting 11

Sporting Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
Rui Silva
13
G. Vagiannidis
6
Z. Debast
25
G. Inacio
20
M. Araujo
5
H. Morita
42
M. Hjulmand
7
G. Quenda
17
Trincao
8
P. Goncalves
97
L. Suarez
21
R. Horta
18
P. Victor
10
R. Zalazar
8
J. Moutinho
6
V. Carvalho
27
F. Grillitsch
5
L. Lelo
4
S. Niakate
14
G. Lagerbielke
2
V. Gomez
1
L. Hornicek

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

SC Braga

Substitutes

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Goalkeeper

J. Virginia

Defender

I. Fresneda

G. Vagiannidis 90'

O. Diomande

R. Mangas

Quaresma

Midfielder

A. Santos

Trincao 65'

G. Catamo

G. Quenda 90'

G. Kochorashvili

H. Morita 64'

Forward

F. Ioannidis

L. Suarez 73'

SC Braga
SC Braga
Goalkeeper

A. Bellaarouch

Defender

B. Arrey-Mbi

S. Niakate 73'

Midfielder

J. Gorby

J. Moutinho 55'

D. Rodrigues

Y. da Rocha

F. Navarro

P. Victor 46'

Forward

S. Vidigal

L. Lelo 83'

A. El Ouazzani

G. Martinez

V. Gomez 73'

Missing players

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
SC Braga
SC Braga
Midfielder

M. Dorgeles

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
CD Huachipato SC Braga
Top Goalscorer
Colombia L. Suarez (28 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Uruguay R. Zalazar (16 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal F. Trincao (11 Assists)
Best assists
Uruguay R. Zalazar (5 Assists)
Spain V. Gomez (5 Assists)

Sporting Lisbon - SC Braga Key Points

  1. Braga are winless in their last five Primeira Liga matches.
  2. Sporting won seven of their 10 matches played this season.
  3. Four of Sporting’ last five league games had over 2.5 goals.
  4. Braga conceded 17 goals in their last five meetings with Sporting.
  5. 12 goals were scored in Sporting’ three home league matches this season.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs SC Braga Prediction

Sporting have a history of bouncing back from defeat with wins. After their Champions League disappointment, they’ll be favorites to claim three points here. This is a match they’ve not only dominated but also scored a lot of goals in.

Sporting scored a total of 17 goals in their last five meetings with Braga. Braga failed to score in three of those matches but can never be overlooked. Our prediction for Sporting Lisbon v Sporting Braga is for Sporting Lisbon to win and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Sporting Lisbon to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon SC Braga

Sporting Lisbon vs SC Braga Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sporting Lisbon wins 1.51 1.51 0%
Draw 4.3 4.7 +9.3%
SC Braga wins 6 7 +16.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 66.2% and is now 66.2% (0.0%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sporting Lisbon vs SC Braga Prediction