Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sporting Lisbon will welcome Benfica to the Jose Alvalade Stadium for the latest installment of the Lisbon Derby this Sunday. This will be a league game, as the two giants face off for the third time this season. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
In the first meeting of the season between these two, Benfica carried the day, winning 1-0 in the Super Cup game. They met again in December in the Primeira Liga, a game hosted by Benfica, but that could only yield a 1-1 draw. After completing five meetings in the 2025 calendar year, they come here to face off for the first time in 2026.
This match has lately been heavy on draws, as five of the last eight meetings have seen the teams end it all square. On the Liga Portugal table, two points separate the sides, as Sporting starts the round in second spot and Benfica third.
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Sporting Lisbon v Benfica Lisbon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.5 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.5 | 3.48 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.5 | 3.48 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.5 | 3.35 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/04/2026 between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.61% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 2.55 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon is 25.2% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Lisbon Benfica Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 43.61% | 2.55 at BC Game |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.1% | 1.83 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 51.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon | 21.59% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
82 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +65 |
|
3
|
80 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | +49 |
Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
3 Mar 2026 - Taca de Portugal
27 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis
This has been a difficult month for Portuguese football as far as European competitions are concerned. Two of the country’s remaining three teams in Europe were eliminated. Sporting was at the height of it as a superbly defensive Arsenal locked them out of the Champions League with a 1-0 aggregate defeat.
The Lions resume their title defense, having only lost once in the league but trailing the leaders Porto by five points. With a game in hand, Sporting will be looking to slash that buffer to just two points.
Sporting haven’t beaten any of the three top four teams this season.
Such plans will be met by another rock-solid outfit in Benfica, the only side yet to taste defeat in the league. Jose Mourinho’s side has been built around defensive solidity and a modest attack. Across the top three, they are the lowest scorers, with 55 goals, and aren’t the strongest defensively, having conceded 18 times in 29 games.
As Benfica didn’t have any midweek commitments, they will go into this game fresher, keen on building on the 2-0 win against Nacional. A win here will feed superbly into their ambitions for the season. A record of 10 wins in 14 away league matches offers enough motivation for the Eagles.
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Sporting Lisbon against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Virginia
DefenderG. Vagiannidis
Z. Debast
R. Mangas
MidfielderS. Blopa
D. Braganca
G. Kochorashvili
ForwardR. Nel
G. Quenda
S. Soares
DefenderA. Silva
S. Lopes Cabral
A. Bah
MidfielderE. Barrenechea
G. Sudakov
ForwardR. Silva
D. Lukebakio
V. Pavlidis
Missing players
I. Fresneda
MidfielderL. Guilherme
ForwardF. Ioannidis
O. Kokcu
J. Veloso
Sporting Lisbon & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis
Sporting’s Luis Suarez will be happy to return to his stomping ground after two difficult matches against Arsenal. With Sporting limited to a 0.29 xG by the Gunners, Suarez was starved in attack and didn’t have an impact whatsoever.
However, here he leads the scoring charts, with 24 goals, and will be keen on adding to the tally. Geovany Quenda is back from a foot injury, but Rui Borges is keen on how to use him. So, after two substitute appearances since his return, he may be benched again here.
Benfica’s Tomas Araujo is set to miss a fifth straight game with injury.
Benfica will also parade their leading scorer in this crucial encounter. Vangelis Pavlidis hasn’t had the best of times for both club and country but hopes to add to his 21 league goals this term. The Greek forward has also provided four assists, and even at his lowest, he remains a key member of Jose Mourinho’s team.
Another important player for the visitors is Fredrik Aursnes, who is returning from a muscle problem. The Norwegian will boost both the defensive and attacking aspects of Benfica’s midfield.
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
L. Suarez
(28 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(22 Goals)
F. Trincao
(11 Assists)
A. Schjelderup
(6 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Twice in their last five matches, Benfica have drawn.
- Five of these teams’ last eight meetings ended in draws.
- Sporting are winless in five games against top four sides, drawing four.
- These sides have drawn a combined 14 games in the league this season.
- At home against Benfica, Sporting failed to win three times in six, drawing twice.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
Four of Benfica’s nine draws this season have come in away matches. That, and their run of form away to Sporting, points us to a possible draw. Sporting are coming off a challenging away game at Arsenal, which might have taken a toll on them physically.
They have also failed to beat any of the other three sides in the top four. Both sides would want to win this so badly, but most signs point to sharing spoils. Therefore, our prediction for Sporting Lisbon v Benfica is for a draw.
Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Alternative Predictions
BTTS
Sporting went for 180 minutes without scoring against Arsenal. That is a rare occurrence for the Portuguese giants. We are backing them to return to their scoring ways here, having rarely failed to score in the domestic league.
Benfica are also prolific in attack in their own respect, and we are backing them to hit the back of the net as well. As only two clean sheets have been recorded in this fixture in the last 10 meetings, we are also backing BTTS as our second prediction.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Benfica Lisbon
| Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 2.08 | 2.55 | +22.6% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.6 | +1.4% |
| Benfica Lisbon wins | 3.2 | 3.5 | +9.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 22.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.1% and is now 39.2% (-8.9%)
Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon - FAQs
The Sporting v Benfica match will be played at the Jose Alvalade Stadium in Lisbon.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
