Sporting Lisbon vs FC Alverca SAD Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
31/10/2025 16:15
FC Alverca SAD

Prediction :

 

Sporting Lisbon to win and under 3.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Alverca will travel to Estadio Jose Alvalade to trade tackles with Sporting Lisbon on matchday ten of the Liga Portugal. Alverca are in 12th place in the league standings, while Sporting Lisbon are in second place and three points behind first-placed FC Porto. Here's our match prediction.

Sporting Lisbon continued their impressive run with a 5-1 home thrashing of Alverca in the Taca da Liga quarter-finals. That marked their third consecutive win and also extended their unbeaten run to five matches.

Prior to this, the Lions had no trouble seeing off the threat of Tondela in a 3-0 away league victory. This result served as consolation for their 1-1 home draw against Braga.

Their current home performance has been terrific. Unbeaten in their last five matches, including a two-match winning streak, Rui Borges charges will fancy their chances of a favorable outcome.

Indeed, Alverca did suffer a humiliating cup defeat at the hands of Sporting Lisbon, and they are out to exact revenge. However, that will be easier said than done, considering they've suffered two consecutive defeats and are winless in three. 

In their last league games, O maior do Ribatejo succumbed to a 4-0 home defeat against ten-man Gil Vicente.

In unfamiliar territory, their performance has left much to be desired. They managed to record their first win against AVS Futebol SAD to end a three-match winless run.

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Sporting Lisbon v FC Alverca SAD Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.12 8.8 20
1xbet
1.11 11.5 23
Melbet
1.1 10.5 20
Betwinner
1.12 9.9 17
Bet365
1.08 9.5 19
Check all Sporting Lisbon vs FC Alverca SAD odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and FC Alverca SAD?

Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs FC Alverca SAD match is: Sporting Lisbon to win and under 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/10/2025 between Sporting Lisbon and FC Alverca SAD in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.57% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against FC Alverca SAD with odds of 1.16 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs FC Alverca SAD is 16.73% with odds of 11.5 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.71% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Alverca SAD vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 23 at 1xbet.

Sporting Lisbon - FC Alverca SAD Prediction and Best Odds:

Sporting Lisbon FC Alverca SAD Prediction Probability Odds
Sporting Lisbon wins 62.57% 1.16 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals 79.86% 1.47 at Stake
Both Team To Score 79.17%
Half-time / Full-time : Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon 29.18% 1.5 at Bet365

Sporting Lisbon vs FC Alverca SAD Form

Sporting Lisbon and FC Alverca SAD's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Sporting Lisbon
82 34 25 7 2 +65
11 FC Alverca SAD
39 34 10 9 15 -17

Sporting Lisbon and FC Alverca SAD Last Matches

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Last matches
L D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

28 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

26 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

22 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Marseille

18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Pacos Ferreira
2 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  1
SC Braga

1 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  1
Sporting Lisbon
L W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

28 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

22 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Marseille

5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  1
SC Braga

22 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Moreirense

18 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Kairat Almaty

30 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Porto
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Pacos Ferreira
2 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

1 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Napoli
2 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

27 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

23 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon
FC Alverca SAD
FC Alverca SAD Last matches
L W W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

28 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

24 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
0 :  4
Gil Vicente

18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal

UD Leiria
2 :  2
FC Alverca SAD

4 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
1 :  3
FC Alverca SAD

28 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

20 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  1
FC Alverca SAD
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
0 :  4
Gil Vicente

28 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

12 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
1 :  0
Tondela

31 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
0 :  3
SC Braga

16 May 2025 - Segunda Liga

FC Alverca SAD
2 :  1
Portimonense
L D L W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

28 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal

UD Leiria
2 :  2
FC Alverca SAD

4 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
1 :  3
FC Alverca SAD

20 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

25 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
2 :  2
FC Alverca SAD

10 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
2 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

Sporting Lisbon vs FC Alverca SAD Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sporting Lisbon

50 %

Draw

0 %

FC Alverca SAD

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

28 Oct 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

17 Oct 2019 - Taca de Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
2 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

Sporting Lisbon against FC Alverca SAD Lineups: Starting 11

Sporting Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Silva
22
I. Fresneda
26
O. Diomande
25
Goncalo Inacio
20
M. Araujo
42
M. Hjulmand
52
J. Simoes
10
G. Catamo
17
F. Trincao
8
P. Goncalves
97
L. Suarez
9
Marezi
11
C. Nuozzi
18
Lincoln
55
F. Chissumba Rodrigues
8
Amorim
21
S. Abdulai
2
N. Touaizi
33
B. Meupiyou
5
S. Gomez
4
Naves
13
A. Gomes

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

FC Alverca SAD

Substitutes

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Goalkeeper

J. Virginia

Defender

Quaresma

G. Vagiannidis

I. Fresneda 15'

M. Reis

Midfielder

A. Santos

L. Suarez 78'

H. Morita

P. Goncalves 79'

G. Kochorashvili

Forward

F. Ioannidis

J. Simoes 59'

G. Quenda

G. Catamo 59'

FC Alverca SAD
FC Alverca SAD
Goalkeeper

M. Mendes

Defender

G. Esteves

K. de Souza Gomes

S. Abdulai 81'

S. Baseya

Midfielder

D. Gui

Lincoln 69'

G. Cabezas

D. Sousa Martins

Forward

T. Leite

C. Nuozzi 81'

S. Lima

Marezi 60'

Missing players

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Defender

Z. Debast

FC Alverca SAD
FC Alverca SAD
Midfielder

T. Mendes

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
CD Huachipato FC Alverca SAD
Top Goalscorer
Colombia L. Suarez (28 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Serbia Marezi (9 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal F. Trincao (11 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Lincoln (5 Assists)
Spain N. Touaizi (5 Assists)

Sporting Lisbon - FC Alverca SAD Key Points

  1. Sporting Lisbon have seen their last six league games end with under 3.5 goals.
  2. Alverca have seen four of their last six league games end with under 3.5 goals.
  3. Sporting Lisbon have won their last three league games against Alverca.
  4. Alverca have lost their last three away matches across all competitions against Sporting Lisbon.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs FC Alverca SAD Prediction

Despite a heavy rotation in their last cup game against Alverca, Sporting Lisbon still came out on top in commanding style. That goes to show the disparity in class and quality. This should be another easy win for the home team, who are overwhelming favorites to snatch three points. 

Alverca faces a tough test against Sporting Lisbon, and defeat in this one is inevitable. They have lost five of their last six matches in this fixture. Four of those outings produced under 3.5 goals. Our Sporting Lisbon vs Alverca prediction: Sporting Lisbon to win and under 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Sporting Lisbon to win and under 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon FC Alverca SAD

Sporting Lisbon vs FC Alverca SAD Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sporting Lisbon wins 1.12 1.16 +3.6%
Draw 9 11.5 +27.8%
FC Alverca SAD wins 22 23 +4.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 3.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 89.3% and is now 86.2% (-3.1%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sporting Lisbon vs FC Alverca SAD Prediction