Spain vs USA Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's World Cup
World - Women's World Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Women's World Cup Predictions
Sixth-ranked Spain face their biggest test in the 2026 FIBA Women's World Cup when they trade tackles with World No. 1 and defending champions the USA in the semi-finals. While the Spaniards will be looking for their first win in 10 attempts against the USA, they have been promising against higher-ranked opponents and are likely to stretch this encounter, hence our prediction backing them to cover the spread.
Megan DiLeo and Iyana Martin combined for 30 points as Spain shot 47% from the field, including 38% from deep, to steamroll Asian champions Australia 89–66 in the quarter-finals on Thursday. That result marked their third consecutive win against a higher-ranked team in the tournament.
Notably, Miguel Méndez's team have won nine of their last 10 games, dating back to the qualifying tournament. They have kept their recent losses within competitive margins, including an 84–70 defeat to the USA in the last meeting between the two sides.
The USA ran riot against Hungary, crushing the European side 108–56 in the quarter-finals to secure the second-highest winning margin of the tournament. That result extended their winning streak to 26 games, a run stretching back to 2024. However, they may struggle to cover the handicap against a firm Spanish side.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Spain v USA Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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11 | 1.02 |
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17 | 1.01 |
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16 | 1.01 |
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13.4 | 1.01 |
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13.4 | 1.01 |
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Who will win the Spain vs USA Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Spain vs USA match is: Spain +23.5 handicap.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Spain vs USA game on 12/09/2026 of the current Women's World Cup season:
- Spain has a 15.65% chance to pick up the win against USA according to Betsson ⭐ with the odds of 20.
- There is a probability of 84.35% ⭐ for USA to win vs Spain with odds of 1.03 at Tonybet.
Spain vs USA Form
Spain and USA Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
10 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
7 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
29 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
29 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
10 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
7 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
10 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
7 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
6 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
10 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
7 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
5 Jul 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
6 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
6 Jul 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women
30 Jun 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women
Spain vs USA Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
Players list
M. Cazorla
I. Martin
M. Conde
J. Young
C. Gray
B. Stewart
K. Copper
N. Collier
Substitutes
E. Buenavida
H. Pueyo
M. Ortiz
A. Florez Getino
A. Torrens
R. Howard
C. Clark
P. Bueckers
S. Citron
A. Reese
K. Iriafen
A. Boston
Spain - USA Key Points
- Spain have won their last three games against higher-ranked opponents.
- Spain have won nine of their last 10 games.
- Spain have covered the handicap in each of their last 11 defeats.
- The USA failed to cover the handicap in their most recent meeting with Spain.
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Our Spain vs USA Prediction
Bookmakers have backed the USA heavily to win this contest comfortably given their terrific performances so far. However, the defending champions are unlikely to have it all their way against a determined and in-form Spanish side.
Spain have not only been formidable recently, but have also proved their mettle in their last three encounters with higher-ranked opposition. They have also kept their recent losses within respectable margins and are likely to cover the handicap against the USA. Our Spain vs USA prediction: Spain +23.5 handicap.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Spain vs. USA game!
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Try your luck on this year's Women's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
