England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
Southampton had a most welcome win at QPR in midweek. That win moved them up to 19th in the Championship and now they are home to bottom-of-the-table Sheffield Wednesday. Can the Saints get a home win? Read our match prediction below.
Home form has been a big problem for the Saints all year. Last season saw them relegated from the Premier League and it's not gone well in the Championship this term. They have only won one of their six home league fixtures this season.
Just ten goals have been scored in those six games at St Mary's with under 2.5 goals scored in the last four.
It's been a nightmare season for Sheffield Wednesday. The club is in administration and under a transfer embargo. A 12 points deduction means they begin the weekend on -4 points, 17 away from safety.
Just one league game has been won by the Owls. They are unbeaten in their last two league games but both were drawn. After a goalless draw at West Brom last weekend, Wednesday drew 1-1 at home with struggling Norwich on Wednesday.
Three of their last four league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
We tip that statistic to come up again this weekend.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Sheffield Wednesday Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1.41 | 4.75 | 6 |
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|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 7 |
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|
|
1.44 | 4.33 | 6.5 |
|
|
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1.45 | 4.5 | 6 |
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|
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1.41 | 4.7 | 7 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Sheffield Wednesday?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Sheffield Wednesday match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/11/2025 between Southampton and Sheffield Wednesday in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.74% for a win of Southampton against Sheffield Wednesday with odds of 1.45 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Sheffield Wednesday is 44.21% with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Sheffield Wednesday vs Southampton with odds of 7 at Betfred.
Southampton - Sheffield Wednesday Prediction and Best Odds:
| Southampton Sheffield Wednesday Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 44.21% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.12% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | 1.88 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 19.57% | 7 at Bet365 |
Southampton vs Sheffield Wednesday Form
Southampton and Sheffield Wednesday's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
18 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -3 |
|
24
|
-4 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -17 |
Southampton and Sheffield Wednesday Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
16 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
13 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
Southampton vs Sheffield Wednesday Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Jan 2024 - Championship
4 Aug 2023 - Championship
9 Nov 2022 - Carabao Cup
Southampton against Sheffield Wednesday Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
Welington
E. Jelert Kristensen
MidfielderS. Charles
ForwardS. Edozie
R. Stewart
C. Archer
P. Charles
DefenderD. Bernard
G. Siqueira
E. Weaver
MidfielderN. Chalobah
O. Kobacki
G. Brown
Most goals and assists
Southampton - Sheffield Wednesday Key Points
- Southampton's six home league games this season have seen only ten goals scored.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in the last four Southampton home league fixtures.
- Three of Sheffield Wednesday's last four league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Wednesday have conceded 26 league goals this season but just one in the last two.
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Our Southampton vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction
The midweek performances of these two clubs should boost their confidence. Southampton got a very welcome away win at QPR, while Wednesday earned their second successive draw. Saints must not cure their home blues if they want to continue to climb away from the bottom three.
Wednesday already look doomed to relegatiion after the 12 points deduction. Their main aim is to get stable management of the club. Both clubs struggle for goals and our Southampton v Sheffield Wednesday prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Sheffield Wednesday
| Southampton vs Sheffield Wednesday | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 1.3 | 1.41 | +8.5% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 4.75 | 0% |
| Sheffield Wednesday wins | 8 | 6 | -25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 21.1% and is now 21.1% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Southampton vs. Sheffield Wednesday game!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.