Lorenzo Sonego vs Rei Sakamoto Prediction & Betting Tips - Hong Kong Open
ATP - Hong Kong Open
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions
RO32 action in the Hong Kong Open will continue on Tuesday with the first game featuring the first meeting between Lorenzo Sonego and Rei Sakamoto. Sonego is the stronger and more accomplished player, but Sakamoto is fresh off winning a Challenger 75 title and eager for a deep run in his next. Let's get into this match prediction.
Sonego was inches away from a Metz Open final in his last singles, but lost the lead to Cameron Norrie in the semifinals. He failed to extend his record of four ATP titles after last winning the Winston-Salem Open in 2024. However, the Italian will feel he can take the Hong Kong Open or at least make a much deeper run than a RO32 exit
Sonego's opponent, however, is a quickly rising 19-year-old who is continually proving quality on the grand stages. Sakamoto just won the Yokohama Challenger 75, making it his third ATP Challenger singles title (two in 2025). It's true that Sonego will be a step up from the level of player Rei has been facing.
However, that won't discourage the Japanese man who beat 77-ranked Adam Walton without dropping a set in the Japan Open qualifying stages in September. The question now is, what's the best bet? See key stats below!
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The Best Betting Odds for Lorenzo Sonego v Rei Sakamoto Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.44 | 2.75 |
|
|
1.45 | 2.76 |
|
|
1.47 | 2.54 |
|
|
1.45 | 2.65 |
|
|
1.47 | 2.69 |
|
Who will win the Lorenzo Sonego vs Rei Sakamoto Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Lorenzo Sonego vs Rei Sakamoto match is: Sonego wins in two sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Sonego vs Rei Sakamoto game on 06/01/2026 of the current Hong Kong Open season:
- Lorenzo Sonego has a 55.06% chance to win against Rei Sakamoto according to BC Game ⭐ with the odds of 1.47.
- Rei Sakamoto has a 44.94% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Sonego ⭐ with odds of 2.76 at Melbet.
Lorenzo Sonego vs Rei Sakamoto Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Sonego has a 55.06 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Sonego | 55.06 % |
| Rei Sakamoto | 44.94 % |
Lorenzo Sonego vs Rei Sakamoto Form
Lorenzo Sonego and Rei Sakamoto Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Nov 2025 - Moselle Open
6 Nov 2025 - Moselle Open
4 Nov 2025 - Moselle Open
3 Nov 2025 - Moselle Open
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
11 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
2 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
30 Sept 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
29 Sept 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
22 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
22 Sept 2025 - ATP Japan Open
Lorenzo Sonego - Rei Sakamoto Key Points
- Sonego is ranked 39th in the world, much higher than Sakamoto at 200.
- Sonego is much more accomplished on the professional level, with four ATP singles titles over the top 100 players.
- Sakamoto has a lower career win rate (52.8%) than Lorenzo Sonego (55.6%).
- Lorenzo has won five of his last seven games, with wins over world no.8, 22, 46, and 48.
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Our Lorenzo Sonego vs Rei Sakamoto Prediction
Rei Sakamoto is definitely a skilled player who can trouble Sonego, but we're backing the Italian to win in straight sets for very good reason. The experience gap is huge, with Sonego constantly facing the world's best, while Sakamoto's latest achievement came against players placed 250-400 in the ATP rankings.
What's more, Sonego still has a better career win ratio, edging the Japanese man 55.6% to 52.8%. Hence, our Lorenzo Sonego vs Rei Sakamoto prediction is that Sonego wins in two sets.
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Try your luck on this year's Hong Kong Open! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
