Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
It could be another record breaking day for top seed Jannik Sinner. He faces Spanish wild card Rafael Jodar in the quarter-finals of the Mutua Madrid Open. Can the Italian make it 21 wins in Masters events this year? Read our match prediction below.
The winner will be up against either 21st seed Arthur Fils or 11th-seeded Jiri Lehecka in the last four.
Tuesday saw Sinner defeat Cameron Norrie 6-2 7-5 and that took him level with Novak Djokovic for winning his first 20 matches of the year in Masters tournaments. Sinner has won 27 of his 29 matches this year and all eight of those played on clay. He's made it to the last eight for the loss of one set.
That was in his opening match against Benjamin Bonzi. Three of his last four matches have had more than 19.5 games played in them.
Rafael Jodar has actually won more matches than Sinner this year. His fourth round win over Vit Kopriva took his 2026 record to 30-8 with 12 out of 13 on clay won. One title in Marrakech has been won and he was a semi-finalist in Barcelona.
Jodar is up to a career-high 34th in the live rankings.
We tip Sinner to win and more than 19.5 games.
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Jannik Sinner v Rafael Jodar Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.17 | 5 |
|
|
1.12 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.13 | 6 |
|
|
1.14 | 5 |
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|
1.14 | 5 |
|
Who will win the Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar match is: Jannik Sinner wins and more than 19.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar game on 29/04/2026 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Jannik Sinner has a 69.12% chance to win against Rafael Jodar according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.17.
- Rafael Jodar has a 30.88% probability of winning facing Jannik Sinner ⭐ with odds of 6.5 at Shangrila.
Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jannik Sinner has a 69.12 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | 69.12 % |
| Rafael Jodar | 30.88 % |
Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar Form
Jannik Sinner and Rafael Jodar Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
28 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
12 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
11 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
10 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
22 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
18 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
17 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Jannik Sinner - Rafael Jodar Key Points
- Sinner has won his last 20 matches.
- More than 19.5 games have been played in three of Sinner's last four matches.
- Jodar has played more than 19.5 games in three of his last five matches.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Both players have played one in three of their last four matches.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar Prediction
Jannik Sinner is on a great unbeaten run at present and on course to win another Masters tournament. Only one set has been dropped by the world number one in this outdoor clay court tournament but three of his last four matches have had more than 19.5 games played.
He takes on Rafael Jodar and this could be the start of a great rivalry between these two players. Jodar has won one ATP Tour title on this surface this year Our Jannik SInner v Rafael Jodar prediction is Jannik Sinner wins and more than 19.5.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
