Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 1 Italy
Jannik Sinner
28/04/2026 05:00
ATP 29 Great Britain
Cameron Norrie

Prediction :

 

Jannik Sinner wins and more than 17.5

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

Top seed Jannik Sinner is attempting to create history in this Mutua Madrid Open. He faces 19th seed Cameron Norrie in round four of this outdoor clay court Masters tournament. Read our match prediction below.

The winner will face either wild card Rafael Jodar or unseeded Vita Kopriva in the last eight.

Jannik Sinner has won his last three tournaments and all of them were ATP Masters 1000 events. After hard court wins at Indian Wells and Miami, the Italian won the Monte Carlo Masters on clay.

Winning this title for the first time would see him become the first man to win the first four Masters tournaments of the season. It'd also be a record five straight Masters titles. It's not been plain sailing so far in Madrid though.

He's beaten Benjamin Bonzi (after losing the first set) and then Elmer Moller in straight sets.

Cameron Norrie had lost in round three of this tournament in each of the past four years. The British number one has finally made it to the last 16 but has also lost a set. Three were needed to beat Tomas Machac but he then beat Thiago Agustin Tirante 7-5 7-6.

We tip Sinner to win with more than 17.5 games played.

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Jannik Sinner v Cameron Norrie Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.01 15
Betwinner
1.01 15
Bet365
1.02 19
Roobet
1 12
BC Game
1 12
Check all Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie odds

Who will win the Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie match is: Jannik Sinner wins and more than 17.5 games.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie game on 28/04/2026 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Jannik Sinner has a 81.84% chance to win against Cameron Norrie according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.03.
  • Cameron Norrie has a 18.16% probability of winning facing Jannik Sinner ⭐ with odds of 19 at Bet365.

Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jannik Sinner has a 81.84 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Jannik Sinner81.84 %
Cameron Norrie18.16 %

Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie Form

Jannik Sinner and Cameron Norrie Last Matches

Jannik Sinner Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

26 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Elmer Moller

24 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  1
Benjamin Bonzi

12 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Carlos Alcaraz
0 :  2
Jannik Sinner

11 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Alexander Zverev
0 :  2
Jannik Sinner

10 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Felix Auger Aliassime
0 :  2
Jannik Sinner

9 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Tomas Machac
1 :  2
Jannik Sinner
Cameron Norrie Last matches
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

26 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Cameron Norrie
2 :  0
Thiago Agustin Tirante

24 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Cameron Norrie
2 :  1
Tomas Machac

17 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Cameron Norrie
0 :  2
Rafael Jodar

15 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Cameron Norrie
2 :  1
Ethan Quinn

13 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Cameron Norrie
2 :  1
Stan Wawrinka

7 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Cameron Norrie
1 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Jannik Sinner - Cameron Norrie Key Points

  1. Six of Sinner's last nine matches have seen more than 17.5 games played.
  2. Sinner has won his last 19 matches, winning three titles in the process.
  3. Sinner is the world number one in the live rankings, 17 places above his opponent.
  4. More than 17.5 games have been played in seven of Norrie's last eight matches.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Jannik Sinner is on a fantastic winning streak at present. He's chasing a fourth consecutive Masters title this year and fifth overall. With the news Carlos Alcaraz won't be playing at Roland Garros this year, he looks set for a very successful clay court season.

He did drop a set in his opening match this week though. Cameron Norrie has made a good start to his clay court season and is up to 18th in the live rankings. Our Jannik Sinner v Cameron Norrie prediction is Jannik Sinner wins and more than 17.5 games.

Prediction :

 

Jannik Sinner wins and more than 17.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie Prediction