Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Sevilla
17/05/2026 13:00
Real Madrid

Prediction :

 

Real Madrid wins

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in LaLiga Predictions

Second-place Real Madrid travel to face 12th-place Sevilla in this La Liga Matchday 37 clash on Sunday. They have endured a disappointing campaign this term across all fronts, but a significant 37-point gap separates them from relegation-threatened Sevilla. Los Blancos remain unbeaten against Rojiblancos across their 14 La Liga meetings since 2019 and have won their last four matchups with the Andalusian club, supporting our prediction for an away victory. 

Sevilla have positioned themselves strongly in the race to survive the tight relegation battle following a strong recent run of results. Los Nervionenses came from behind to secure a crucial 3–2 victory over Villarreal last time out, marking their third straight win. 

However, that resurgence comes under a stern test against Real Madrid on Sunday. The last time they defeated the 36-time La Liga champions was in 2018. Since then, the Seville-based outfit have gone winless across their 14 meetings against the Meringues.

Meanwhile, Real Madrid head into this clash looking to salvage some pride after a largely disappointing season. They defeated Real Oviedo 2–0 on Thursday to recover from last week's title-deciding defeat in the El Clasico. Los Blancos are unbeaten in their last six away matches against Sevilla, winning five.

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Sevilla v Real Madrid Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.25 3.6 2.2
Melbet
3.28 3.44 2.18
Betwinner
3.28 3.44 2.18
Bet365
3.1 3.5 2.15
Roobet
3.15 3.45 2.18
Check all Sevilla vs Real Madrid odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Sevilla and Real Madrid?

Our prediction for the Sevilla vs Real Madrid match is: Real Madrid wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Sevilla and Real Madrid in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.52% for a win of Sevilla against Real Madrid with odds of 3.4 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sevilla vs Real Madrid is 24.05% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 38.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Sevilla with odds of 2.27 at 888Starz.

Sevilla - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:

Sevilla Real Madrid Prediction Probability Odds
Real Madrid wins 38.43% 2.27 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 57.49% 2.17 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 63.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid 15.01% 5.75 at LSbet

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Form

Sevilla and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Real Madrid
86 38 27 5 6 +42
13 Sevilla
43 38 12 7 19 -14

Sevilla and Real Madrid Last Matches

Sevilla
Sevilla Last matches
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 May 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  3
Sevilla

9 May 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Espanyol

4 May 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  0
Real Sociedad

26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  1
Sevilla

23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
2 :  0
Sevilla

11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid
D D L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 May 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Espanyol

4 May 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  0
Real Sociedad

11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  2
Valencia

8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Alavés
D L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 May 2026 - LaLiga

Villarreal
2 :  3
Sevilla

26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
2 :  1
Sevilla

23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Levante
2 :  0
Sevilla

5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Oviedo
1 :  0
Sevilla

15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
5 :  2
Sevilla

1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  2
Sevilla
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
L W D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Real Oviedo

10 May 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  0
Real Madrid

3 May 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
0 :  2
Real Madrid

24 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  1
Real Madrid

21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Alavés

15 Apr 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
4 :  3
Real Madrid
W W L D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Real Oviedo

21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Alavés

10 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Girona

7 Apr 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Elche
W L L D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 May 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  0
Real Madrid

3 May 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
0 :  2
Real Madrid

24 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  1
Real Madrid

15 Apr 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
4 :  3
Real Madrid

4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Mallorca
2 :  1
Real Madrid

17 Mar 2026 - Champions League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sevilla

0 %

Draw

17 %

Real Madrid

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Sevilla

18 May 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  2
Real Madrid

22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  2
Sevilla

25 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Sevilla

21 Oct 2023 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Real Madrid

27 May 2023 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  2
Real Madrid
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction

Sevilla against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11

Sevilla

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
O. Vlachodimos
2
J. Carmona
32
A. Castrin
4
K. Salas
12
G. Suazo
11
R. Vargas
20
D. Sow
6
N. Gudelj
36
Oso
9
A. Adams
17
N. Maupay
7
Vinicius Junior
10
K. Mbappe
5
J. Bellingham
14
A. Tchouameni
45
T. Pitarch Pinar
21
B. Diaz
20
F. Garcia
24
D. Huijsen
22
A. Ruediger
2
D. Carvajal
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Real Madrid

Substitutes

Sevilla
Sevilla
Goalkeeper

O. Nyland

Defender

C. Azpilicueta

Juanlu

J. Carmona 70'

F. Cardoso

T. Nianzou

Midfielder

B. Mendy

L. Agoume

N. Gudelj 53'

J. Jordan

Forward

C. Ejuke

R. Vargas 53'

Peque

A. Sanchez

N. Maupay 53'

I. Romero

Oso 78'

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

J. Navarro

S. Mestre

Defender

T. Alexander-Arnold

B. Diaz 78'

R. Asencio

A. Carreras

D. Alaba

Midfielder

E. Camavinga

A. Tchouameni 70'

D. Meso

Forward

G. Garcia

Vinicius Junior 78'

A. Leiva Alemany

J. Bellingham 87'

F. Mastantuono

T. Pitarch Pinar 70'

Missing players

Sevilla
Sevilla
Defender

Marcao

Midfielder

M. Bueno

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

A. Lunin

Defender

F. Mendy

E. Militao

Forward

Rodrygo

A. Guler

Endrick

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sevilla
CD Huachipato Real Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Nigeria A. Adams (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (25 Goals)
Best assists
Switzerland R. Vargas (6 Assists)
Best assists
Turkey A. Guler (9 Assists)

Sevilla - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. Sevilla are winless in their last 14 matches against Real Madrid.
  2. Sevilla have lost their last four matches against Real Madrid.
  3. Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last six away matches against Sevilla.
  4. Real Madrid have won five of their last six away matches against Sevilla.
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Our Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction

Sevilla head into Sunday's match as underdogs despite their impressive recent run. They have found results hard to come by in their last 14 encounters with Real Madrid. This includes defeat in their most recent four meetings with the visitors. 

Real Madrid got back to winning ways immediately after their El Clasico defeat and will look to maintain that momentum and end the season on a strong note. They have been dominant in their recent away visits to Rojiblancos. Our Sevilla vs Real Madrid prediction : Real Madrid wins.

Prediction :

 

Real Madrid wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sevilla Real Madrid

Sevilla vs Real Madrid Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sevilla wins 4.23 3.4 -19.6%
Draw 4.44 3.7 -16.7%
Real Madrid wins 1.81 2.27 +25.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Real Madrid is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 25.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 55.2% and is now 44.1% (-11.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.