Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Ita Emmanuel | in LaLiga Predictions
Second-place Real Madrid travel to face 12th-place Sevilla in this La Liga Matchday 37 clash on Sunday. They have endured a disappointing campaign this term across all fronts, but a significant 37-point gap separates them from relegation-threatened Sevilla. Los Blancos remain unbeaten against Rojiblancos across their 14 La Liga meetings since 2019 and have won their last four matchups with the Andalusian club, supporting our prediction for an away victory.
Sevilla have positioned themselves strongly in the race to survive the tight relegation battle following a strong recent run of results. Los Nervionenses came from behind to secure a crucial 3–2 victory over Villarreal last time out, marking their third straight win.
However, that resurgence comes under a stern test against Real Madrid on Sunday. The last time they defeated the 36-time La Liga champions was in 2018. Since then, the Seville-based outfit have gone winless across their 14 meetings against the Meringues.
Meanwhile, Real Madrid head into this clash looking to salvage some pride after a largely disappointing season. They defeated Real Oviedo 2–0 on Thursday to recover from last week's title-deciding defeat in the El Clasico. Los Blancos are unbeaten in their last six away matches against Sevilla, winning five.
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Sevilla v Real Madrid Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.25 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
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3.28 | 3.44 | 2.18 |
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3.28 | 3.44 | 2.18 |
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3.1 | 3.5 | 2.15 |
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3.15 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sevilla and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Sevilla vs Real Madrid match is: Real Madrid wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Sevilla and Real Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.52% for a win of Sevilla against Real Madrid with odds of 3.4 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sevilla vs Real Madrid is 24.05% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Sevilla with odds of 2.27 at 888Starz.
Sevilla - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sevilla Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 38.43% | 2.27 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 57.49% | 2.17 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 63.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid | 15.01% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Form
Sevilla and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
86 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 |
|
13
|
43 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -14 |
Sevilla and Real Madrid Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - LaLiga
9 May 2026 - LaLiga
4 May 2026 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 May 2026 - LaLiga
4 May 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2026 - LaLiga
10 May 2026 - LaLiga
3 May 2026 - LaLiga
24 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - LaLiga
3 May 2026 - LaLiga
24 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
27 May 2023 - LaLiga
Sevilla against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
O. Nyland
DefenderC. Azpilicueta
Juanlu
F. Cardoso
T. Nianzou
MidfielderB. Mendy
L. Agoume
J. Jordan
ForwardC. Ejuke
Peque
A. Sanchez
I. Romero
J. Navarro
S. Mestre
DefenderT. Alexander-Arnold
R. Asencio
A. Carreras
D. Alaba
MidfielderE. Camavinga
D. Meso
ForwardG. Garcia
A. Leiva Alemany
F. Mastantuono
Missing players
Marcao
MidfielderM. Bueno
A. Lunin
DefenderF. Mendy
E. Militao
ForwardRodrygo
A. Guler
Endrick
Most goals and assists
Sevilla - Real Madrid Key Points
- Sevilla are winless in their last 14 matches against Real Madrid.
- Sevilla have lost their last four matches against Real Madrid.
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last six away matches against Sevilla.
- Real Madrid have won five of their last six away matches against Sevilla.
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Our Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction
Sevilla head into Sunday's match as underdogs despite their impressive recent run. They have found results hard to come by in their last 14 encounters with Real Madrid. This includes defeat in their most recent four meetings with the visitors.
Real Madrid got back to winning ways immediately after their El Clasico defeat and will look to maintain that momentum and end the season on a strong note. They have been dominant in their recent away visits to Rojiblancos. Our Sevilla vs Real Madrid prediction : Real Madrid wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sevilla Real Madrid
| Sevilla vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla wins | 4.23 | 3.4 | -19.6% |
| Draw | 4.44 | 3.7 | -16.7% |
| Real Madrid wins | 1.81 | 2.27 | +25.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 25.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.2% and is now 44.1% (-11.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.