Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Rio Open

ATP - ATP Rio Open

ATP 51 Argentina
Sebastian Baez
22/02/2025 15:00
ATP 77 Argentina
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Prediction :

 

Sebastian Baez wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Fifth seed Sebastian Baez will face off next with lucky loser Camilo Ugo Carabelli as he continues with his Rio Open title defence. They will battle in the semi-finals with the winner taking on Francisco Comesana or Alexandre Muller for the title. Below is our prediction for this match.

Sebastian Baez defeated Carabelli in straight sets less than a week ago when they squared off on home soil in Buenos Aires. This was his fourth successive victory against his fellow countryman.

He will therefore be confident about moving on to the final and getting one step closer to retaining his crown. Baez defeated the qualifier Chun-hsin Tseng in the quarter-finals without losing a set.

This was his second 2-0 success this week. Baez is currently ranked 44th in the live ranking.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has grabbed the second chance accorded to him to continue playing in Rio with both hands. The Argentine had been eliminated in the qualifying rounds, but here he is, having his best-ever tour performance.

Carabelli, who is playing in his maiden tour semi, had never won more than one main draw match at a tour event before Rio. To progress to the last four, Carabelli defeated fellow lucky loser Jaime Faria in straight sets.

He has now won 11 of 15 matches, propelling him a massive 22 places to 69th in the live ranking.

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Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form

Sebastian Baez and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last Matches

Sebastian Baez Last matches
L L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

21 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Chun Hsin Tseng

19 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  1
Mariano Navone

12 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Thiago Seyboth Wild

11 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

13 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  3
Arthur Cazaux

7 Jan 2025 - ASB Classic

Facundo Diaz Acosta
2 :  0
Sebastian Baez
Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last matches
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

21 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Jaime Faria

20 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Damir Dzumhur

18 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Pedro Martinez
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

11 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

26 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  3
Taylor Fritz

23 Jul 2024 - ATP Umag Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sebastian Baez

100 %

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

0 %

11 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points

  1. Baez is on an eight-match winning streak in Rio.
  2. Four of the six meetings between Baez and Carabelli were won by Baez.
  3. All four of Baez’s victories against Carabelli have been on clay.
  4. Baez has made it to eight tour finals in his career.
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Our Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Our prediction for Sebastian Baez v Camilo Ugo Carabelli is that Sebastian Baez wins the match. Baez is the defending Rio champion and has won eight straight matches in this event. He has been in great form in his title defence and looks primed to retain the title.

Baez has a strong record against Carabelli and so far, has won their last four meetings. He defeated his compatriot less than a week ago in their most recent meeting. His dominance in this tie and excellent record in Rio should see him progress to the final.

Prediction :

 

Sebastian Baez wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.