Scotland vs Australia Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations Championship

Rugby Union - Nations Championship

Scotland
15/11/2026 10:10
Australia

Prediction :

 

Scotland wins on a -4.5 handicap

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Nations Championship Predictions

Both of these countries were beaten in the Rugby Nations Championship last weekend. Scotland are fourth in the northern hemisphere table with two games to play.. The Wallabies are third in the southern hemisphere table, but can't finish any higher. They've lost three of their four matches and our prediction is Scotland wins on a -4.5 handicap.

Scotland are ten points adrift of northern hemisphere leaders France, so they can't make the final. They have won two of their four matches in this tournament so far, but lost the other couple. After this match their final group fixture is at home to Japan.  They have won four of their last five games against Australia. Three of those wins were by at least five points.

Australia can only finish as high as third in the southern hemisphere group which has been dominated by South Africa and New Zealand. Three of their four matches have been lost, including a heavy loss at England last weekend. They end the group with a trip to Wales. Their last three games have all been lost and by at least five points.

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Scotland v Australia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
1xbet
1.37 21.00 3.15
Melbet
1.37 21.00 3.15
22bet
1.37 21.00 3.15
Bet365
1.37 21.00 3.00
Roobet
1.36 20.00 3.20
Check all Scotland vs Australia odds
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Scotland vs Australia Form

Scotland and Australia Last Matches

Scotland
Scotland Last matches
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

7 Nov 2026 - Nations Championship

Scotland
21 :  43
New Zealand

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Fiji
17 :  33
Scotland

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

South Africa
42 :  28
Scotland

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Argentina
38 :  47
Scotland

14 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
43 :  21
Scotland

7 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Scotland
50 :  40
France
L L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

7 Nov 2026 - Nations Championship

Scotland
21 :  43
New Zealand

7 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Scotland
50 :  40
France

14 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

Scotland
31 :  20
England

23 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Scotland
56 :  0
Tonga

16 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Scotland
24 :  33
Argentina

8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Scotland
17 :  25
New Zealand
L W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Fiji
17 :  33
Scotland

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

South Africa
42 :  28
Scotland

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Argentina
38 :  47
Scotland

14 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
43 :  21
Scotland

21 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

Wales
23 :  26
Scotland

7 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

Italy
18 :  15
Scotland
Australia
Australia Last matches
W D W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

8 Nov 2026 - Nations Championship

England
45 :  22
Australia

17 Oct 2026 - Test Matches

Australia
21 :  43
New Zealand

10 Oct 2026 - Test Matches

New Zealand
50 :  19
Australia

27 Sept 2026 - Test Matches

Australia
42 :  38
South Africa

5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches

Argentina
28 :  28
Australia

29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Argentina
21 :  27
Australia
L L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

17 Oct 2026 - Test Matches

Australia
21 :  43
New Zealand

27 Sept 2026 - Test Matches

Australia
42 :  38
South Africa

15 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Australia
56 :  17
Japan

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Australia
57 :  10
Italy

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Australia
26 :  42
France

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Australia
31 :  33
Ireland
L W W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

8 Nov 2026 - Nations Championship

England
45 :  22
Australia

10 Oct 2026 - Test Matches

New Zealand
50 :  19
Australia

5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches

Argentina
28 :  28
Australia

29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Argentina
21 :  27
Australia

8 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Japan
32 :  35
Australia

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

France
48 :  33
Australia

Scotland vs Australia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Scotland

50 %

Draw

0 %

Australia

50 %

24 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Scotland
27 :  13
Australia

29 Oct 2022 - Test Matches

Scotland
15 :  16
Australia

Scotland - Australia: Form Analysis

Scotland needs to bounce back from last weekend's home loss to New Zealand. They only trailed the All-Blacks by a couple of points at half-time. It was a different story in the second half with New Zealand scoring 19 points without reply.  That was their third loss in five games, but the other two defeats were in away fixtures.

Strong home form for Scotland.

Home form has seen Scotland win three in a row before being defeated by the All-Blacks. Each win was by at least five points. So far in this Rugby Nations Championship, Scotland have beaten Argentina and Fiji, but lost to South Africa and New Zealand, the top two teams in the southern hemisphere group.

Australia will be aiming to try and finish third in their group and then win the fifth-place final. The Wallabies led in their opening Rugby Nations Championship group fixture, but eventually lost at home to Ireland by two points. A loss to France followed before a victory over Italy.

Unlike Scotland, Australia played several matches before the resumption of this tournament. They won four and lost three before being beaten by England 45-22 last weekend. Australia have lost by at least a five-point margin in nine of their last ten losses.

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Scotland vs Australia Prediction

Players list

Scotland
Scotland
R. Darge G. Brown E. Ashman B. Kinghorn S. Tuipulotu H. Jones S. Cummings Z. Fagerson R. Sutherland J. Dempsey D. Graham B. White K. Steyn M. Fagerson F. Russell
Australia
Australia
A. Bell C. Gordon H. Potter H. Wilson F. McReight J. Suaalii M. Jorgensen J. Canham J. Williams B. Pollard L. Ikitau A. Alaalatoa R. Lonergan R. Valetini T. Wright

Substitutes

Scotland
Scotland
G. Hiddleston J. Dobie W. Hurd T. Jordan M. Williamson O. Leatherbarrow P. Schoeman J. Bayliss
Australia
Australia
B. Donaldson T. Hooper L. Shaw I. Kailea T. Tupou T. McDermott B. Paenga-Amosa F. Daugunu

Scotland & Australia Squad Analysis

Scotland will be going all out to win their final two group games in the Rugby Nations Championship. Their hopes of a top-two finish suffered a blow with last weekend's home loss to New Zealand. They had seven tries scored against them in that match and will need to be tighter at the back here.

Graham makes an early return.

Their record try scorer Darcy Graham is back for this match as is Blair Kinghorn. Jamie Robie will be on the bench this weekend after playing at full-back last weekend. Graham is making an earlier return to the side than expected.after being out with a bicep tear. He's scored 38 tries in his 57 matches for Scotland.

Scotland have won three of their last four home matches played against Australia.

The Wallabies suffered a heavy defeat at Twickenham last weekend, their third loss in this Rugby Nations Championship. They are conceding far too many points at present with 138 scored against them in their last three matches. Joseph-Aukuso Suaalii will be at outside centre this weekend. He played on the wing against England.

Will we see some magic from Harry Potter who comes in at 11 with Isaac Henry and Declan Meredith both being left out. Carter Gordon will be their fly-half and Jeremy Williams at lock. Australia have been beaten in six of their last nine away fixtures. Each of the defeats were by at least a five-point margin.

Scotland - Australia Key Points

  1. Scotland have won four of their last five games against Australia, three by at least five points.
  2. On home soil, Scotland have beaten Australia in three of their last four games, all by more than 4.5 points.
  3. Australia have lost six of their last nine away matches.
  4. Australia have lost their last three games, conceding at least 40 points in each of them and a -76 combined points margin.
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Our Scotland vs Australia Prediction

Scotland have a good recent record against Australia and have only lost to them once at Murrayfield in the past ten years. A repeat of the first half-performance against New Zealand last weekend would be much appreciated. The return of Darcy Graham is also good news for the home side.

Australia have only one win so far in this Rugby Nations Championship. They lost to England last weekend and for the third consecutive international, the Wallabies had at least 40 points scored against them. Our main Scotland v Australia prediction is Scotland wins on a -4.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Scotland wins on a -4.5 handicap

 
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Scotland vs Australia Alternative Predictions

Scotland wins

Odds 1.37
Scotland have won three of their last four home games against Australia.
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Scotland vs Australia - FAQs

Scotland are playing Australia in the Rugby Nations Championship on Sunday November 15 with a 15:10 UK time start.
With Scotland being the home side here, the game will be played at Murrayfield in Edinburgh where the Scots have beaten England and France this year.

ITV1 will be the UK broadcaster of this match and it's also going to be online at ITVX.  To access lots of information throughout the match, go to our Rugby Nations Championship livescore. There you will find updated stats and live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.