SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions
Botafogo RJ will aim to continue their resurgence in the Brasileirao Serie A when they travel to Estadio Do MorumBIS to face a struggling Sao Paulo side on matchday 17. The visitors have avoided defeat in their last two games and could do so once again against a side that has lost two consecutive matches, and this is why our prediction favors Botafogo in the double chance market.
Sao Paulo enters this clash after a disappointing 1-1 home draw against Millonarios in the fifth round of the Copa Sudamericana. They were fortunate their opponents failed to capitalise from the penalty spot late in the game.
The Tricolor Paulista now turn their attention to the Serie A Betano. It has not been the most inspiring showing from them as they've gone three games without a win.
Their most recent match was against Fluminense on the road. Unfortunately, they lost 2-1, marking their second consecutive defeat.
Botafogo RJ are in ninth place in the league standings with 21 points and three behind their fourth-placed opponents in this upcoming encounter.
In contrast to their opponents, Fogo emerged victorious in the Copa Sudamericana, beating Independiente 3-0 in a neutral location.
Focus now shifts to league action with their last match being a commanding 3-1 home win against Corinthians. That outcome halted a three-match winless run.
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SAO Paulo v Botafogo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.77 | 3.75 | 4.5 |
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1.76 | 3.74 | 4.62 |
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1.76 | 3.74 | 4.62 |
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1.68 | 3.75 | 4.75 |
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1.73 | 3.65 | 4.5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between SAO Paulo and Botafogo?
Our prediction for the SAO Paulo vs Botafogo match is: draw or Botafogo.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/05/2026 between SAO Paulo and Botafogo in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.16% for a win of SAO Paulo against Botafogo with odds of 1.92 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between SAO Paulo vs Botafogo is 26.3% with odds of 3.8 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Botafogo vs SAO Paulo with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
SAO Paulo - Botafogo Prediction and Best Odds:
| SAO Paulo Botafogo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| SAO Paulo wins | 39.16% | 1.92 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.71% | 1.85 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : SAO Paulo/SAO Paulo | 18.27% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Form
SAO Paulo and Botafogo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
|
12
|
25 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | +2 |
SAO Paulo and Botafogo Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
14 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
4 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
28 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
18 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
4 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Dec 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Sept 2024 - Copa Libertadores
18 Sept 2024 - Copa Libertadores
24 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
SAO Paulo against Botafogo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
C. Coronel
DefenderJoao Moreira
L. Osorio
Cedric
MidfielderD. Ferreira
L. Santos
F. Negrucci
P. Ferreira da Silva
Hugo Leonardo
ForwardG. Tapia
G. Santana
L. Marques
Raul
DefenderC. Roque
Y. Rodrigues de Oliveira
Wallace Davi
K. Santos
MidfielderNewton
J. Barrera
C. Valle
Edenilson
K. Barria
C. Ramos
J. Correa
Missing players
R. Toloi
MidfielderMarcos Antonio
ForwardL. Moura
R. Francisco
Kaio
MidfielderAllan
ForwardN. Fernandes
Most goals and assists
SAO Paulo - Botafogo Key Points
- Sao Paulo are currently on a two-match losing streak in the Brasileirao Serie A.
- Botafogo RJ are unbeaten in their last two league games.
- Sao Paulo have drawn two of their last three home league meetings with Botafogo RJ
- Botafogo RJ are unbeaten in their last three away league games.
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Our SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction
Sao Paulo have struggled for decent results in the Brasileirao Serie A. The hosts have failed to win in three matches and have lost their last two outings. What's more, they won just one of their last nine league meetings with Botafogo RJ (D3, L5).
Botafogo RJ are riding high in momentum, having won two consecutive matches across all competitions. A win here and results elsewhere could see them ascend further up the table. They are unbeaten in their last three away league games and can aim to stretch that record. Our Sao Paulo vs Botafogo RJ prediction: draw or Botafogo.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis SAO Paulo Botafogo
| SAO Paulo vs Botafogo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAO Paulo wins | 1.92 | 1.92 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.8 | +10.1% |
| Botafogo wins | 3.7 | 4.75 | +28.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- SAO Paulo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.1% and is now 52.1% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.