SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
23/05/2026 16:00
Botafogo

Prediction :

 

Draw or Botafogo

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions

Botafogo RJ will aim to continue their resurgence in the Brasileirao Serie A when they travel to Estadio Do MorumBIS to face a struggling Sao Paulo side on matchday 17. The visitors have avoided defeat in their last two games and could do so once again against a side that has lost two consecutive matches, and this is why our prediction favors Botafogo in the double chance market.

Sao Paulo enters this clash after a disappointing 1-1 home draw against Millonarios in the fifth round of the Copa Sudamericana. They were fortunate their opponents failed to capitalise from the penalty spot late in the game.

The Tricolor Paulista now turn their attention to the Serie A Betano. It has not been the most inspiring showing from them as they've gone three games without a win.

Their most recent match was against Fluminense on the road. Unfortunately, they lost 2-1, marking their second consecutive defeat.

Botafogo RJ are in ninth place in the league standings with 21 points and three behind their fourth-placed opponents in this upcoming encounter.

In contrast to their opponents, Fogo emerged victorious in the Copa Sudamericana, beating Independiente 3-0 in a neutral location.

Focus now shifts to league action with their last match being a commanding 3-1 home win against Corinthians. That outcome halted a three-match winless run.

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SAO Paulo v Botafogo Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.77 3.75 4.5
Melbet
1.76 3.74 4.62
Betwinner
1.76 3.74 4.62
Bet365
1.68 3.75 4.75
Roobet
1.73 3.65 4.5
Check all SAO Paulo vs Botafogo odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between SAO Paulo and Botafogo?

Our prediction for the SAO Paulo vs Botafogo match is: draw or Botafogo.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/05/2026 between SAO Paulo and Botafogo in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.16% for a win of SAO Paulo against Botafogo with odds of 1.92 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between SAO Paulo vs Botafogo is 26.3% with odds of 3.8 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Botafogo vs SAO Paulo with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.

SAO Paulo - Botafogo Prediction and Best Odds:

SAO Paulo Botafogo Prediction Probability Odds
SAO Paulo wins 39.16% 1.92 at Betsson
Over 2.5 goals 53.71% 1.85 at Stake
Both Team To Score 63.75%
Half-time / Full-time : SAO Paulo/SAO Paulo 18.27% 2.75 at Bet365

SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Form

SAO Paulo and Botafogo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Botafogo
26 19 7 5 7 +1
12 SAO Paulo
25 19 7 4 8 +2

SAO Paulo and Botafogo Last Matches

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo Last matches
D D L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

SAO Paulo
1 :  1
Millonarios FC

16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Juventude
3 :  1
SAO Paulo

10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
3 :  2
SAO Paulo

7 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

O'Higgins
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Bahia
W W W W D D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

SAO Paulo
1 :  1
Millonarios FC

3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Bahia

25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  0
Mirassol

21 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil

SAO Paulo
1 :  0
Juventude

14 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
O'Higgins

4 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
4 :  1
Cruzeiro
L D D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Juventude
3 :  1
SAO Paulo

10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
3 :  2
SAO Paulo

7 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

O'Higgins
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

28 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Millonarios FC
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

18 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
2 :  1
SAO Paulo
Botafogo
Botafogo Last matches
L W D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Independiente Petrolero
0 :  3
Botafogo

17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
3 :  1
Corinthians

14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Chapecoense
2 :  0
Botafogo

10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Botafogo

6 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Botafogo
2 :  1
Racing Club Avellaneda

2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
1 :  2
Remo
W D W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
3 :  1
Corinthians

6 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Botafogo
2 :  1
Racing Club Avellaneda

2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
1 :  2
Remo

28 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Botafogo
3 :  0
Independiente Petrolero

25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
2 :  2
Internacional

21 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Botafogo
1 :  0
Chapecoense
W W W D L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Independiente Petrolero
0 :  3
Botafogo

14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Chapecoense
2 :  0
Botafogo

10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Botafogo

18 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
1 :  4
Botafogo

15 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Racing Club Avellaneda
2 :  3
Botafogo

4 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
1 :  2
Botafogo

SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

SAO Paulo

17 %

Draw

67 %

Botafogo

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

14 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  0
Botafogo

16 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
2 :  2
SAO Paulo

8 Dec 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
2 :  1
SAO Paulo

25 Sept 2024 - Copa Libertadores

SAO Paulo
1 :  1
Botafogo

18 Sept 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Botafogo
0 :  0
SAO Paulo

24 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Botafogo
SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction

SAO Paulo against Botafogo Lineups: Starting 11

SAO Paulo

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
Rafael
19
L. Ramon
28
A. Franco
35
Sabino
18
Wendell
29
P. Maia
94
D. Abelha
37
Artur
10
Luciano
11
Ferreira
9
J. Calleri
59
K. Almeida Toledo
19
A. Cabral
10
A. Montoro
23
S. Rodriguez
75
Huguinho
77
L. Villalba Jaume
21
F. Marcal
34
G. Pereira Justino
5
N. Ferraresi
2
Vitinho
22
Neto

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Botafogo

Substitutes

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
Goalkeeper

C. Coronel

Defender

Joao Moreira

L. Osorio

Sabino 44'

Cedric

Midfielder

D. Ferreira

P. Ferreira da Silva 75'

L. Santos

F. Negrucci

P. Ferreira da Silva

Luciano 30'

Hugo Leonardo

Forward

G. Tapia

Ferreira 75'

G. Santana

L. Marques

Botafogo
Botafogo
Goalkeeper

Raul

Defender

C. Roque

Y. Rodrigues de Oliveira

Wallace Davi

K. Santos

Midfielder

Newton

J. Barrera

K. Almeida Toledo 65'

C. Valle

Edenilson

A. Montoro 65'

Forward

K. Barria

L. Villalba Jaume 45'

C. Ramos

G. Pereira Justino 87'

J. Correa

Huguinho 76'

Missing players

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
Defender

R. Toloi

Midfielder

Marcos Antonio

Forward

L. Moura

R. Francisco

Botafogo
Botafogo
Defender

Kaio

Midfielder

Allan

Forward

N. Fernandes

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato SAO Paulo
CD Huachipato Botafogo
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Luciano (6 Goals)
Argentina J. Calleri (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil D. Santos (7 Goals) Brazil A. Cabral (7 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Wendell (3 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina A. Montoro (2 Assists)
Brazil D. Santos (2 Assists)
Brazil Edenilson (2 Assists)
Brazil Vitinho (2 Assists)
Brazil A. Telles (2 Assists)
Brazil K. Almeida Toledo (2 Assists)

SAO Paulo - Botafogo Key Points

  1. Sao Paulo are currently on a two-match losing streak in the Brasileirao Serie A.
  2. Botafogo RJ are unbeaten in their last two league games.
  3. Sao Paulo have drawn two of their last three home league meetings with Botafogo RJ
  4. Botafogo RJ are unbeaten in their last three away league games.
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Our SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction

Sao Paulo have struggled for decent results in the Brasileirao Serie A. The hosts have failed to win in three matches and have lost their last two outings. What's more, they won just one of their last nine league meetings with Botafogo RJ (D3, L5).

Botafogo RJ are riding high in momentum, having won two consecutive matches across all competitions. A win here and results elsewhere could see them ascend further up the table. They are unbeaten in their last three away league games and can aim to stretch that record. Our Sao Paulo vs Botafogo RJ prediction: draw or Botafogo. 

Prediction :

 

Draw or Botafogo

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis SAO Paulo Botafogo

SAO Paulo vs Botafogo Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
SAO Paulo wins 1.92 1.92 0%
Draw 3.45 3.8 +10.1%
Botafogo wins 3.7 4.75 +28.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • SAO Paulo is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 52.1% and is now 52.1% (0.0%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.