SAO Paulo vs Atletico Paranense Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
Sao Paulo have a home date against Athletico Paranaense in the Brazilian Serie A this Thursday. The two sides had mixed results. The promoted side sits fifth in the league standings, three places and five points ahead of Sao Paulo. Three defeats in the last four league matches don’t place Sao Paulo in a strong position, and our prediction is for an away win.
Sao Paulo haven’t really been convincing even as they seek to return to the glory days that brought them three straight league titles from 2006-08. After 18 matches this season, they’ve managed just seven wins.
Their 1-0 loss to Remo last time out marked another low for Sampa, leaving them on 25 points, 16 behind the league leaders.
Athletico are doing well, having been promoted at the end of last season. They have shown their ambitions quite clearly and are well in the chase for a Copa Libertadores spot.
In their last two matches, they faced struggling sides, and as expected, they won. First on their chopping board was Remo, who took in a 2-1 beating before Mirassol's 1-0 loss.
An earlier draw with defending champions Flamengo will add to their confidence coming here. The visitors’ away form is somewhat concerning, having lost five of eight games, but the latest was their second win on the road this season.
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SAO Paulo v Atletico Paranense Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.02 | 3.3 | 3.8 |
|
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2.05 | 3.27 | 4.03 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.22 | 3.98 |
|
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2.01 | 3.26 | 4.02 |
|
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2.03 | 3.22 | 3.98 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between SAO Paulo and Atletico Paranense?
Our prediction for the SAO Paulo vs Atletico Paranense match is: Athletico-PR wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/07/2026 between SAO Paulo and Atletico Paranense in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.52% for a win of SAO Paulo against Atletico Paranense with odds of 2.05 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between SAO Paulo vs Atletico Paranense is 31.13% with odds of 3.4 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Paranense vs SAO Paulo with odds of 4.03 at 1xbet.
SAO Paulo vs Atletico Paranense Form
SAO Paulo and Atletico Paranense's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +6 |
|
8
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +3 |
SAO Paulo and Atletico Paranense Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
28 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
12 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
SAO Paulo vs Atletico Paranense Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Aug 2025 - Copa do Brasil
31 Jul 2025 - Copa do Brasil
9 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Oct 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Jun 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
Missing players
R. Toloi
L. Ramon
A. Franco
MidfielderMarcos Antonio
P. Maia
ForwardLucas Moura
R. Francisco
A. Garcia
Most goals and assists
SAO Paulo
Atletico Paranense
Luciano
(6 Goals)
, 
J. Calleri
(6 Goals)
K. Viveros
(11 Goals)
Wendell
(3 Assists)
G. Benavidez
(5 Assists)
SAO Paulo and Atletico Paranense Stats in Brasileirão Serie A
SAO Paulo - Atletico Paranense Key Points
- Across all competitions, Sao Paulo have only managed one win in 10 games.
- Athletico-PR are unbeaten in three outings, winning the latest two.
- Sao Paulo lost three of their last four league matches.
- In Serie A, Sao Paulo are winless in five outings.
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Our SAO Paulo vs Atletico Paranense Prediction
Sao Paulo are once again having a tough campaign and don’t look likely to end their league title drought. It is even harder at this point in time as they head here winless in their last five league matches. Athletico-PR will be looking at their hosts’ woes and feeling they can claim a win.
The visitors haven’t done well in this fixture but are coming here with a good run, having won their last two league matches. Across all competitions, Athletico-PR are unbeaten in four. Our prediction for Sao Paulo v Athletico-PR is that Athletico-PR wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
