Santos vs Vitoria Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Santos will be at home this weekend to welcome Vitoria in their next Serie A match. Heading into this game, Santos are 17th, six places behind Vitoria, though the two are only separated by four points. The last five times Santos hosted this fixture, only one clean sheet was recorded but 21 goals scored. Our prediction backs another high-scoring game.
Much talk leading into this game was about Neymar, but he won’t be involved here, with reports of a fresh injury. Santos will be looking to rise from the red zone before the league takes a month-long break.
They are two points below safety after suffering back-to-back losses, most recently a 3-2 defeat at Gremio.
Vitoria won 1-0 the last time they visited here, and they are keen on a repeat as they look to rise into the top half. A 2-0 win against Internacional in the last outing has them elevated to 11th place, but inconsistency has dogged their season.
That was only their sixth win of the season in the league, Vitoria having lost as many. The visitors haven’t had much going their way on their travels.
They haven’t won on the road a single league outing and only have three points to show for the eight games played. This match is more defined by goals even though only three were scored in the last three meetings.
Five times in 10, this matchup had at least three goals.
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Santos v Vitoria Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.77 | 3.6 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.62 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4.88 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.7 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.6 | 5.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Santos and Vitoria?
Our prediction for the Santos vs Vitoria match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/05/2026 between Santos and Vitoria in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.38% for a win of Santos against Vitoria with odds of 1.88 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Santos vs Vitoria is 27.11% with odds of 3.85 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Vitoria vs Santos with odds of 5.75 at Bet365.
Santos - Vitoria Prediction and Best Odds:
| Santos Vitoria Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Santos wins | 45.38% | 1.88 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.16% | 2.05 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Santos/Santos | 22.33% | 2.7 at LSbet |
Santos vs Vitoria Form
Santos and Vitoria's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -3 |
|
14
|
22 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -4 |
Santos and Vitoria Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
5 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
25 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 May 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
9 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
6 May 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 May 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
Santos vs Vitoria Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
80 %
0 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Oct 2018 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Jun 2018 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Nov 2016 - Brasileirão Serie A
Santos against Vitoria Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
Diogenes
DefenderSamuel Pierri
A. Frias
J. Ananias Bento
P. Fermino
T. Rincon
ForwardB. Rollheiser
Moises
L. Diaz
Davi Fernandes
R. Junior
Rony
Fintelman
DefenderRamon
MidfielderRonald
E. Nascimento Filho
D. Tarzia
Breno
E. Martinez
L. Rodrigues
F. Dos Santos
O. Lourenco Filho
R. Kayzer
Marinho
Missing players
Mayke
V. Lira
MidfielderThaciano
G. Menino
C. de Menezes Junior
Riccieli
Camutanga
Edu
M. Duarte
MidfielderDudu
ForwardL. Braga
Most goals and assists
Santos
Vitoria
G. Barbosa
(7 Goals)
C. de Sousa Ferreira
(5 Goals)
Neymar
(3 Assists)
Erick
(3 Assists)
,
G. Baralha
(3 Assists)
Santos - Vitoria Key Points
- Vitoria’s last five league games produced 17 goals.
- Each of Santos’ last four matches had over 2.5 goals.
- 4.2 goals were netted in Vitoria’s last five away matches.
- 21 goals were scored the last five times Santos hosted this fixture
- On average, 2.6 goals were netted in Santos’ last five home league games.
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Our Santos vs Vitoria Prediction
Santos will be keen on leaping out of the relegation zone as the Brazilian Serie A takes a six-week break. Similarly, Vitoria will be looking to stay in the Copa Sudamericana slots during this period. With such stakes, an exciting matchup is anticipated.
When hosted by Santos, this fixture has been high-scoring, with 21 goals netted across the last five. Vitoria’s last five matches saw an average of 4.2 goals, and Santos’ latest five at home had a 2.6 average. Based on such numbers, our prediction for Santos v Vitoria is for more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Santos Vitoria
| Santos vs Vitoria | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santos wins | 1.92 | 1.88 | -2.1% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.85 | +11.6% |
| Vitoria wins | 3.7 | 5.75 | +55.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Santos is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.1% and is now 53.2% (1.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
