Roma vs Bologna Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

Roma
19/03/2026 16:00
Bologna

Prediction :

 

Draw or Bologna

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Europa League Predictions

Which of these two Italian clubs will reach the last eight of the Europa League? Roma host Bologna in the second leg of this last 16 tie with the scores level at 1-1. Will home advantage be key for the Wolves? Read our match prediction below.

A tough tie in the quarter-final awaits the winners. Either Lille or Aston Villa will be faced with the Premier League club 1-0 up after the first leg in France. Roma finished eighth in the league phase of this competition, a point and two places above their opponents in this last 16 tie. The Yellow and Reds are struggling at present though and lost at the weekend.

Bologna would have loved to get a lead to take to Roma for this second leg. They are in better form than their opponents and won't be scared at all of having to get this tie won on away soil. A close match looks likely but the Greyhounds will be confident of progressing.

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Roma v Bologna Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.75 3.6 4.8
Melbet
1.72 3.6 5.1
Betwinner
1.7 3.64 5.25
Bet365
1.7 3.6 5
Roobet
1.72 3.65 5
Check all Roma vs Bologna odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Bologna?

Our prediction for the Roma vs Bologna match is: draw or Bologna.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/03/2026 between Roma and Bologna in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.76% for a win of Roma against Bologna with odds of 1.76 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Bologna is 22.56% with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 42.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Bologna vs Roma with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.

Roma - Bologna Prediction and Best Odds:

Roma Bologna Prediction Probability Odds
Bologna wins 42.68% 5.4 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 51.11% 2.17 at 888Starz
Both Team To Score 51.67%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bologna 18.32% 10.5 at LSbet

Roma vs Bologna Form

Roma and Bologna Last Matches

Roma
Roma Last matches
D W D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
2 :  1
Roma

12 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  1
Roma

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Roma

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  3
Juventus

22 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  0
Cremonese

15 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Roma
L W D W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  3
Juventus

22 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  0
Cremonese

9 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Cagliari

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
AC Milan

22 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Roma
2 :  0
Stuttgart

13 Jan 2026 - Coppa Italia

Roma
2 :  3
Torino FC
D L D L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
2 :  1
Roma

12 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  1
Roma

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Roma

15 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Roma

2 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Roma

29 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Panathinaikos Athens
1 :  1
Roma
Bologna
Bologna Last matches
W W W L D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Bologna

12 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  1
Roma

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  2
Hellas Verona

2 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Bologna

26 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  0
SK Brann

23 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  0
Udinese
L D W W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  1
Roma

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  2
Hellas Verona

26 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  0
SK Brann

23 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  0
Udinese

11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  1
Lazio

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  1
Parma
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Bologna

2 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Bologna

19 Feb 2026 - Europa League

SK Brann
0 :  1
Bologna

15 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  2
Bologna

29 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Maccabi Tel Aviv FC
0 :  3
Bologna

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  2
Bologna

Roma vs Bologna Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Roma

17 %

Draw

33 %

Bologna

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

12 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  1
Roma

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Bologna

12 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  2
Roma

10 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  3
Bologna

22 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  3
Bologna

17 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  0
Roma

Roma - Bologna: Form Analysis

AS Roma are sixth in Serie A, two places above Bologna. Their hopes of Champions League football next season have been hit recently by a run of only five points from as many games.

Last week saw the Wolves earn a come-from-behind 1-1 draw at Bologna. Since then, they've lost a vital Serie A match at Como (fourth in the table) 2-1. That made it four games without a win for them.

They are unbeaten in their last five home games but two of those have been drawn. While they are unbeaten in their last three games against Bologna, two have ended level.

Bologna are in the better form.

The Red and Blues followed up last week's draw with Roma with a 1-0 away victory at Sassuolo. They have only lost one of their last eight matches and six of those have been won.

It's their away form that has to be noted here. Each of their last five games on the road have been won, the last three of them all by a 1-0 scoreline. Only Aston Villa have beaten them in this season's Europa League with no losses in the last four away fixtures.

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Roma vs Bologna Prediction

Roma against Bologna Lineups: Starting 11

Roma

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

99
M. Svilar
23
G. Mancini
5
E. Ndicka
22
M. Hermoso
19
Z. Celik
17
M. Kone
61
N. Pisilli
43
W. Franca
4
B. Cristante
92
S. El Shaarawy
14
D. Malen
11
J. Rowe
9
S. Castro
10
F. Bernardeschi
4
T. Pobega
8
R. Freuler
19
L. Ferguson
17
J. Mario
26
J. Lucumi
41
M. Vitik
20
N. Zortea
13
F. Ravaglia

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Bologna

Substitutes

Roma
Roma
Goalkeeper

G. De Marzi

P. Gollini

Defender

D. Rensch

D. Ghilardi

J. Ziolkowski

K. Tsimikas

Midfielder

B. Zaragoza

Z. Celik 109'

N. El Aynaoui

N. Pisilli 104'

L. Pellegrini

M. Kone 20'

Forward

R. Vaz

S. El Shaarawy 57'

Bologna
Bologna
Goalkeeper

M. Franceschelli

M. Pessina

Defender

T. Heggem

R. Freuler 114'

N. Casale

M. Vitik 73'

C. Lykogiannis

Midfielder

S. Sohm

N. Cambiaghi

J. Rowe 73'

N. Moro

T. Pobega 91'

Forward

T. Dallinga

S. Castro 73'

B. Dominguez

J. Odgaard

R. Orsolini

F. Bernardeschi 79'

Missing players

Roma
Roma
Forward

A. Dovbyk

Bologna
Bologna
Goalkeeper

L. Skorupski

Defender

J. Miranda

E. Holm

Roma & Bologna Squad Analysis

Gianluca Mancini was suspended for the first leg but is available for Roma on Thursday. Also available again is Evan Ndicka who was injured and missed their weekend loss at Como. Wesley's suspension is only for domestic games not the Europa League.

Donyell Malen has made a good start to life at Roma.

They will still be missing Paulo Dybala who is out with a knee injury. Evan Ferguson will also be absent so Donyell Malen will continue up front. Malen has scored seven goals for his new club since joining from Aston Villa in January but only two in his last five games.

Their injury problems are mounting with Zeki Celik having to be taken off in their weekend fixture.

Bologna will have their club captain Lewis Ferguson back for this match. He was suspended for their weekend victory at Sassuolo. Beginning a suspension though is their left-back Juan Miranda.

Federico Ravaglia usually plays for them in goal in this competition. That should be the case here as their first-choice goalie Lukasz Skorupski (who used to play for Roma) was injured in their last game.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Roma
CD Huachipato Bologna
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands D. Malen (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy F. Bernardeschi (5 Goals)
Best assists
Spain B. Zaragoza (4 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands T. Dallinga (2 Assists)
Italy N. Zortea (2 Assists)
Italy N. Cambiaghi (2 Assists)
England J. Rowe (2 Assists)

Roma - Bologna Key Points

  1. Roma have gone four games without a win.
  2. Bologna have only lost one of their last eight matches with six wins.
  3. Bologna have won their last five away games.
  4. Bologna have won two of their last three away games against Roma.
  5. Bologna are unbeaten in their last eight Europa League fixtures.
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Our Roma vs Bologna Prediction

There's not a great deal between these two clubs. Roma have far more European experience than Bologna but they are not in the best of form at present. They suffered another loss at the weekend and have gone four games without a victory.

Bologna lost their opening game in this season's Europa League but have gone eight matches without defeat since then. They have a good recent away record against Roma. Our Roma v Bologna prediction is draw or Bologna.

Prediction :

 

Draw or Bologna

 
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Roma vs Bologna Alternative Predictions

Bologna wins

Odds 5
Bologna have won their last five away games, keeping clean sheets in each of the last three.
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Roma Bologna

Roma vs Bologna Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Roma wins 1.94 1.76 -9.3%
Draw 3.5 3.8 +8.6%
Bologna wins 4.67 5.4 +15.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Bologna is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 15.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 21.4% and is now 18.5% (-2.9%)

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Roma vs Bologna - FAQs

This all-Italian Europa League game is being played on Thursday March 19 and will kick-off at 20:00 UK time.
This second leg is the home game for Roma. The match will be played at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome, Italy.

You will require a TNT Sports subscription to be able to view this match live. At our Europa League livescore, you can read updated statistics and live text commentary.They will help you wiih any in-play wagers.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.