Roma vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
As the Italian Serie A enters matchday 33, one of the top games lined up sees AS Roma host Atalanta. This match will go some way in defining the battle for European football Roma being sixth and Atalanta seventh, the two separated by four points. Below is our prediction.
A convincing 3-0 win against bottom-placed Pisa saw Roma keep their top six dreams alive. They are hanging on, with Atalanta looking like their only serious competition for a top six slot.
That is why this is a key game for I Giallorossi. They have lost 11 times already in this campaign, the highest tally across the top seven, and have a poor run against Atalanta.
Atalanta won each of the last four meetings between these two sides and will feel like the favorites coming into this latest one. The visitors will be looking to recover from their first defeat in five Serie A matches.
They fell 1-0 at Juventus, but buoyed by their record against Roma, La Dea will be confident of rising up again. The biggest letdown for Atalanta this season has been too many draws.
They’ve drawn 11 times, which can be damaging for a team targeting European football. Only Parma have drawn more matches in Serie A.
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Roma v Atalanta Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.35 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.51 | 3.28 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.28 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.25 | 2.82 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Atalanta?
Our prediction for the Roma vs Atalanta match is: draw or Atalanta.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2026 between Roma and Atalanta in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.94% for a win of Roma against Atalanta with odds of 2.6 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Atalanta is 24.4% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Roma with odds of 2.97 at 888Starz.
Roma - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:
| Roma Atalanta Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 45.94% | 2.6 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.23% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 53.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Roma/Roma | 20.38% | 4 at Bet365 |
Roma vs Atalanta Form
Roma and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
73 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 |
|
7
|
59 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 |
Roma and Atalanta Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - Serie A
5 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Serie A
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
Roma vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
12 May 2025 - Serie A
2 Dec 2024 - Serie A
12 May 2024 - Serie A
7 Jan 2024 - Serie A
24 Apr 2023 - Serie A
Roma against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
G. De Marzi
P. Gollini
DefenderD. Ghilardi
K. Tsimikas
J. Ziolkowski
Angelino
MidfielderB. Zaragoza
N. Pisilli
L. Venturino
R. Vaz
M. Sportiello
P. Pardel
DefenderM. Bakker
L. Bernasconi
O. Kossounou
H. Ahanor
R. Obric
MidfielderY. Musah
L. Samardzic
N. Zalewski
M. Pasalic
G. Scamacca
Missing players
L. Pellegrini
M. Kone
ForwardE. Ferguson
Most goals and assists
Roma
Atalanta
D. Malen
(14 Goals)
G. Scamacca
(10 Goals)
, 
N. Krstovic
(10 Goals)
P. Dybala
(7 Assists)
N. Krstovic
(5 Assists)
, 
N. Zalewski
(5 Assists)
, 
C. De Ketelaere
(5 Assists)
Roma - Atalanta Key Points
- Atalanta have posted 11 draws in Serie A this season.
- Atalanta have beaten Roma in each of their last four meetings.
- Roma lost three of their latest five matches in Serie A this season.
- Across all competitions, Roma won just three of their last 10 games.
- Atalanta posted five wins in their last 10 league matches, drawing three.
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Our Roma vs Atalanta Prediction
As per their recent matches, Atalanta are enjoying better form compared to AS Roma, even though La Dea are coming from a loss. Roma have suffered defeat in three of their last five league matches, making it 11 losses so far in Serie A.
No team in the top seven has lost as much. It works in Atalanta’s favor as well that they have beaten Roma in each of their last four meetings. Playing away from home hasn’t favored them, though, so our prediction for AS Roma v Atalanta is for a draw or Atalanta.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Roma Atalanta
| Roma vs Atalanta | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 2.2 | 2.6 | +18.2% |
| Draw | 3.52 | 3.4 | -3.4% |
| Atalanta wins | 3.63 | 2.97 | -18.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Roma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 18.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 38.5% (-7.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
