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Rennes vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Rennes
15/08/2025 14:45
Marseille

Prediction :

 

Marseille to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Last season’s Ligue 1 runners-up Marseille will start their 2025/26 campaign at Rennes this Friday. This will be officially the opening game of the new Ligue 1 season. Let’s have a look at the match prediction. Rennes had a disappointing season last term, finishing in the bottom half, yet again. We have a prediction for the match below. 

Rennes will this time be targeting a finish higher than 12, their position last season. The hosts lost more than they won last season in the league. 

Two of their 19 defeats were inflicted by Marseille, the same opponent they start against.

Marseille appointed Roberto de Zerbi as manager at the start of last season, and it proved to be a masterstroke. The coach led them to a second-place finish and back into the Champions League main draw. 

Last season they finished a distant second, trailing the league leaders PSG by 19 points. Closing this gap between them and the competition for the league title will be very key for Marseille if they wish to return to the high table of European football. 

In their second-place finish, Marseille collected 20 more points than Rennes and have only lost once in eight matches against their hosts.

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The Best Betting Odds for Rennes v Marseille Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.7 3.8 1.91
Betfred
3.6 3.75 1.95
William Hill
3.5 3.6 1.91
Betway
3.75 3.6 1.95
Unibet
3.55 3.85 1.94
Check all Rennes vs Marseille odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Rennes and Marseille?

Our prediction for the Rennes vs Marseille match is: Marseille to win and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/08/2025 between Rennes and Marseille in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.17% for a win of Rennes against Marseille with odds of 3.92 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rennes vs Marseille is 32.04% with odds of 4.02 at 22bet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Rennes with odds of 2.07 at Stake.

Rennes vs Marseille Form

Rennes and Marseille Last Matches

Rennes
Rennes Last matches
W L D L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Rennes
2 :  2
Genoa

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Sociedad
1 :  1
Rennes

18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Rennes
2 :  3
Brest

10 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Rennes
1 :  1
Stade Briochin

17 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  2
Rennes

10 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
2 :  0
Nice
L W W D L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Rennes
2 :  2
Genoa

18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Rennes
2 :  3
Brest

10 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Rennes
1 :  1
Stade Briochin

10 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
2 :  0
Nice

18 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
2 :  1
Nantes

6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
0 :  1
Auxerre
W W L L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Sociedad
1 :  1
Rennes

17 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  2
Rennes

3 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  1
Rennes

26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
4 :  1
Rennes

13 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  5
Rennes

30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1

Angers
0 :  3
Rennes
Marseille
Marseille Last matches
W D W D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Aston Villa

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Sevilla

29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Valencia

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
0 :  2
Marseille

21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Charleroi
1 :  1
Marseille

20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Excelsior Maassluis
0 :  5
Marseille
W W W D D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Aston Villa

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Sevilla

29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  1
Valencia

17 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  2
Rennes

27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  1
Brest

19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
5 :  1
Montpellier Hsc
L D W W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
0 :  2
Marseille

21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Charleroi
1 :  1
Marseille

20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Excelsior Maassluis
0 :  5
Marseille

10 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
1 :  3
Marseille

4 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
Marseille

12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
3 :  0
Marseille

Rennes vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Rennes

17 %

Draw

17 %

Marseille

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (home team)
1.67
Goals scored (away team)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

17 May 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
4 :  2
Rennes

11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1

Rennes
1 :  2
Marseille

17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Rennes
2 :  0
Marseille

21 Jan 2024 - French Cup

Rennes
1 :  1
Marseille

3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  0
Rennes

5 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1

Rennes
0 :  1
Marseille
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Missing players

Rennes
Rennes
Defender

A. Seidu

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

F. Medina

Forward

I. Paixao

Rennes - Marseille Key Points

  1. Four of Marseille’s last five league games had over 2.5 goals.
  2. Nine goals were scored in the last two meetings between these two.
  3. Marseille have one loss in eight matches against Rennes.
  4. Marseille are unbeaten in their last five league matches.
  5. Rennes lost three of their last four league matches.
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Our Rennes vs Marseille Prediction

Marseille will once again go into this game as the favorites. They won on their last visit here, and on the strength of their finish last season, we will back them to have a good start to the campaign as well. Rennes haven't had great runs in Ligue 1 for the last two seasons now and psychologically would feel like underdogs.

They will, however, look to extend the fact that they scored in each of the last four matches against Marseille. Our prediction for Rennes v Marseille is for Marseille to win and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Marseille to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Rennes and Marseille? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Rennes vs Marseille Prediction
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