Monaco vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Monaco will hope to arrest their slide down in the Ligue 1 standings when they play host to Lorient. A much-improved Lorient sits 12th in the standings, just four points behind Monaco, who are ninth. If you are looking to bet on this match, below is our prediction.
Monaco have slipped from being a title contender and are now battling to rise back into the top six. Six losses in their last seven league games have left Les Monegasques seven points adrift of the top six.
Ironically, the only win they posted in that run was against champions PSG. They are coming off a 3-1 win over Orleans in the French Cup and will hope for a lift after three straight league losses.
Lorient will be out to take advantage of Monaco’s struggles, and being unbeaten in the last three meetings is a boost.
In their first encounter this season, Lorient improved from back-to-back draws in this matchup, beating Monaco 3-1. They are also coming from a win with a similar scoreline away to Hauts Lyonnais in the French Cup.
That was their eighth unbeaten outing across all competitions. The visitors will not be very pleased to have played to a 1-1 draw with bottom side Metz in their latest league game.
As they are still searching for a first away win in the league, this could be their best shot.
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Monaco v Lorient Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.69 | 4.3 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.22 | 5 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.16 | 4.84 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.2 | 4.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Monaco and Lorient?
Our prediction for the Monaco vs Lorient match is: Lorient or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/01/2026 between Monaco and Lorient in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.89% for a win of Monaco against Lorient with odds of 1.71 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monaco vs Lorient is 22.16% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Lorient vs Monaco with odds of 5 at Melbet.
Monaco - Lorient Prediction and Best Odds:
| Monaco Lorient Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 41.89% | 1.71 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.29% | 1.6 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Monaco | 19.57% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Monaco vs Lorient Form
Monaco and Lorient's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
54 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +6 |
|
9
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 |
Monaco and Lorient Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - French Cup
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
Monaco vs Lorient Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
17 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
16 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1
13 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1
Monaco against Lorient Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 2 - 2 - 3
Substitutes
J. Stawiecki
Y. Lienard
DefenderVanderson
S. Nibombe
I. Toure
A. Bamba
ForwardP. Brunner
A. Fati
G. Ilenikhena
B. Kamara
DefenderN. Adjei
L. Leaudais
MidfielderD. Karim
B. Fadiga
J. Mvuka
M. Bley
S. Baldoni
B. Mohamed
Missing players
L. Hradecky
DefenderT. Kehrer
M. Salisu
C. Mawissa
MidfielderP. Pogba
T. Minamino
S. Idumbo-Muzambo
M. Coulibaly
L. Camara
P. Cabral
I. Toure
MidfielderP. Katseris
A. Ebong
ForwardA. Tosin
Most goals and assists
Monaco
Lorient
F. Balogun
(13 Goals)
P. Pagis
(10 Goals)
, 
B. Dieng
(10 Goals)
M. Akliouche
(6 Assists)
A. Kouassi
(6 Assists)
Monaco - Lorient Key Points
- Monaco have lost three straight league matches.
- Across their last seven league games, Monaco lost six.
- Monaco are winless in the last three meetings with Lorient.
- Lorient have posted the most draws in Ligue 1 so far this season.
- Lorient are unbeaten in their last eight matches, posting four wins.
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Our Monaco vs Lorient Prediction
Lorient have the chance to complete a double over Monaco following a 3-1 win back in September. The visitors will be fired up for that as they come here unbeaten in eight matches, though four of them were draws. Monaco’s quest for a return to winning ways needs more of a better mental approach.
They have lost six of their last seven league games but won the toughest of them. Facing one of the poorest travelers offers some hope though. Our prediction for Monaco v Lorient is a double chance: Lorient or draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Monaco Lorient
| Monaco vs Lorient | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins | 1.63 | 1.71 | +4.9% |
| Draw | 4.37 | 4.4 | +0.7% |
| Lorient wins | 5.84 | 5 | -14.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Monaco is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.3% and is now 58.5% (-2.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
