Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey
Spain - Copa del Rey
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by Enzo Tregoat | in Football Predictions
Third match of the Copa Del Rey round of 16 tonight, with 2 LaLiga teams fighting each other. Real Sociedad hosts Osasuna, who will be making a short trip (less than 2 hours) to try to reach the quarterfinals. Kick-off is at 8:00 PM at the Reale Arena!
The local club is far from having the season expected. While they should normally be fighting for European places, they currently sit at the 11th place. Real Sociedad still has hope as 6th place is only 8 points away. But they also need to keep an eye on the teams below them: the first relegation spot is only 4 points ahead! After 3 consecutive league defeats followed by 2 draws, they beat Getafe (1-2) last Friday in La Liga, and they intend to continue this momentum. Their Copa del Rey campaign has been a success so far: 2-0 victories against Reus and 2-1 against Eldense.
Osasuna is having a season quite similar, with one notable difference: their ambitions were very different at the start of the season, as the club from northern Spain, located in the city of Pamplona, was initially expected to fight relegation. Currently 15th, two points ahead of the first relegation spot occupied by Valencia, Osasuna is not making the Copa Del Rey one of their priority. Especially after the club just lost a crucial relegation battle against Girona, a frustrating result after securing a valuable point against Athletic Bilbao.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Real Sociedad v Osasuna Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.61 | 3.7 | 5 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.55 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.76 | 4.82 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.5 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.7 | 5.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Real Sociedad and Osasuna?
Our prediction for the Real Sociedad vs Osasuna match is: BTTS
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/01/2026 between Real Sociedad and Osasuna in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.19% for a win of Real Sociedad against Osasuna with odds of 1.77 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Sociedad vs Osasuna is 18.7% with odds of 3.76 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Osasuna vs Real Sociedad with odds of 5.3 at Shangrila.
Real Sociedad - Osasuna Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Sociedad Osasuna Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 45.19% | 1.77 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.91% | 2.21 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 65.83% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Sociedad | 21.32% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Form
Real Sociedad and Osasuna Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
12 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
12 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
24 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
3 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
27 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Real Sociedad against Osasuna Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
A. Remiro
DefenderA. Elustondo
A. Munoz
A. Odriozola
J. Martin
A. Zakharyan
P. Marin
B. Mendez
G. Guedes
B. Turrientes
O. Oskarsson
S. Herrera
DefenderA. Catena
V. Rosier
J. Galan
A. Osambela
L. Torro
A. Budimir
V. Munoz
A. Oroz
R. Garcia
S. Becker
Missing players
I. Ruperez Urtasun
MidfielderY. Herrera
I. Benito
Real Sociedad - Osasuna Key Points
- In 2 of Osasuna's Copa del Rey matches this season, both teams scored (3-5 and 2-4).
- The prediction "both teams to score" has been correct in 5 of Osasuna's last 9 matches.
- The last confrontation between these 2 teams saw both teams scored (1-3 for Sociedad).
- Both teams scored a goal in each of the last 5 matches of Real Sociedad.
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Our Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Prediction
In a match between two teams more focused on avoiding relegation than on this Copa del Rey Round of 16 tie, we could be in for a fairly open and entertaining game. These two teams have made a habit of predicting both teams to score in recent weeks, and their last confrontation on November 22, 2025, demonstrate it. We expect this prediction to be true again tonight.
Our Real Sociedad vs Osasuna prediction: BTTS
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Sociedad Osasuna
| Real Sociedad vs Osasuna | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 2.24 | 1.77 | -21.0% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.76 | +3.0% |
| Osasuna wins | 2.85 | 5.3 | +86.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Sociedad is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 21.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.6% and is now 56.5% (11.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Real Sociedad vs. Osasuna game!
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Try your luck on this year's Copa del Rey! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
