Burgos vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey
Spain - Copa del Rey
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
It might not make the headlines, but the Copa del Rey game between Burgos and Valencia should be very interesting. Relegation-bound Valencia from La Liga faces mid-table Burgos in the second division, promising a game that could go either way in terms of goals and the winner. See our match prediction below.
Valencia, who sit 18th in the Spanish top flight, are still winless in six La Liga games. They've only found success in the Copa del Rey in that span, beating Sporting Gijon and Cartagena. They've since drawn two games and lost one, with the latest being a 1-1 stalemate against Elche in their backyards.
You can argue that Valencia is operating on a higher level than Burgos. However, one win in their last 14 league games should tell you just how bad Los Che’s performances have been. They'll have to shape up against a Burgos side that just beat Einstein 1-0 and has only tasted defeat once in its last five games.
In La Liga 2, where Los Blanquinegros operates, they sit at 8th position, but that doesn't tell the full story. They've lost just two more games than league leaders Racing Club and won only two games fewer. And that record only sees them six points off the top of the table and two points outside the promotion playoffs.
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Burgos v Valencia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.1 | 2.12 |
|
|
4.16 | 3.14 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.66 | 3.18 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.1 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.1 | 2.06 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Burgos and Valencia?
Our prediction for the Burgos vs Valencia match is: Both Teams To Score - Yes.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/01/2026 between Burgos and Valencia in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.82% for a win of Burgos against Valencia with odds of 4.16 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burgos vs Valencia is 28.91% with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Valencia vs Burgos with odds of 2.15 at Betwinner.
Burgos - Valencia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burgos Valencia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos wins | 36.82% | 4.16 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 2.03 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Burgos/Burgos | 14.67% | 7 at Bet365 |
Burgos vs Valencia Form
Burgos and Valencia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga 2
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga 2
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
18 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
8 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga 2
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
18 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
8 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
10 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga 2
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
16 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
21 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
Burgos against Valencia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Cantero
DefenderA. Lizancos Saldana
I. Martinez
F. Miguel
MidfielderCurro
M. Atienza
I. Morante Ruiz
I. Cordoba
M. Cantero
K. Appin
M. Gonzalez
C. Rivero
DefenderJ. Copete
J. Gaya
A. Panach
D. Foulquier
Pepelu
F. Ugrinic
L. Rioja
H. Duro
L. Beltran
A. Danjuma
Missing players
J. Agirrezabala
DefenderM. Diakhaby
T. Correia
ForwardD. Raba
Burgos - Valencia Key Points
- Burgos has scored in four of their last five games, with three ending with goals from both teams.
- Valencia has conceded a goal in seven of their last eight games.
- Additionally, both teams have scored in seven of Valencia’s last eight games.
- Valencia has conceded in 16 of 22 games this season and has scored in 17.
- Both teams have scored in 12 of Burgos’ 24 games this season.
- Burgos beat top-flight Getafe 3-1 in the last round.
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Our Burgos vs Valencia Prediction
While the odds favour the opposite, we're heavily backing both teams to score in this game. Los Che are vulnerable and will now go up against a relatively stable Burgos side that, while operating in a lower division, is capable enough of netting a goal of their own.
Just take the last round, for example. Los Blanquinegros netted three goals against Getafe from just four shots. On the other hand, we expect Valencia to net, as they've now done in 17 of 22 games this season, and every Copa del Rey encounter (nine goals in three games) so far. Hence, our Burgos vs Valencia prediction is Both Teams To Score - Yes.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burgos Valencia
| Burgos vs Valencia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos wins | 4.66 | 4.16 | -10.7% |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.3 | -8.8% |
| Valencia wins | 1.78 | 2.15 | +20.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burgos is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 21.5% and is now 24.0% (2.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
