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by Sridhar | in Club World Cup Predictions
Xabi Alonso starts his managerial career for Real Madrid in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Group H encounter against Saudi Arabia’s Al Hilal, who start under a new coach themselves – Simone Inzaghi. These are the teams that played in the 2022 final, so it could be interesting to see if there’s a different result this time out. Our prediction for this match at Hard Rock Stadium on Wednesday is a Los Blancos -1 handicap win over the Blue Waves.
Mexico’s Pachuca and Austria’s Red Bull Salzburg are the other teams in the group which awards two spots for the knockouts. Madrid will hope to start the tournament on a high as they look to settle quickly under Alonso’s management. They lost the domestic La Liga title to Barcelona, but a good finish to that season and some swift moves in the transfer market have brought them back on the radar.
Al Hilal also finished as runners-up in their domestic campaign and have appointed Inzaghi as their coach, poaching him from Inter Milan. Will that be enough to spur them to action against European powerhouses? Read further for our recommendations.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Al Hilal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 5.25 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.35 | 5 | 7 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.75 | 8 |
|
|
1.28 | 6 | 9.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Al Hilal?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Al Hilal match is: Real Madrid -1 European handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/06/2025 between Real Madrid and Al Hilal in Club World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.07% for a win of Real Madrid against Al Hilal with odds of 1.43 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Al Hilal is 13.35% with odds of 6 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Al Hilal vs Real Madrid with odds of 11 at Betfair.
Real Madrid - Al Hilal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Al Hilal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 48.07% | 1.43 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.17% | 1.4 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | 1.72 at Vbet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 20.59% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
Real Madrid vs Al Hilal Form
Real Madrid and Al Hilal's standings in the Club World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
|
2
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Real Madrid and Al Hilal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
14 May 2025 - LaLiga
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
4 May 2025 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
14 May 2025 - LaLiga
4 May 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
11 May 2025 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
21 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
16 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
12 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
7 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
29 Apr 2025 - AFC Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
12 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
29 Apr 2025 - AFC Champions League
25 Apr 2025 - AFC Champions League
21 Apr 2025 - Saudi Pro League
17 Apr 2025 - Saudi Pro League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
16 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
7 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League
11 Apr 2025 - Saudi Pro League
15 Mar 2025 - Saudi Pro League
7 Mar 2025 - Saudi Pro League
Real Madrid vs Al Hilal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
11 Feb 2023 - Club World Cup
Real Madrid - Al Hilal: Form Analysis
Real Madrid finished their last campaign strong with four wins out of their last five matches, including three wins in a row. That hasn’t stopped them from bidding goodbye to Carlo Ancelotti and adding Alonso at the helm, signing him from Bayer Leverkusen.
Los Blancos are in their seventh appearance at the tournament and have qualified as the winners of the 2021/22 UEFA Champions League. They should continue their good scoring record, having netted at least two goals in their last five matches.
Madrid beat Al-Hilal 5-3 in the 2022 final of this tournament.
Al-Hilal are playing in their fourth Club World Cup and have finished runners-up in their last appearance. They come here with four wins and a draw from their last five matches, albeit against opposition from Saudi Arabia.
In addition to losing to Real Madrid in the 2022 final, Al-Hilal have also lost to Chelsea in the 2021 edition of this tournament. Inzaghi will hope to change that as he takes charge of his new team. He doesn’t have a great personal record against Madrid or against Leverkusen under Alonso, losing his three previous such games.
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Real Madrid against Al Hilal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Real Madrid & Al Hilal Squad Analysis
Madrid moved quickly in the market, paying Liverpool to acquire Trent Alexander-Arnold’s services in time for this competition. Dean Huijsen has also been signed to shore up the defence, coming after a standout season with Bournemouth in the Premier League.
New coach Alonso hasn’t yet committed to a system, but he usually lined his Leverkusen side in a 3-4-3 or a 3-4-2-1 formation. That could see either Kylian Mbappe line up as a single forward or play slightly ahead with Jude Bellingham and Rodrygo or Arda Guler flanking him.
Madrid are set to miss at least five regular starters.
That could give hope for Al-Hilal, although they will have to quickly settle under new coach Inzaghi’s tactics. They have usually lined up in the 4-2-3-1 formation, which would be changed to 3-5-2 under Inzaghi.
Wingers Malcom and Salem Al-Dawsari will have to get used to being the target players up front. In particular, Al-Dawsari has to bear their scoring burden, and he also boasts of four goals in his previous Club World Cup appearances.
The Saudi Arabians are also set to miss as many as six players, a list headed by Joao Cancelo.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Al Hilal
G. Garcia
(4 Goals)
Marcos Leonardo
(4 Goals)
T. Alexander-Arnold
(2 Assists)
, 
A. Guler
(2 Assists)
R. Neves
(2 Assists)
Real Madrid - Al Hilal Key Points
- Madrid have scored at least two goals in their last six competitive matches.
- Madrid won four of their last five matches, losing the other.
- Al-Hilal lost their previous two matches against European teams, including one against Madrid.
- Madrid won their last four Club World Cup matches.
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Our Real Madrid vs Al Hilal Prediction
It’s an interesting start for Xabi Alonso with Real Madrid as they come up against Al-Hilal. While the Saudi Arabians have been making noises themselves, including hiring Simone Inzaghi as their manager, this match could be one step too many. The attacking power at the disposal of Madrid promises goals for the Spanish side, who have scored at least two goals in their last six competitive matches. That promises an entertaining affair for Madrid fans, and our Real Madrid vs Al Hilal prediction is Real Madrid -1 European handicap.
Real Madrid vs Al Hilal - Other Interesting Predictions
Kylian Mbappe to score 2 or more goals
Call it rich form – Madrid’s French forward Kylian Mbappe comes here with a tally of 12 goals in his last eight matches for club and country. Of those, seven were scored in his last four matches for Real Madrid. Back him to score multiple goals here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Al Hilal
| Real Madrid vs Al Hilal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.27 | 1.4 | +10.2% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 5.25 | -4.5% |
| Al Hilal wins | 9.5 | 6.5 | -31.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 78.7% and is now 71.4% (-7.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Real Madrid vs. Al Hilal game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Real Madrid and Al Hilal? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Club World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Real Madrid vs Al Hilal match : Frequently asked questions
The British-based entertainment platform DAZN has got exclusive international broadcasting rights for the tournament. They are set to air all 63 fixtures for free via their internal streaming platform and TV channels.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our FIFA Club World Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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