RC Toulonnais vs Stade Toulousain Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14
France - Top 14
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions
Off the back of their Challenge Cup semi-final heartbreak, RC Toulon returns to Top 14 action, playing host to Stade Toulousain at Stade Mayol on Saturday. The Red and Blacks, who will be out to boost their playoff hopes, sit eighth in the standings, 22 points adrift of Stade Toulousain at the top. Their recent domestic league struggles is a stark contrast to Stade Toulousain's strong run this season, leading us to a prediction of Stade Toulousain to win the match by a sizable margin.
RC Toulon finally snapped their five-match winless run in Top 14 with a largely expected victory over struggling Montauban, and then thrashed Bayonne in their next fixture. However, they failed to carry that momentum into their continental campaign, losing 29–25 to Leinster in the Challenge Cup semifinals last week.
Pierre Mignoni's charges are set for their biggest test of the season against table-toppers Stade Toulousain. They have lost two of their last three Top 14 home league matches by blowout margins, including their last four matchups against Stade Toulousain across all competitions.
Stade Toulousain fell to a shock 27–24 home defeat to Clermont last time out, but will be confident of returning to winning ways. Ugo Mola's men have racked up an impressive 16 wins from their 22 Top 14 matches this season (L6), opening a commanding 12-point lead at the top of the table. This includes a competitive 5–5 record in their 10 away games in the competition this season. They have won both their last two trips to Stade Mayol to face RC Toulon.
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RC Toulonnais v Stade Toulousain Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.83 | 30 | 1.44 |
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3.26 | 20 | 1.34 |
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3.1 | 21 | 1.4 |
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2.86 | 20 | 1.42 |
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2.86 | 20 | 1.42 |
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RC Toulonnais vs Stade Toulousain Form
RC Toulonnais and Stade Toulousain's standings in the Top 14
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
86 | 26 | 18 | 0 | 8 | +364 |
|
9
|
59 | 26 | 12 | 1 | 13 | -106 |
RC Toulonnais and Stade Toulousain Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
2 May 2026 - Champions Cup
25 Apr 2026 - Top 14
18 Apr 2026 - Top 14
11 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Apr 2026 - Top 14
4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Top 14
14 Feb 2026 - Top 14
25 Jan 2026 - Top 14
11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2 May 2026 - Champions Cup
18 Apr 2026 - Top 14
11 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
1 Feb 2026 - Top 14
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Apr 2026 - Top 14
18 Apr 2026 - Top 14
12 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
22 Mar 2026 - Top 14
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
26 Apr 2026 - Top 14
4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
18 Apr 2026 - Top 14
12 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
22 Mar 2026 - Top 14
15 Feb 2026 - Top 14
11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
RC Toulonnais vs Stade Toulousain Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
26 Oct 2025 - Top 14
10 May 2025 - Top 14
13 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Top 14
20 Apr 2024 - Top 14
23 Dec 2023 - Top 14
Players list
Substitutes
RC Toulonnais - Stade Toulousain Key Points
- RC Toulon have lost four of their last seven Top 14 matches.
- The Red and Blacks have lost two of their last three Top 14 home matches by heavy margins.
- Stade Toulousain have won 16 of their 22 Top 14 matches this season.
- Stade Toulousain have won their last four matches against RC Toulon, including their last two trips to face them.
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Our RC Toulonnais vs Stade Toulousain Prediction
We expect Stade Toulousain to win this match by at least seven points. The defending champions sit 22 points clear of RC Toulon and will look to build on their commanding 12-point lead at the top to secure first place heading into the playoffs.
They have dominated RC Toulon in their recent meetings, winning all their last four matchups. Meanwhile, the hosts have struggled in their recent home games and tomorrow's clash is unlikely to be any different. Our RC Toulonnais vs Stade Toulousain prediction : Stade Toulousain –6.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
