RC Toulonnais vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
21/03/2026 11:35
Stade Francais Paris

Prediction :

 

RC Toulonnais –9.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

This Top 14 Round 19 clash sees seventh-placed RC Toulonnais play host to sixth-placed Stade Francais Paris on Saturday. Can the Red and Blacks end their recent winless run and also strengthen their bid for a place in the playoffs with a win against the Pink Soldiers? Here is our prediction.

RC Toulonnais have seen their Top 14 fortunes decline drastically of late. They come into this clash without a win in their last three matches, including a gritty 13–13 draw against Lyon last time out. 

This poor recent run has seen them fall four points behind the playoff spots. However, they could reignite their top-six hopes with a win. Notably, Pierre Mignoni's side are a formidable opposition at home with eight wins from their nine Top 14 home games this season, six of which have been by double-digit margins.

Stade Francais Paris thrashed bottom-placed USA Perpignan 42–21 in their last match, moving to sixth in the standings with 49 points. However, they have lost two of their last three Top 14 matches and have posted a poor 2–0–7 record in their nine Top 14 away games this season. Additionally, their last five trips to face Toulon have ended in heavy defeats.

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RC Toulonnais v Stade Francais Paris Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.23 21 4.26
Betwinner
1.23 20 4.38
Bet365
1.25 26 4
Roobet
1.25 20 3.85
BC Game
1.25 20 3.85
Check all RC Toulonnais vs Stade Francais Paris odds

RC Toulonnais vs Stade Francais Paris Form

RC Toulonnais and Stade Francais Paris's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Stade Francais Paris
78 25 15 1 9 +210
9 RC Toulonnais
59 25 12 1 12 -89

RC Toulonnais and Stade Francais Paris Last Matches

RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais Last matches
W W W L L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

28 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
13 :  13
RC Toulonnais

14 Feb 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
14 :  34
Clermont

1 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Section Paloise
32 :  12
RC Toulonnais

25 Jan 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
30 :  27
Montpellier Herault Rugby

17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Gloucester Rugby
14 :  31
RC Toulonnais

11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
27 :  25
Munster
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

14 Feb 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
14 :  34
Clermont

25 Jan 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
30 :  27
Montpellier Herault Rugby

11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
27 :  25
Munster

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
31 :  16
USA Perpignan

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
45 :  34
Bath Rugby

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
54 :  28
US Montalbanaise
L L L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

28 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
13 :  13
RC Toulonnais

1 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Section Paloise
32 :  12
RC Toulonnais

17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Gloucester Rugby
14 :  31
RC Toulonnais

4 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
66 :  0
RC Toulonnais

21 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
46 :  7
RC Toulonnais

7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Edinburgh Rugby
33 :  20
RC Toulonnais
Stade Francais Paris
Stade Francais Paris Last matches
W L W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

28 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
42 :  21
USA Perpignan

15 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
9 :  13
Stade Toulousain

31 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
44 :  7
Stade Francais Paris

24 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
28 :  33
Stade Francais Paris

17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Ulster Rugby
26 :  19
Stade Francais Paris

10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Stade Francais Paris
27 :  25
Exeter RC Chiefs
W D W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

28 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
42 :  21
USA Perpignan

15 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
9 :  13
Stade Toulousain

10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Stade Francais Paris
27 :  25
Exeter RC Chiefs

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
33 :  15
Castres Olympique

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
20 :  20
Racing 92

6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Stade Francais Paris
38 :  17
Cardiff Rugby
L W L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

31 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
44 :  7
Stade Francais Paris

24 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
28 :  33
Stade Francais Paris

17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Ulster Rugby
26 :  19
Stade Francais Paris

27 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
35 :  34
Stade Francais Paris

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Cheetahs
22 :  45
Stade Francais Paris

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
36 :  32
Stade Francais Paris

RC Toulonnais vs Stade Francais Paris Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

RC Toulonnais

67 %

Draw

0 %

Stade Francais Paris

33 %

23 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
51 :  24
RC Toulonnais

22 Feb 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
24 :  6
Stade Francais Paris

22 Sept 2024 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
10 :  14
RC Toulonnais

8 Jun 2024 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
23 :  20
RC Toulonnais

30 Dec 2023 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
19 :  5
Stade Francais Paris

4 Mar 2023 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
37 :  9
Stade Francais Paris

Players list

RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais
M. Smaili E. Abadie M. Domon G. Drean G. Villiere B. Gigashvili B. Serin C. Ollivon L. Ludlam T. Baubigny T. Albornoz D. Ribbans Z. Mercer D. Priso J. Sinzelle
Stade Francais Paris
Stade Francais Paris
L. Barre M. Hirigoyen L. Carbonel M. Alo-Emile L. Peyresblanques P. Dakuwaqa T. Motassi Dibongue N. Nene J. Scelzo S. Macalou J. Marchant P. Gabrillagues P. Alo-Emile L. Etien B. Pesenti

Substitutes

RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais
M. Shioshvili M. Jaminet G. Lucchesi K. Alainuuese L. Ametlla M. Ferte D. Brennan S. Tuicuvu
Stade Francais Paris
Stade Francais Paris
P. Azagoh J. Iscaro T. Halaifonua G. Melikidze P. Abadie R. Briatte A. Abril Garcia T. Vili

RC Toulonnais - Stade Francais Paris Key Points

  1. RC Toulonnais have won eight of their nine Top 14 home matches this season, six of which by double digits.
  2. RC Toulonnais have won their last five home matches against Stade Francais Paris by wide margins.
  3. Stade Francais Paris have lost two of their last three Top 14 matches.
  4. Stade Francais Paris have lost seven of their nine Top 14 away matches this season.
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Our RC Toulonnais vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction

We are backing RC Toulonnais to win this match and also cover the spread. The Red and Blacks have proven formidable opposition at home this season despite recent setbacks, winning most of their home fixtures by comfortable margins. 

Stade Francais Paris come into this match with seven defeats from their nine Top 14 away matches this season and have suffered double-digit losses in their last five trips to face RC Toulonnais. Our RC Toulonnais vs Stade Francais Paris prediction is RC Toulonnais –9.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

RC Toulonnais –9.5 handicap

 
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RC Toulonnais vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction