RC Toulonnais vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14
France - Top 14
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions
This Top 14 Round 19 clash sees seventh-placed RC Toulonnais play host to sixth-placed Stade Francais Paris on Saturday. Can the Red and Blacks end their recent winless run and also strengthen their bid for a place in the playoffs with a win against the Pink Soldiers? Here is our prediction.
RC Toulonnais have seen their Top 14 fortunes decline drastically of late. They come into this clash without a win in their last three matches, including a gritty 13–13 draw against Lyon last time out.
This poor recent run has seen them fall four points behind the playoff spots. However, they could reignite their top-six hopes with a win. Notably, Pierre Mignoni's side are a formidable opposition at home with eight wins from their nine Top 14 home games this season, six of which have been by double-digit margins.
Stade Francais Paris thrashed bottom-placed USA Perpignan 42–21 in their last match, moving to sixth in the standings with 49 points. However, they have lost two of their last three Top 14 matches and have posted a poor 2–0–7 record in their nine Top 14 away games this season. Additionally, their last five trips to face Toulon have ended in heavy defeats.
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RC Toulonnais v Stade Francais Paris Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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|
1.23 | 21 | 4.26 |
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|
|
1.23 | 20 | 4.38 |
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|
|
1.25 | 26 | 4 |
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|
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1.25 | 20 | 3.85 |
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1.25 | 20 | 3.85 |
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RC Toulonnais vs Stade Francais Paris Form
RC Toulonnais and Stade Francais Paris's standings in the Top 14
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
78 | 25 | 15 | 1 | 9 | +210 |
|
9
|
59 | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | -89 |
RC Toulonnais and Stade Francais Paris Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
14 Feb 2026 - Top 14
1 Feb 2026 - Top 14
25 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
14 Feb 2026 - Top 14
25 Jan 2026 - Top 14
11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Dec 2025 - Top 14
14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup
29 Nov 2025 - Top 14
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
1 Feb 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Top 14
21 Dec 2025 - Top 14
7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
15 Feb 2026 - Top 14
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
15 Feb 2026 - Top 14
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
31 Jan 2026 - Top 14
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
27 Dec 2025 - Top 14
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - Top 14
RC Toulonnais vs Stade Francais Paris Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
23 Nov 2025 - Top 14
22 Feb 2025 - Top 14
22 Sept 2024 - Top 14
8 Jun 2024 - Top 14
30 Dec 2023 - Top 14
4 Mar 2023 - Top 14
Players list
Substitutes
RC Toulonnais - Stade Francais Paris Key Points
- RC Toulonnais have won eight of their nine Top 14 home matches this season, six of which by double digits.
- RC Toulonnais have won their last five home matches against Stade Francais Paris by wide margins.
- Stade Francais Paris have lost two of their last three Top 14 matches.
- Stade Francais Paris have lost seven of their nine Top 14 away matches this season.
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Our RC Toulonnais vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction
We are backing RC Toulonnais to win this match and also cover the spread. The Red and Blacks have proven formidable opposition at home this season despite recent setbacks, winning most of their home fixtures by comfortable margins.
Stade Francais Paris come into this match with seven defeats from their nine Top 14 away matches this season and have suffered double-digit losses in their last five trips to face RC Toulonnais. Our RC Toulonnais vs Stade Francais Paris prediction is RC Toulonnais –9.5 handicap.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.