RC Toulonnais vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
25/01/2026 09:30
Montpellier Herault Rugby

Prediction :

 

RC Toulon -12.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

RC Toulon welcome Montpellier HR to Stade Mayol for their Top 14 round 15 fixture on Saturday. The Red and Blacks are fifth in the standings with 39 points, while Montpellier HR are sixth with 38 points. Here is our prediction.

RC Toulon enter Saturday's clash off back-to-back wins in their Champions Cup outing, including a 31–14 away win over Gloucester Rugby last week. They suffered a heavy 66–0 shutout defeat to La Rochelle in their last league outing, but are in a strong position to bounce back. 

The four-time champions have won their seven Top 14 home matches this season, six of which by double digits. They also boast a perfect home run across all competitions and defeated Montpellier HR in their last four meetings. 

Montpellier HR capped a perfect Champions Cup pool stage campaign with a 31–26 away victory over Ospreys last week and will look to replicate this stellar run on the domestic scene. They thrashed Aviron Bayonne 62–22 in their last league outing, but have failed to win five of their six away Top 14 fixtures (D1, L4). 

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RC Toulonnais v Montpellier Herault Rugby Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.3 29 3.55
Betwinner
1.26 15 4.1
Bet365
1.33 23 3.4
Roobet
1.3 20 3.4
BC Game
1.3 20 3.4
Check all RC Toulonnais vs Montpellier Herault Rugby odds

RC Toulonnais vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Form

RC Toulonnais and Montpellier Herault Rugby's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Montpellier Herault Rugby
78 25 16 1 8 +234
9 RC Toulonnais
59 25 12 1 12 -89

RC Toulonnais and Montpellier Herault Rugby Last Matches

RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Gloucester Rugby
14 :  31
RC Toulonnais

11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
27 :  25
Munster

4 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
66 :  0
RC Toulonnais

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
31 :  16
USA Perpignan

21 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
46 :  7
RC Toulonnais

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
45 :  34
Bath Rugby
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
27 :  25
Munster

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
31 :  16
USA Perpignan

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
45 :  34
Bath Rugby

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
54 :  28
US Montalbanaise

8 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
39 :  14
Stade Rochelais

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
54 :  21
Lyon Ou
L L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup

Gloucester Rugby
14 :  31
RC Toulonnais

4 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
66 :  0
RC Toulonnais

21 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
46 :  7
RC Toulonnais

7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Edinburgh Rugby
33 :  20
RC Toulonnais

23 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
51 :  24
RC Toulonnais

26 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
59 :  24
RC Toulonnais
Montpellier Herault Rugby
Montpellier Herault Rugby Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
26 :  31
Montpellier Herault Rugby

11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
33 :  31
Connacht Rugby

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
62 :  22
Aviron Bayonne

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
35 :  33
Montpellier Herault Rugby

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
33 :  31
Castres Olympique

12 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
31 :  7
Zebre
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
33 :  31
Connacht Rugby

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
62 :  22
Aviron Bayonne

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
33 :  31
Castres Olympique

12 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
31 :  7
Zebre

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
28 :  24
Union Bordeaux Begles

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
7 :  9
Clermont
L L W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
26 :  31
Montpellier Herault Rugby

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
35 :  33
Montpellier Herault Rugby

6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Black Lion
13 :  24
Montpellier Herault Rugby

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
0 :  28
Montpellier Herault Rugby

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
35 :  12
Montpellier Herault Rugby

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Racing 92
32 :  25
Montpellier Herault Rugby

RC Toulonnais vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

RC Toulonnais

83 %

Draw

0 %

Montpellier Herault Rugby

17 %

6 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
17 :  27
RC Toulonnais

15 Feb 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
30 :  38
RC Toulonnais

19 Oct 2024 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
30 :  17
Montpellier Herault Rugby

23 Mar 2024 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
54 :  7
Montpellier Herault Rugby

7 Jan 2024 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
27 :  17
RC Toulonnais

4 Feb 2023 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
18 :  20
RC Toulonnais

Players list

RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais
T. Baubigny T. Albornoz E. Abadie K. Alainuuese O. Cowie M. Domon M. Ferte G. Drean D. Ribbans B. Serin C. Ollivon K. Sinckler I. Brex D. Priso L. Ludlam
Montpellier Herault Rugby
Montpellier Herault Rugby
J. Piccardo B. Erdocio L. Nouchi T. Duguid A. Bécognée D. Taofifénua A. Vincent F. Verhaeghe W. Hounkpatin C. Tolofua A. Price H. Miotti G. N'Gandebe T. Banks V. Vunipola

Substitutes

RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais
J. Gros P. Damond J. Kpoku J. Sinzelle B. Gigashvili Z. Mercer B. White G. Javakhia
Montpellier Herault Rugby
Montpellier Herault Rugby
A. Masibaka L. Coly V. Welsch B. Chalureau S. Hogg J. Uelese E. Forletta A. Cadot

RC Toulonnais - Montpellier Herault Rugby Key Points

  1. RC Toulon have won their seven Top 14 home matches this season, six of which by good margins.
  2. RC Toulon have won all nine of their home fixtures this season, eight of which by heavy margins.
  3. Montpellier HR have failed to win five of their six away league matches this season.
  4. Montpellier HR have lost their last four matches against RC Toulon.
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Our RC Toulonnais vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Prediction

RC Toulon and Montpellier HR occupy the last two playoff places in the standings, with the following five teams firmly in the race for the top six. A win on Saturday could go a long way to boost their chances of beating this competition. 

We expect a keen contest, but one likely to go in RC Toulon's favor by a good margin. Pierre Mignoni's charges are on top of their game, especially when playing at home and have beaten Montpellier HR in their last four encounters. Our RC Toulon vs Montpellier HR prediction is RC Toulon -12.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

RC Toulon -12.5 handicap

 
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RC Toulonnais vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Prediction