Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Conference League Predictions
Rayo Vallecano are out to protect their two-goal advantage when they welcome Samsunspor to the Campo de Futbol de Vallecas in the second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Round of 16. Here's our match prediction.
Rayo Vallecano have one foot in the UEFA Europa Conference League quarter-finals. The home team secured a comfortable 3-1 away win against Samsunspor in the first leg of the Round of 16.
After that result, the Red Sashes shifted their focus to La Liga. On Monday, they faced Levante and shared the spoils in a 1-1 home draw. That marked their fourth draw in six league games.
On the positive side, they enter this clash unbeaten in their last seven matches across all competitions. In the Conference League, they have won their last three matches.
It's a mountain to climb for Samsunspor in the second leg, as their main objective heading into this clash is overturning a two-goal deficit on foreign territory.
Their away form has been consistent with just two of their last eight matches across all competitions. However, it's still to be seen whether that'll be enough to see them come away with a positive result.
The Red Lightning should draw confidence from their latest Turkish Super Lig outing. They faced Kayserispor at home and won 3-1. That triumph couldn't have come at a better time, as it halted a two-match losing streak.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Rayo Vallecano v Samsunspor Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.7 | 3.55 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.92 | 6.35 |
|
|
1.59 | 3.79 | 6.31 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.75 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.8 | 6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Samsunspor?
Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/03/2026 between Rayo Vallecano and Samsunspor in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.04% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Samsunspor with odds of 1.7 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor is 24.98% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 6.6 at 888Starz.
Rayo Vallecano - Samsunspor Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rayo Vallecano Samsunspor Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 50.04% | 1.7 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.71% | 2.13 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Rayo Vallecano/Rayo Vallecano | 23.41% | 2.4 at Bet365 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Form
Rayo Vallecano and Samsunspor Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
5 Mar 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
1 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
1 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
7 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
3 Feb 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
5 Mar 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
22 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
13 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
30 Jan 2026 - Super Lig
Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
Rayo Vallecano against Samsunspor Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
D. Cardenas
A. Molina
DefenderN. Mendy
A. Espino
I. Balliu
O. Valentin
P. Díaz
G. Gumbau
ForwardI. Akhomach
S. Camello
O. Trejo
E. Berat Toruz
I. Egribayat
DefenderT. Borevkovic
E. Albak
S. Gonul
Z. Yavru
MidfielderF. Atoen
T. Coulibaly
E. Kilinc
E. Ceesay
Missing players
D. Mendez
ForwardC. Martin
Most goals and assists
Rayo Vallecano
Samsunspor
Alemao
(4 Goals)
M. Mouandilmadji
(8 Goals)
A. Garcia
(3 Assists)
,
I. Palazon
(3 Assists)
C. Holse
(5 Assists)
Rayo Vallecano - Samsunspor Key Points
- Rayo Vallecano have seen both teams score in five of their last six matches across all competitions.
- Samsunspor have scored in each of their last four matches across all competitions.
- Both teams scored in five of Rayo Vallecano's last six matches in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Samsunspor scored in each of their last three UEFA Europa Conference League games.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Prediction
This is a do-or-die clash for Samsunspor, who are aiming to overturn a two-goal deficit. The visitors are likely to be cautious and will adopt an attacking-minded approach to cut the deficit as early as possible. Their commitment forward will leave them exposed at the back, giving Vallecano the perfect opportunity to get one past.
Both sides created far better opportunities in the final third in their latest outing, and could do the same again here. Considering that this could be a tense affair, both sides getting on the scoreboard seems the most probable outcome. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor prediction: BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rayo Vallecano Samsunspor
| Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 1.68 | 1.7 | +1.2% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4 | +3.9% |
| Samsunspor wins | 5.4 | 6.6 | +22.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rayo Vallecano is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 58.8% (-0.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
