QPR vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

QPR
14/10/2026 14:45
Derby County

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions

After posting draws in their latest outings, QPR and Derby County will be looking to end lengthy winless runs in their Wednesday meeting. Hosts QPR arrive for this match, placed fourth, while Derby are second from bottom. The two sides have lately been struggling defensively, and BTTS may be a good prediction here.

QPR will see this home match as the chance to claim a fourth win in the Championship. However, after four straight draws and a loss, playing at home still doesn’t generate the needed confidence.

The Hoops have only posted one win at home in the league so far. The 2-1 victory against promoted Cardiff stands as their only home win in eight games. QPR are coming off a 1-1 draw with West Ham United.

Derby also carry a five-match winless run into this game, a run in which they lost three times. The visitors have only managed one clean sheet in the last 10 matches and will be looking to do better here.

The Rams do not have to search too far for encouragement. They won three of their last four meetings with QPR, and that run includes a 3-2 victory in their latest visit here.

Derby returned from the international break to register a second straight 1-1 draw in the league, this time sharing spoils with Wrexham.

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QPR v Derby County Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.67 3.85 4.70
1xbet
1.66 3.85 4.80
Melbet
1.66 3.85 4.80
Betwinner
1.66 3.85 4.80
22bet
1.75 3.80 4.27
Check all QPR vs Derby County odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between QPR and Derby County?

Our prediction for the QPR vs Derby County match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2026 between QPR and Derby County in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.4% for a win of QPR against Derby County with odds of 1.75 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between QPR vs Derby County is 36.65% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 19.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs QPR with odds of 5 at Tonybet.

QPR - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:

QPR Derby County Prediction Probability Odds
QPR wins 43.4% 1.75 at 22bet
Under 2.5 57.23% 2.00 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 57.08% 1.85 at Betway
Half-time / Full-time : QPR/QPR 16.83% 2.60 at Bet365

QPR vs Derby County Form

QPR and Derby County's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 QPR
14 9 3 5 1 +3
23 Derby County
6 9 1 3 5 -7

QPR and Derby County Last Matches

QPR
QPR Last matches
W L D D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Oct 2026 - Championship

West Ham
1 :  1
QPR

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  2
Preston North End

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
QPR

9 Sept 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
0 :  0
QPR

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

QPR
0 :  1
Middlesbrough

2 Sept 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Cardiff
W D D W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  2
Preston North End

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

QPR
0 :  1
Middlesbrough

2 Sept 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  1
Cardiff

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

QPR
0 :  0
Bolton

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

QPR
1 :  1
Millwall

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

QPR
3 :  2
Fiorentina
W W W D D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Oct 2026 - Championship

West Ham
1 :  1
QPR

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
QPR

9 Sept 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
0 :  0
QPR

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
1 :  2
QPR

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
1 :  3
QPR

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AFC Wimbledon
2 :  3
QPR
Derby County
Derby County Last matches
W L L L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Wrexham

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Derby County

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Birmingham

9 Sept 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
West Brom

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Ham
3 :  0
Derby County

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  2
Derby County
L D L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Wrexham

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Birmingham

9 Sept 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
West Brom

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  3
Swansea

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  2
Cardiff

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Derby County
1 :  2
Lincoln City
L D L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Derby County

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Ham
3 :  0
Derby County

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  2
Derby County

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
2 :  1
Derby County

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rotherham
1 :  1
Derby County

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Burton Albion
1 :  0
Derby County

QPR vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

QPR

33 %

Draw

0 %

Derby County

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  3
Derby County

25 Oct 2025 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
QPR

14 Feb 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  0
Derby County

5 Oct 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
QPR

29 Nov 2021 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
QPR

23 Jan 2021 - Championship

QPR
0 :  1
Derby County
QPR vs Derby County Prediction

QPR vs Derby County last Lineups

QPR

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
P. Charles
2
K. Adamson
3
J. Dunne
6
J. Clarke-Salter
12
B. Kemper
17
K. Poku
5
R. Edwards
18
G. Kamara
11
P. Smyth
26
R. Kolli
24
N. Madsen
9
C. Morris
8
B. Clark
11
S. Szmodics
16
M. Fuseini
4
D. Ozoh
20
A. Mowatt
26
R. Hedges
28
D. Sanderson
6
S. Langas
23
J. Ward
31
J. Vickers

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Derby County

Substitutes

QPR
QPR
Goalkeeper

C. Ward

Defender

T. Lamptey

L. Morrison

A. Mbengue

Midfielder

L. Scarlett

J. Varane

H. Vale

J. Obikwu

Forward

R. Kone

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

R. O'Donnell

Defender

R. Nyambe

Midfielder

O. Fraulo

F. Bilbija

L. Travis

Forward

H. Meister

C. Blackett-Taylor

R. Brewster

L. Salvesen

Missing players

QPR
QPR
Defender

B. Kemper

T. Lamptey

D. Cirkin

Midfielder

I. Chair

Forward

K. Dembele

R. Kone

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

J. Widell Zetterstrom

Defender

C. Forsyth

C. Taylor

M. Clarke

D. Murkin

E. Cashin

Forward

P. Agyemang

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato QPR
CD Huachipato Derby County
Top Goalscorer
Morocco I. Chair (2 Goals) , 
Northern Ireland P. Smyth (2 Goals) , 
Jamaica R. Burrell (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland S. Szmodics (3 Goals)
Best assists
Morocco I. Chair (1 Assists) , 
Senegal A. Mbengue (1 Assists) , 
Rep. of Ireland H. Vale (1 Assists) , 
Ghana T. Lamptey (1 Assists) , 
Jamaica R. Burrell (1 Assists) , 
England R. Edwards (1 Assists)
Best assists
England B. Clark (2 Assists)

QPR and Derby County Stats in Championship

QPR
QPR
Derby County
Derby County
33%
Wins
11%
11%
Losses
56%
56%
Draws
33%
2.11
Average goals per match
2.56
1.22
Goals scored per match
0.89
0.89
Goals conceded per match
1.67
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
44%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
22%
No goals conceded
11%
67%
BTTS
56%

QPR - Derby County Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in Derby’s last three matches.
  2. Both these sides scored when they last faced off.
  3. QPR’s last three matches had both teams score.
  4. QPR have only kept two clean sheets in their last 10 games.
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Our QPR vs Derby County Prediction

These two sides have differing ambitions for this encounter but will all have a common target: to bag three points. QPR hope to end their slide away from the automatic promotion positions while Derby County are looking to rise outside the relegation region.

A win here will have a massive impact for either side, and we are backing both to go for the kill. In the end, though, with their defensive numbers, we expect to see goals on either end. Our prediction for QPR v Derby County, therefore, is for BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.