Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Aston Villa
14/10/2026 14:00
Fenerbahce Istanbul

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions

Aston Villa’s impressive form in Europe could lift them against a confident Fenerbahce on matchday two of the league phase in the UEFA Champions League (UCL). This match on Wednesday at the Villa Park in Birmingham between the 9th-placed ‘Villans’ and the 19th-placed ‘Yellow Canaries’ could be a big challenge for the visitors, but will the hosts continue their impressive record?

Villa have three points from their 3-2 win on matchday one at Club Brugge and seem to have turned their season around in recent weeks. That said, their form in the English Premier League has been well below par, although Europe seems to bring the best out of Villa.

Fenerbahce started with a 1-1 home draw against Roma on matchday one and are coming off consecutive wins. That doesn’t guarantee success, especially as they have struggled against English opposition. Will the narrative change in this fixture? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.

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Aston Villa v Fenerbahce Istanbul Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.65 4 4.9
1xbet
1.74 4.06 5.18
Melbet
1.68 3.9 4.98
Betwinner
1.68 3.9 4.98
22bet
1.68 3.9 4.98
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aston Villa and Fenerbahce Istanbul?

Our prediction for the Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce Istanbul match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2026 between Aston Villa and Fenerbahce Istanbul in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.26% for a win of Aston Villa against Fenerbahce Istanbul with odds of 1.74 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce Istanbul is 16.38% with odds of 4.2 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Aston Villa with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Form

Aston Villa and Fenerbahce Istanbul's standings in the Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Aston Villa
3 1 1 0 0 +1
19 Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 1 0 1 0 0

Aston Villa and Fenerbahce Istanbul Last Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa Last matches
W L W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Brentford

2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sevilla
1 :  3
Aston Villa

19 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  3
Aston Villa

16 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Coventry City
1 :  3
Aston Villa

12 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Nottingham Forest

8 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Club Brugge
2 :  3
Aston Villa
W L L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Brentford

12 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Nottingham Forest

31 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
0 :  1
Arsenal

7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
2 :  4
Real Sociedad

15 May 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Liverpool
L D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sevilla
1 :  3
Aston Villa

19 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  3
Aston Villa

16 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Coventry City
1 :  3
Aston Villa

8 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Club Brugge
2 :  3
Aston Villa

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Hull
0 :  0
Aston Villa

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  0
Aston Villa
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Fenerbahce Istanbul Last matches
L D D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Super Lig

Caykur Rizespor
0 :  3
Fenerbahce Istanbul

3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Turan Tovuz
0 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

20 Sept 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
8 :  0
Eyupspor

14 Sept 2026 - Super Lig

Gaziantep FK
0 :  0
Fenerbahce Istanbul

10 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Roma

5 Sept 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  2
Besiktas Istanbul
W D W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
8 :  0
Eyupspor

10 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Roma

5 Sept 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  2
Besiktas Istanbul

22 Aug 2026 - Super Lig

Fenerbahce Istanbul
4 :  2
Konyaspor

18 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Lyon

5 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
2 :  0
Sturm Graz
L W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Super Lig

Caykur Rizespor
0 :  3
Fenerbahce Istanbul

3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Turan Tovuz
0 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

14 Sept 2026 - Super Lig

Gaziantep FK
0 :  0
Fenerbahce Istanbul

30 Aug 2026 - Super Lig

Samsunspor
0 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

26 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Lyon
1 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul

15 Aug 2026 - Super Lig

Genclerbirligi SK
2 :  1
Fenerbahce Istanbul

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Aston Villa

100 %

Draw

0 %

Fenerbahce Istanbul

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

22 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
0 :  1
Aston Villa

Aston Villa - Fenerbahce Istanbul: Form Analysis

Villa could only draw 2-2 at home against Brentford last weekend to remain in the bottom half of the EPL standings. The Villans had won three of their previous four games before this stalemate, so getting back to winning ways will be a priority.

One of those victories came in the UCL, when they edged Club Brugge 3-2 away from home. That was a 14th win for Villa in their last 16 major European matches (L2), a clear indicator of their ability to step up in Europe.

Villa have won each of their last ten European home fixtures.

Fenerbahce won 3-0 away at Rizespor in the Turkish Super Lig at the weekend, making it three wins in a row, including a friendly. They have now gone unbeaten in four competitive games (W2, D2), including three consecutive clean sheets.

The Yellow Canaries have a poor record in the UCL competition proper, which they hope will change here. Fenerbahce have failed to win any of their last eight UCL games excluding qualifiers (D3, L5), and that could hinder their chances here.

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Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Prediction

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce Istanbul last Lineups

Aston Villa

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
Z. Suzuki
2
M. Cash
3
V. Lindelof
5
T. Mings
13
M. Ruggeri
8
B. Kamara
35
J. Gomes
7
J. McGinn
10
E. Buendia
44
J. Manzambi
11
N. Jackson
19
V. Muriqi
7
K. Akturkoglu
10
M. Asensio
11
M. Greenwood
6
M. Guendouzi
91
N. Kante
3
A. Brown
15
N. Ake
37
M. Skriniar
27
N. Semedo
31
Ederson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Fenerbahce Istanbul

Substitutes

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Goalkeeper

M. Bizot

Defender

P. Torres

A. Wan-Bissaka

Midfielder

L. Bogarde

R. Barkley

Forward

I. Mbaye

Alysson

A. Garnacho

T. Abraham

Fenerbahce Istanbul
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Goalkeeper

M. Gunok

Defender

K. Oppong

Midfielder

M. Yandas

L. Mercan

I. Yuksek

B. Elmaz

Forward

N. Dorgeles

R. Lukaku

I. Kahveci

O. Aydin

Missing players

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Defender

I. Maatsen

Midfielder

L. Goretzka

A. Onana

M. Cisse

Fenerbahce Istanbul
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Defender

J. Oosterwolde

Midfielder

M. Guendouzi

Aston Villa & Fenerbahce Istanbul Squad Analysis

Matteo Ruggeri could be doubtful for Villa after picking up an injury at the weekend against Brentford. Ian Maatsen also remains out of contention, while George Hemmings is also a doubt.

The hosts could stick to their 4-2-3-1 formation with Nicolas Jackson set to lead the line. The striker scored at the weekend and now has three in his last five for the club, including against Club Brugge on matchday one.

Villa’s John McGinn had seven goals in his last ten European starts.

For the visitors, Matteo Guendouzi is out, serving a red-card suspension. Mert Muldur could also be out of contention, having missed Fenerbahce’s last three fixtures.

The Turkish visitors are likely to stick to their 4-2-3-1 system with former Manchester United striker Mason Greenwood set to start on the right wing; he has six goals and four assists. Vedat Muriqi is likely to start as their lone striker, looking to add to his count of seven goals this season.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Aston Villa
CD Huachipato Fenerbahce Istanbul
Top Goalscorer
Scotland J. McGinn (1 Goals) , 
Argentina E. Buendia (1 Goals) , 
Senegal N. Jackson (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England A. Brown (1 Goals)
Best assists
Spain P. Torres (2 Assists)
Best assists
England M. Greenwood (1 Assists)

Aston Villa and Fenerbahce Istanbul Stats in Champions League

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Fenerbahce Istanbul
100%
Wins
57%
0%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
43%
5
Average goals per match
1.86
3
Goals scored per match
1.29
2
Goals conceded per match
0.57
0%
Under 2.5 goals
86%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
14%
0%
No goals conceded
43%
100%
BTTS
57%

Aston Villa - Fenerbahce Istanbul Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in Villa’s last six matches.
  2. Villa have scored three or more goals in five of their last seven European games.
  3. Four of Fenerbahce’s last six UCL matches have returned BTTS.
  4. Both teams scored in four of Fenerbahce’s last five away matches in UEFA competitions.
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Our Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Prediction

Aston Villa come into this match with their domestic fortunes uncertain. A draw at the weekend keeps them in the bottom half of the Premier League table, but European competitions brought inspired performances from them. Fenerbahce are in the midst of an impressive run and can be a dangerous opponent, although lack of wins in the competition proper is a challenge.

The teams played in the Europa League in January in Turkey, when Villa won 1-0. That may not be the case this time, at least in terms of goals, with our Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce Istanbul prediction being BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Aston Villa vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Alternative Predictions

Aston Villa wins

Odds 1.62

Villa have won 12 of their last 14 European matches (L2) and have won each of their last ten at home in UEFA competitions. That aside, Fenerbahce have lost five of their last eight matches in the UCL, excluding qualifiers. That run could continue in this fixture.

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John McGinn Anytime Goalscorer

Odds 3.4

John McGinn has scored at the weekend for Villa, while he also netted against Club Brugge on matchday one. That was a seventh goal for McGinn in his last ten starts in UEFA competitions. Can he add to that count here?

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.