Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Champions League Predictions
Shakhtar Donetsk will be heading to England, where they will host AEK Athens in their matchday two encounter in the Champions League. This match will be staged at Stamford Bridge as the two sides hope to build on positive starts. While the hosts played to a 1-1 draw with PSV in Eindhoven, AEK Athens were 1-0 winners at home against LASK.
Marking a first meeting between these two sides, Shakhtar will be looking to do better against a side from Greece, even though they’ve never lost to a Greek team. In their last five meetings with Greek clubs, they managed one win and four draws.
AEK also don’t have an outright poor record against Ukrainian sides, with their four meetings only producing one defeat: a 3-0 defeat to Zorya Luhansk in 2020/21. Their only win over a club from Ukraine was also against the same opponent, 4-1 on the road. These two sides have been comfortable in attack, and our prediction will be based on the goals market.
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Shakhtar Donetsk v AEK Athens Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.65 | 3.5 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.73 | 3.47 | 2.77 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.34 | 2.67 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.34 | 2.67 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.34 | 2.67 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens?
Our prediction for the Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2026 between Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.05% for a win of Shakhtar Donetsk against AEK Athens with odds of 2.73 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens is 30.11% with odds of 3.5 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.84% chance ⭐ for a win of AEK Athens vs Shakhtar Donetsk with odds of 2.77 at 1xbet.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens Form
Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
|
17
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
20 Sept 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
17 Sept 2026 - Ukraine Cup
14 Sept 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
14 Sept 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
29 Aug 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
3 Aug 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
23 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
17 Sept 2026 - Ukraine Cup
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
9 Aug 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Superleague
20 Sept 2026 - Superleague
17 Sept 2026 - Greece Cup
13 Sept 2026 - Superleague
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Superleague
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Superleague
17 Sept 2026 - Greece Cup
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Superleague
26 Aug 2026 - Champions League
22 Aug 2026 - Superleague
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Superleague
13 Sept 2026 - Superleague
2 Sept 2026 - Greece Cup
30 Aug 2026 - Superleague
18 Aug 2026 - Champions League
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Shakhtar Donetsk - AEK Athens: Form Analysis
Shakhtar Donetsk are playing in the Champions League for the ninth time in 10 seasons. They gave it a good start, with a respectable 1-1 draw away in Eindhoven against PSV. The Ukrainians will be looking to go one better on matchday two.
Their only downside is the strife back at home; that means they will be travelling for each of their matches in Europe. Stamford Bridge has been picked as Shakhtar’s home venue, and they will hope all works well. Heading into this encounter, Shakhtar are unbeaten in six matches, winning five. In their last three matches they scored three goals and haven’t conceded in their last four.
AEK have lost three times in their last 20 matches in Europe.
AEK are also enjoying a fine start to the season, and their run of 10 matches without defeat includes three Champions League matches in which they kept clean sheets. After a 0-0 draw with Levski Sofia away from home, they won 4-0 at home to secure this main draw ticket.
They would then start their league phase campaign with a 1-0 win at home against LASK. Like their hosts, AEK have been free-scoring of late and hope to take this run to the league phase. In their latest outing, they blanked OFI Crete 3-0.
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Players list
D. Riznyk
DefenderV. Bondar
M. Matvienko
Pedrinho Azevedo
Tobias
MidfielderNewerton
D. Kryskiv
M. Gomes
ForwardAlisson
Pedrinho
K. Elias
A. Brignoli
DefenderL. Rota
H. Moukoudi
F. Relvas
S. Pilios
MidfielderL. Majer
K. Kairinen
R. Marin
D. Kutesa
ForwardA. Koita
L. Jovic
Substitutes
D. Tvardovskyi
DefenderO. Karavaev
A. Matturro
MidfielderGabriel Carvalho
L. Ferreira
Isaque
O. Ocheretko
Y. Nazaryna
G. Mendoza
V. Tsukanov
ForwardP. Obah
Luca Meirelles
M. Balamotis
DefenderC. Alexiou
D. Vida
C. Lykogiannis
M. Georgiev
MidfielderP. Mantalos
J. Mario
M. Gacinovic
O. Zubkov
K. Arriaga
M. Vitalis
ForwardZini
Missing players
K. Fesiun
DefenderMarlon
ForwardPedrinho
T. Strakosha
Shakhtar Donetsk & AEK Athens Squad Analysis
Isaque Silva is emerging as a real creative resource for Shakhtar Donetsk, playing just behind the main striker. The midfielder extends the rich culture of successful Brazilians at the club and will once again be depended on to unlock the Greeks.
In matchday one action, Silva was the undoubted top performer with a 71% success rate in his duels. He capped off a fine evening with the assist for Shakhtar’s only goal. That was his fourth goal contribution this season.
Shakhtar Donetsk will face their former player Oleksandr Zubkov in this encounter.
Luka Jovic seems to have found a home in Greece. After years troubled with injury and transfers across Europe, the Serbian looks settled at AEK. He managed 17 goals in his first season with AEK and looks set for another good campaign.
He has already scored four league goals and one in the UCL qualifiers and comes into this game with an xG of 2.63. His inclusion builds well on our expectation for this game to hit 3+ goals. Jovic made a name in Europe when he scored 10 times for Stuttgart in his breakout season in 2028/19.
Most goals and assists
Shakhtar Donetsk
AEK Athens
G. Mendoza
(1 Goals)
R. Marin
(1 Goals)
Isaque
(1 Assists)
Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens Stats in Champions League
Shakhtar Donetsk - AEK Athens Key Points
- Four of AEK Athens’ last six matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Shakhtar scored three times in each of their last three games.
- 14 goals were scored in Shakhtar’s last five home matches.
- AEK Athens’ last two UCL matches saw five goals scored.
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Our Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens Prediction
Shakhtar Donetsk have seemed unfazed by playing their home matches away from home. Their best quality in the past few matches has clearly been the ability to balance matters defence while at the same time maintaining a sharp attack.
The Ukrainians have posted wins with clean sheets in their last three matches, scoring three times on each occasion. They’ve kept six clean sheets in 10 and come here on a confident footing but will meet an equally strong AEK Athens side, which points to a possibly high-scoring match. Our prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk v AEK Athens is for over 2.5 goals.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens Alternative Predictions
Shakhtar Donetsk wins
AEK are winless in three of their last four games against Ukrainian opposition. That may not be the best stat they want to look at, especially as they failed to score in their last away game in the UCL.
At the same time, they face a Shakhtar side that has done well ahead of this game, winning each of the last four matches. With a six-game unbeaten run, our second prediction is for Shakhtar Donetsk to win.
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