Qinwen Zheng vs Madison Keys Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Miami
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Madison Keys, the 15th seed in Miami, will battle 23rd seed Qinwen Zheng in the third round. This is their second career meeting and comes three seasons after their first matchup. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Zheng is defending 215 points after making the quarter-finals in last year’s edition in Miami. It was her best result at this event.
The Chinese star made a winning return to the tournament as she defeated former champion Sloane Stephens in straight sets. Zheng, who made her return to the tour last month after a lengthy injury layoff, has won three of five matches.
Being out of the tour since September saw Zheng drop out of the top 10. She is currently in 32nd place after dropping six more places in the live ranking.
Madison Keys defeated Zheng when they first met. Though this was three years ago, it happened on home soil in Washington. She will be looking for a similar outcome as she looks to challenge for her first Miami title.
Keys has been competing in Miami since 2011 but has never made it past the quarter-finals and has made the last eight just once. Twice in her last three appearances, she has been eliminated in the third round.
The 31-year-old has been inconsistent this term, and her performances have led to her dropping out of the top 10. Currently the world number 18, Keys defeated Elena-Gabriela Ruse by the loss of just two games in the last round.
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Qinwen Zheng v Madison Keys Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.12 | 1.73 |
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2.12 | 1.73 |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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2.08 | 1.69 |
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2.08 | 1.69 |
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Who will win the Qinwen Zheng vs Madison Keys Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Qinwen Zheng vs Madison Keys match is: exact score: 1-2.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Qinwen Zheng vs Madison Keys game on 22/03/2026 of the current WTA Miami season:
- Qinwen Zheng has a 39.5% chance to win against Madison Keys according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 2.15.
- Madison Keys has a 60.5% probability of winning facing Qinwen Zheng ⭐ with odds of 1.73 at Melbet.
Qinwen Zheng vs Madison Keys Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Qinwen Zheng has a 39.5 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | 39.5 % |
| Madison Keys | 60.5 % |
Qinwen Zheng vs Madison Keys Form
Qinwen Zheng and Madison Keys Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
7 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
11 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
10 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
9 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
27 Sept 2025 - WTA China Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
9 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
25 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
23 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Qinwen Zheng vs Madison Keys Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
1 Aug 2023 - WTA Washington Citi Open
Qinwen Zheng - Madison Keys Key Points
- Keys has won eight matches this season.
- Zheng has played only five matches in 2026.
- Keys won the only other encounter with Zheng.
- Zheng and Keys have won a combined 389 matches on hard courts.
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Our Qinwen Zheng vs Madison Keys Prediction
Our prediction for Qinwen Zheng v Madison Keys is for the exact score: 1-2. Keys is having a shaky season but has still managed to win more matches than she has lost. This is the same with Zheng, who has played fewer matches than the American.
Both made winning starts this week in Miami and should play a well-fought-out match that will most likely go the full distance. At the end, we pick Kys to be the one to advance to the next round. Keys defeated Zheng when they first met. Zheng has returned to the tour this season after a lengthy injury layoff and is still finding her form.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Qinwen Zheng or Madison Keys, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.