Europe - Champions League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Thobelani Moyo | in Champions League Predictions
In a clash of giants, the defending champions Paris Saint-Germain and Bayern Munich are set to lock horns at Parc des Princes on matchday four of the UEFA Champions League - league phase. PSG leads at the top with nine points, while Bayern Munich are behind in second place with the same number of points accumulated. Here's our match prediction.
Paris Saint-Germain are faced with their biggest test in maintaining their 100% record in the UEFA Champions League (league phase). Their opponents are the high-flying Bayern Munich who happen to enter this clash boasting a 15-match winning streak.
The last time the Parisians crossed paths with this side was in June in the FIFA Club World Cup. They won that match 2-0 to reach the semi-finals. For the Bavarians, they are out to exact revenge and that looks achievable considering they've won four of their last five matches against this opponent. Notably, they have won nine of their last 16 matches in this fixture (L7).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Bayern Munich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.35 | 3.6 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.75 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.75 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.6 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.8 | 2.65 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Bayern Munich match is: Bayern Munich wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/11/2025 between PSG and Bayern Munich in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.27% for a win of PSG against Bayern Munich with odds of 2.4 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Bayern Munich is 11.7% with odds of 3.8 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs PSG with odds of 2.88 at Bet365.
PSG - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 50.03% | 2.88 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.84% | 1.42 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | 1.4 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 22.68% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
PSG vs Bayern Munich Form
PSG and Bayern Munich's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
|
5
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
PSG and Bayern Munich Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
17 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
PSG vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
8 Mar 2023 - Champions League
14 Feb 2023 - Champions League
13 Apr 2021 - Champions League
7 Apr 2021 - Champions League
PSG - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis
On Saturday, Paris Saint-Germain recorded a narrow 1-0 home league win against OGC Nice. Goncalo Ramos was the savior in that match thanks to his second-half stoppage-time goal. In light of that result, they have avoided defeat in eight games across all competitions.
Luis Enrique's men now shift their focus to the UEFA Champions League. Five teams have maintained a 100% record in the league phase, and the Parisians are one of them.
Their recent match against Bayer Leverkusen was worthy of a blockbuster as they came out on top in a 7-2 away victory. That marked their third consecutive win in the competition.
Bayern Munich have won an impressive 15 matches across all competitions.
Bayern Munich have maintained a high level of brilliance in the 2025-26 season. A giant in German football, they set foot at Parc des Princes boasting an impressive 15-match winning streak across all competitions.
Their recent win came against Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga, with the team cruising to a comfortable 3-0 home win. This comes after comfortably beating FC Cologne 4-1 in the second round of the DFB Pokal.
Regarding their performance in the UEFA Champions League, they boast a three-match winning streak. Last time out, the Bavarians had no trouble seeing off the threat of Club Brugge in a 4-0 home victory.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
PSG against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
I. Zabarnyi
ForwardD. Doue
H. Ito
MidfielderJ. Musiala
A. Davies
PSG & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis
Ballon d’Or winner Ousmane Dembele was terrific for Paris Saint-Germain in the previous season, but the Frenchman has yet to live to expectations this season because of injuries hampering his progress.
It has been reported that the 28-year-old remains a doubt ahead of this upcoming encounter against Bayern Munich, and that alone could have major implications in the team's firepower.
IIya Zabarnyi will watch the game from the sidelines after being shown a second bookable offense in his recent UEFA Champions League match against Bayer Leverkusen. Desire Doue will also take no part in this match as he is nursing a thigh tear and is expected to be out for weeks.
Will Ousmane Dembele be available this Tuesday?
Bayern Munich have a goal machine in Harry Kane this season. The 32-year-old has scored 22 goals in 15 appearances this season.
In the UEFA Champions League, he is tied at the top with Kylian Mbappe for top scorers with five goals. He failed to get on the scoreboard last time out and will be hungry to do so in this match.
Regarding the injury front, they have three players in the injury room, including Alphonso Davies (knee injury), Hiroki Ito (foot injury), and Jamal Musiala (broken fibula).
Most goals and assists
PSG
Bayern Munich
N. Mendes
(4 Goals)
,
G. Ramos
(4 Goals)
, 
B. Barcola
(4 Goals)
,
J. Neves
(4 Goals)
H. Kane
(22 Goals)
Vitinha
(5 Assists)
M. Olise
(6 Assists)
PSG - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Paris Saint-Germain have lost four of their last five matches against Bayern Munich.
- Bayern Munich have won their last eight away matches across all competitions.
- Paris Saint-Germain have lost each of their last three home matches against Bayern Munich.
- Bayern Munich have won 15 consecutive matches across all competitions.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our PSG vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Paris Saint-Germain have been impressive as they head into this clash unbeaten in their last eight matches across all competitions. However, that streak is under threat as they face a tough assignment in Bayern Munich.
Bayern Munich have been a dominant force. They have won 15 consecutive matches. Notably, they have won eight of their last 14 matches against Paris Saint-Germain in the UEFA Champions League. With both sides in consistent form heading here, the visitors might be able to snatch a narrow win. Our Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich prediction: Bayern Munich wins.
PSG vs Bayern Munich - Other Interesting Predictions
More than 3.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Bayern Munich
| PSG vs Bayern Munich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.91 | 2.35 | +23.0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.6 | -4.0% |
| Bayern Munich wins | 3.8 | 2.88 | -24.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 24.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.3% and is now 34.7% (8.4%)
Win free tickets to PSG vs. Bayern Munich at Bet365!
With the UEFA Champions League 2025/26 season starts, bet365 offers free tickets for their users, including PSG vs. Bayern Munich match!
To be in with a chance of winning tickets to any of the UEFA Champions League matchdays throughout the 2025/26 season, all fans must do is enter into the free-to-enter weekly ticket draws on the bet365 website or app*.
*Entrants must be 18+ and UK residents, with a bet365 account. All entrants will be subjectto vetting to ensure they are compliant with responsible gambling guidelines.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
