Porto vs Stuttgart Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in Europa League Predictions
An electric atmosphere is expected under the floodlights at Estadio do Dragao on Thursday night when Porto lock horns with Stuttgart in the second leg of their Europa League Round of 16 clash. The winner of this tie between Os Dragoes and Die Roten will move on to face either Nottingham Forest or Midtjylland in the quarter-finals. Check out our match prediction below!
Francesco Farioli’s side flew out of the blocks at the MHP Arena last week and notched up a couple of goals in the opening 30 minutes to carry a 2-1 lead into this fixture. History is on the Blue and Whites' side coming into this match, as they have progressed from 12 of their last 14 European ties when taking a first-leg lead on the road.
However, this tie is far from over, as arriving at Estadio do Dragao is this season’s top scorers in the UEL. Sebastian Hoeness’s team have racked up 20 goals in this competition, including netting four in their last game on the road against Celtic in the Knockout Playoffs. Let’s get into the key stats!
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Porto v Stuttgart Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.53 | 3.46 | 2.71 |
|
|
2.53 | 3.42 | 2.73 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.45 | 2.76 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Stuttgart?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Stuttgart match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/03/2026 between Porto and Stuttgart in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.07% for a win of Porto against Stuttgart with odds of 2.53 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Stuttgart is 22.19% with odds of 3.6 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Stuttgart vs Porto with odds of 2.95 at Tonybet.
Porto - Stuttgart Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Stuttgart Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 51.07% | 2.53 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.81% | 1.88 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Porto/Porto | 28.63% | 4 at Bet365 |
Porto vs Stuttgart Form
Porto and Stuttgart Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2026 - Taca de Portugal
27 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
27 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
26 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2026 - Taca de Portugal
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Porto vs Stuttgart Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
Porto - Stuttgart: Form Analysis
Porto got through the League Phase of the Europa League with flying colours, securing fifth place with 17 points (W5 D2 L1). Their only loss in the competition was away to Nottingham Forest on Matchday 2.
Os Dragoes will enter this fixture with confidence after extending their lead atop the Liga Portugal standings to seven points thanks to a comfortable 3-0 victory over Moreirense at the weekend.
The hosts also maintained a perfect home record through the League Phase, winning all four of their matches, and they have not tasted defeat at this venue in any competition since December last year.
Porto have scored two or more goals in all four home games in the UEL this season!
Meanwhile, Stuttgart finished in 11th place with 15 points in the League Phase before stamping their ticket to the last 16 with an impressive 4-2 aggregate victory over Celtic in the Knockout Playoff round.
Die Schwaben bounced back from their first-leg defeat with a crucial victory over RB Leipzig at home this past weekend, which took them level on points with third-placed Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga.
The visitors have won only one of their last four away games across all competitions (D2 L1), but they have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 outings since the start of December.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Porto against Stuttgart Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Costa
Claudio Ramos
DefenderF. Moura
M. Fernandes
D. Prpic
J. Kiwior
G. Veiga
A. Varela
V. Froholdt
Pepe
D. Gul
G. Santos
F. Hellstern
F. Bredlow
DefenderL. Assignon
A. Al-Dakhil
F. Jeltsch
J. Vagnoman
MidfielderB. Bouanani
Chema Andres
N. Nartey
M. Catovic
ForwardT. Tomas
Missing players
D. Zagadou
ForwardL. Jovanovic
Porto & Stuttgart Squad Analysis
Farioli made wholesale changes to his side for the victory over Moreirense. Both goal-scorers from the first leg of this tie, Terem Moffi and Rodrigo Mora, were on the bench in the last match, and they should be well-rested to start this crucial clash.
However, that victory may have come at a cost for Porto, as Borja Sainz, who provided the assist for the opening goal in Stuttgart, was withdrawn before the hour mark with a knock and is listed as a doubt.
Aside from Sainz, the hosts are expected to be missing at least four players for this decisive leg, including Nehuen Perez, Samu Omorodion, Andre Miranda, and long-term absentee Luuk De Jong.
Stuttgart’s Denis Undav has the most assists in this season’s UEL (6)!
The former Brighton forward has been excellent for the Reds this season, now on 33 goal involvements in 36 matches in all competitions. He also scored what could still prove to be a crucial goal in the first leg and followed up with the winner against Leipzig at the weekend.
Bilal El Khannouss was deployed in the number 10 role in the league match over the weekend, but he had a quiet outing and will likely revert to his preferred spot on the flank, where he has netted five times for the team in this competition.
The visitors have three players unavailable through injury for this match in Josha Vagnoman, Lazar Jovanovic, and Dan-Axel Zagadou.
Most goals and assists
Porto
Stuttgart
W. Gomes
(4 Goals)
B. El Khannouss
(5 Goals)
B. Sainz
(3 Assists)
D. Undav
(5 Assists)
Porto - Stuttgart Key Points
- Each of Porto’s last four UEL games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Porto have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 home games.
- Stuttgart are the highest-scoring team in the UEL this season.
- Six of Stuttgart’s last nine games in all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Stuttgart have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 away matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Porto vs Stuttgart Prediction
While Porto holds the advantage on the scoreboard in this tie and are playing at home, bookmakers have not ruled out Stuttgart from getting back in this contest, as there is very little to separate these two teams based on the latest odds.
This is largely due to how good the Bundesliga side have been in attack this season, but Porto have been mightily impressive at home, now unbeaten in 11 games at Estadio do Dragao. Given the stats, we’re expecting to see a few goals before this one is decided. Our Porto vs Stuttgart prediction is BTTS.
Porto vs Stuttgart Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Porto have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 home games, while Stuttgart have netted two or more goals in eight of their last 10 away matches. Additionally, the visitors are the highest-scoring team in the UEL this season.
Porto wins
Porto have won all four of their home games in the Europa League this season and have only suffered defeat once at home across all competitions in 2025-26.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto Stuttgart
| Porto vs Stuttgart | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 2.06 | 2.53 | +22.8% |
| Draw | 3.56 | 3.6 | +1.1% |
| Stuttgart wins | 3.46 | 2.95 | -14.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 22.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.5% and is now 39.5% (-9.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Porto vs. Stuttgart game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Porto and Stuttgart? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Europa League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Porto vs Stuttgart - FAQs
The Europa League Round of 16 second leg between Porto and Stuttgart will take place on March 19 at 20:00 UTC.
The Europa League Round of 16 second leg between Porto and Stuttgart will be played at Estadio do Dragao in Porto.
The Europa League Round of 16 second leg between Porto and Stuttgart will be broadcast on DAZN in Portugal and Sky in Germany. UK viewers can tune in to TNT Sports.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Europa League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
