Porto vs Rio Ave Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
We have a very interesting game on our hands this weekend when Porto hosts Rio Ave in Matchday 23 of the Liga Portugal. With Sporting CP just four points behind, Dragões (Dragons) cannot afford to keep dropping points. However, just as a desperate Casa Pia beat Porto, so is the relegation-threatened Rio Ave looking to shock the league leaders. Check out our match prediction!
After a historic start to the season, featuring 18 wins and one draw in 19 games, cracks have started to form in the Porto setup. Porto just suffered their first defeat of the season to Casa Pia, which was followed by their second draw (to Sporting CP).
Last week's win over Nacional has put the league leaders back on the right track, but another team dealing with relegation is threatening their run, just as Casa did three games back. The team in question is Rio Ave, who now enters with a five-game losing streak. Rioavistas’ last win was ironically against Casa Pia, but that remains their only victory in nine games.
Unsurprisingly, Dragões thrashed Rio Ave 3-0 earlier this season. However, the giants will still proceed with caution as they've only defeated Rioavistas four times in their last seven meetings. Should they fail to do so here, the league race will be blown wide open.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Porto v Rio Ave Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.12 | 8.4 | 20 |
|
|
1.09 | 11 | 22 |
|
|
1.09 | 11 | 22 |
|
|
1.1 | 8.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.1 | 9 | 19 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Rio Ave?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Rio Ave match is: BTTS - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/02/2026 between Porto and Rio Ave in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.17% for a win of Porto against Rio Ave with odds of 1.14 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Rio Ave is 22.48% with odds of 11 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 7.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Rio Ave vs Porto with odds of 25 at LSbet.
Porto - Rio Ave Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Rio Ave Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 70.17% | 1.14 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.16% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Porto/Porto | 38.88% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
Porto vs Rio Ave Form
Porto and Rio Ave's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
88 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | +48 |
|
12
|
36 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | -22 |
Porto and Rio Ave Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
26 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
26 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Jan 2026 - Taca de Portugal
29 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
31 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
31 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
13 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
Porto vs Rio Ave Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal
18 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal
Porto against Rio Ave Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
Claudio Ramos
DefenderD. Prpic
F. Moura
G. Bras
MidfielderS. Fofana
R. Mora
B. Sainz
T. Moffi
W. Gomes
K. Chamorro
DefenderJ. Tome
G. Liavas
N. Abbey
F. Petrasso
MidfielderR. Guilherme
J. Graca
A. Papakanellos
K. Zoabi
Missing players
S. Aghehowa
B. Aguilera
Most goals and assists
Porto
Rio Ave
S. Aghehowa
(13 Goals)
Clayton
(10 Goals)
G. Veiga
(8 Assists)
Clayton
(6 Assists)
Porto - Rio Ave Key Points
- Porto has conceded the fewest goals this season (7).
- Porto has kept the most clean sheets this season (16).
- Porto has conceded the fewest goals at home this season (3).
- Rio Ave have scored the fourth-fewest goals this season (23).
- Rio Ave has failed to score in four of its last five games, and also in seven of its last eight defeats.
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Our Porto vs Rio Ave Prediction
Dragões has no more room for mistakes, as even a draw here can cut the gap to just three points or one win by the end of Matchday 23. If there's anytime for Porto to dig deep and put on a defensive masterclass as they've done all season, the time is now.
They already boast the best defence, with the most clean sheets, fewest goals conceded, and fewest allowed at home. Meanwhile, Rioavistas notably scored some of the fewest goals and have struggled immensely in the past few games. Hence, our Porto vs Rio Ave prediction is BTTS - No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto Rio Ave
| Porto vs Rio Ave | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 1.13 | 1.14 | +0.9% |
| Draw | 7.9 | 11 | +39.2% |
| Rio Ave wins | 24 | 25 | +4.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 88.5% and is now 87.7% (-0.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Porto vs. Rio Ave game!
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Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
