Porto vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Europa League Predictions
FC Porto and Nottingham Forest are set to face off for the second time in the current season when the Europa League quarter-finals get underway. This match will be staged at Porto’s Estadio do Dragao this Thursday, and below we have a prediction of the match.
Porto will be playing their 18th quarter-final in Europe, hoping to do better than in their last four when they were eliminated. The last time Porto landed in the semifinal, they proceeded to win the Europa League title in 2011. Nottingham are playing their first quarter-final in Europe in 30 years.
The first time they faced Porto this season, the Premier League side claimed a 2-0 win. That happens to be Porto’s only loss in the competition this season, while Nottingham have suffered four defeats in the competition. The winner from this game is drawn to face the winner between Bologna and Aston Villa in the semis.
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Porto v Nottingham Forest Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.02 | 3.3 | 4.3 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.18 | 4.08 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.3 | 4.46 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.3 | 4.2 |
|
|
2 | 3.2 | 4.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Nottingham Forest?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Nottingham Forest match is: FC Porto wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/04/2026 between Porto and Nottingham Forest in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.28% for a win of Porto against Nottingham Forest with odds of 2.34 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Nottingham Forest is 24.26% with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Nottingham Forest vs Porto with odds of 4.46 at Betwinner.
Porto - Nottingham Forest Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Nottingham Forest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 45.28% | 2.34 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.81% | 2.43 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Porto/Porto | 23.2% | 3.4 at LSbet |
Porto vs Nottingham Forest Form
Porto and Nottingham Forest Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
27 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2026 - Taca de Portugal
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
6 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Porto vs Nottingham Forest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
Porto - Nottingham Forest: Form Analysis
It has been over a decade since Porto played in the semifinals of a European competition. They have another opportunity as they are faced with a two-legged tie against the only side to have beaten them in Europe this season.
Porto won the Europa League the last time they progressed to the semi-final. Heading into this encounter, the Dragons will be hoping to improve on their 2-2 draw with Famalicao this past weekend. Francesco Farioli’s men squandered the lead twice, which is uncharacteristic of the team. Having won five straight home games in Europe, Porto will be positive heading into this one.
Porto’s only loss in Europe this season was inflicted by Nottingham Forest.
Nottingham Forest have had extended time to prepare for this match. They haven't played since the resumption from the international break and will hope the freshness translates into a first leg advantage. In their last outing, Nottingham thrashed Tottenham Hotspur 3-0 to keep alive their hopes of survival in the Premier League.
Here, the Tricky Trees will be playing a third straight away game, and Vitor Pereira will hope for a win in his first-ever faceoff with FC Porto. The visitors haven't won three straight matches on the road since January, but they have the chance here.
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Porto against Nottingham Forest Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Costa
Claudio Ramos
DefenderF. Moura
D. Prpic
A. Costa
J. Kiwior
MidfielderA. Varela
V. Froholdt
T. Silva
R. Mora
ForwardPepe
D. Gul
M. Sels
DefenderN. Williams
J. Hanks
O. Aina
N. Milenkovic
A. Whitehall
O. Hutchinson
J. Sinclair
I. Sangare
L. Lucca
Igor Jesus
C. Hudson Odoi
Missing players
John Victor
DefenderN. Savona
J. Cunha
Porto & Nottingham Forest Squad Analysis
The biggest blow for FC Porto going into this game is the absence of Samu Aghehowa. The Spaniard is nursing a cruciate ligament injury suffered early in February. As a result, he will not have the chance to add to his 20 goals and one assist.
His return date has been set for late April. In his absence, Terem Moffi will take full responsibility in attack, while William Gomes will be hoping to add to his three goals in the Europa League. Luuk de Jong is out while Nahuen Perez and Rodrigo Mora remain major doubts.
Jakub Kiwior has started six of his seven Europa League appearances for Porto.
Nottingham Forest will once again be without their main striker Chris Wood. The New Zealand forward has been missing in action with a knee injury that has kept him out since October. He still has a few weeks to full recovery so the attack is a shared responsibility led by Igor Jesus.
Morgan Gibbs-White has been their go-to guy for goals this season, with the Englishman currently on 16 goal contributions across all competitions. The Tricky Trees will be without Elliot Anderson, who is suspended.
Most goals and assists
Porto
Nottingham Forest
W. Gomes
(4 Goals)
Igor Jesus
(7 Goals)
B. Sainz
(3 Assists)
M. Gibbs-White
(3 Assists)
Porto - Nottingham Forest Key Points
- Porto have lost just once at home this season.
- Nottingham lost two of the last three Europa League games.
- Porto have only lost once in Europe this season, winning seven.
- Porto have won all their five Europa League home matches this season.
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Our Porto vs Nottingham Forest Prediction
FC Porto are on a revenge mission as much as they are targeting the semi-finals. They lost 2-0 to Nottingham Forest in the league stage, but they are having a more stable season compared to Nottingham. The hosts have also done well at home, especially in the Europa League this season.
They will be keen on addressing their poor run against English teams. Nottingham Forest lost on their last visit to Portugal, and there isn’t much to suggest they’ll do better here. Our prediction for Porto v Nottingham Forest is that FC Porto wins.
Porto vs Nottingham Forest Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Our second prediction is for over 2.5 goals. At least three goals were scored in each of Nottingham Forest’s last six away matches. In that period, the English side managed just two clean sheets, while they scored in all the matches.
Away to Porto, they’ll have to be at their best to keep a clean sheet. As both teams scored in five of Porto’s last eight matches, we can expect at least three goals here as well.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto Nottingham Forest
| Porto vs Nottingham Forest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 1.89 | 2.34 | +23.8% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.35 | -9.5% |
| Nottingham Forest wins | 4.63 | 4.46 | -3.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 23.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.9% and is now 42.7% (-10.2%)
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Porto vs Nottingham Forest - FAQs
The FC Porto v Nottingham Forest match will be played on Thursday 9th April.
The FC Porto v Nottingham Forest match will be played at Estadio do Dragao in Porto.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
