Porto vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Taca de Portugal
Portugal - Taca de Portugal
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by Thobelani Moyo in Football Predictions
The second O Classico of the campaign takes center stage this Wednesday as FC Porto lock horns with Benfica Lisbon at Estadio do Dragao in the quarter-finals of the Taca de Portugal. This is the 11th meeting between these two sides in this competition. Here's our match prediction.
FC Porto couldn't retain the Taca de Portugal crown in the previous edition after succumbing to a surprise 2-1 home defeat against Moreirense in the fourth round. Previously, they had enjoyed a brief reign, winning three successive titles for the first time in 13 years.
Having enjoyed a remarkable run in the current campaign under the guidance of head coach Francesco Farioli, they hope to bring back the glory days. They have lost just two of their last 27 matches across all competitions (W23, D2).
The Dragons are competing in the quarter-finals of this tournament after beating Celoricense, Sintrense, and Famalicao in the preceding rounds.
Benfica Lisbon have lifted the Taca de Portugal a record 26 times. Since winning the title in the 2016-17 edition, success has eluded them in the following editions despite reaching the finals in three of their last eight appearances.
The Eagles came close to ending that trophy drought in the previous season but ultimately came short, losing 3-1 after extra time.
Jose Mourinho's men find themselves at this stage of the competition after seeing off Chaves, Atletico CP, and Farense.
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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.15 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.15 | 3 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.15 | 2.88 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Benfica Lisbon match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/01/2026 between Porto and Benfica Lisbon in Taca de Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.33% for a win of Porto against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 2.2 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Benfica Lisbon is 13.67% with odds of 3.25 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 46% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Porto with odds of 3.95 at Shangrila.
Porto vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Porto and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
15 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
27 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
21 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
Porto vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Sept 2023 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2023 - Portugal Super Cup
Porto vs Benfica Lisbon last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Porto
Benfica Lisbon
S. Aghehowa
(15 Goals)
V. Pavlidis
(20 Goals)
Pepe
(5 Assists)
A. Dedic
(3 Assists)
, 
F. Aursnes
(3 Assists)
, 
L. Barreiro
(3 Assists)
, 
D. Lukebakio
(3 Assists)
,
V. Pavlidis
(3 Assists)
, 
G. Sudakov
(3 Assists)
Porto - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- The recent meeting between these two sides ended in a goalless draw.
- FC Porto have seen each of their last two matches end with under 2.5 goals.
- Benfica have won each of their last three Taca de Portugal games by a 2-0 scoreline.
- FC Porto have conceded one goal in their last three Taca de Portugal games.
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Our Porto vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
FC Porto and Benfica have already met once this season, and that meeting proved to be a closely contested affair, ending in a goalless draw. Another such outing shouldn't be ruled out, especially considering this is a cup game with both sides treading cautiously.
With FC Porto playing at home against this opponent, three of their last five matches have ended with under 2.5 goals. Given the home team's rock-solid defense this season under Francesco Farioli, expect a low-scoring affair. Our FC Porto vs Benfica Lisbon prediction: less than 2.5 goals.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Porto vs. Benfica Lisbon game!
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Try your luck on this year's Taca de Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
