England - Carabao Cup
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Carabao Cup Predictions
Arsenal fans will welcome a lighter outing after weeks of tough matches in domestic and continental action. The Gunners are set to travel to League One side Port Vale for their opening game of the League Cup. We have a prediction for this match at Vale Park.
Arsenal have suffered significant battle scars in their heavy-duty opening matches in the Champions League and Premier League. On the continental scene, all went well as a late win in Bilbao saw Arsenal start the Champions League in flying fashion. However, the weight of expectation in the Premier League has seen their injury list grow, and now Mikel Arteta is falling short of attacking options.
Port Vale will want to take advantage of their visitors’ woes as they eye a shock win at this stage of the competition. It will take a lot in their preparations to get to frustrate the Gunners, but the last two matches offered the best insight that the Valiants are ready.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Port Vale v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
21 | 9.5 | 1.07 |
|
|
29 | 10 | 1.1 |
|
|
26 | 8.5 | 1.11 |
|
|
21 | 9 | 1.1 |
|
|
23 | 9.5 | 1.09 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
What is the prediction for the football match between Port Vale and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Port Vale vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/09/2025 between Port Vale and Arsenal in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.66% for a win of Port Vale against Arsenal with odds of 29 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Port Vale vs Arsenal is 14.87% with odds of 11.5 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.47% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Port Vale with odds of 1.11 at William Hill.
Port Vale vs Arsenal Form
Port Vale and Arsenal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - League One
13 Sep 2025 - League One
6 Sep 2025 - League One
2 Sep 2025 - EFL Trophy
30 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - League One
6 Sep 2025 - League One
2 Sep 2025 - EFL Trophy
23 Aug 2025 - League One
19 Aug 2025 - League One
7 Aug 2025 - League One
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - League One
30 Aug 2025 - League One
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Aug 2025 - League One
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2 Aug 2025 - League One
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2025 - Premier League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Emirates Cup
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
25 May 2025 - Premier League
11 May 2025 - Premier League
7 May 2025 - Champions League
Port Vale - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Port Vale have scaled up from the bottom of League One to 19th in anticipation of a big game ahead. A poor start to their league campaign had Port Vale at the bottom of the standings after seven matches.
Then came a trip to Exeter, which they won 2-0, and followed it up with a 2-1 win at home against Mansfield. Home fans would never have wished for a better run in preparation for the Arsenal visit.
Playing two leagues lower places Port Vale in the underdog’s space, but the Valiants will definitely have a point to prove. The last time Port Vale won more than two games consecutively, they were chasing promotion in League Two.
Arsenal were semi-finalists in the League Cup last season and hope to do better.
Arsenal are coming from a huge battle at home against Manchester City. They were on the cusp of defeat after conceding in open play for the first time in the season.
However, for the second time in as many matches, Gabriel Martinelli grabbed a late goal, this time to level the scores. It ended 1-1, a match the Gunners dominated and felt they should have had more than just a point.
Still, they won’t take anything away from their strong opponents, and a return to winning ways will be the target here. Anything short of a win would attract scrutiny that Arsenal seldom need after heavy spending in the summer.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Port Vale & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Port Vale have largely used a twin-strike strategy for the season in a 3-5-2 formation. Ruari Paton and Devante Cole have been the men in attack, and the two boast a combined seven goal contributions.
That could change for this game, with a likely 4-5-1 formation preferred, leaving Cole as the lone striker. Son to former Manchester United forward Andy Cole, Cole has three goals and assists to his name, all from three starts.
His xG of 1.69 makes him the best pick to start up front.
Noni Madueke sustained a knee injury against Man City and will miss this.
Arsenal will be expected to make multiple changes as Arteta tastes the real value of his squad depth. Gabriel Martinelli, who has made much impact from the bench, could earn his start here.
We also expect a full change of the rear guard with Kepa set to start in goal. Ben White, Christhian Mosquera, Piero Hincapie, and Myles Lewis-Skelly should all start if fit.
Christian Norgaard will also get a first start in midfield, and Max Dowman is a likely starter on the right wing. Looking to generate confidence and match fitness, Viktor Gyokeres might also be thrown in.
Most goals and assists
Port Vale
Arsenal
D. Cole
(3 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(3 Goals)
R. Calafiori
(2 Assists)
,
E. Eze
(2 Assists)
, 
L. Trossard
(2 Assists)
Port Vale - Arsenal Key Points
- Arsenal lost just once in their last five away matches.
- Arsenal won two of their last three away matches to nil.
- In their last 23 away matches, Arsenal suffered just three defeats.
- Port Vale managed just two wins in their last eight home matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Port Vale vs Arsenal Prediction
Arsenal had the perfect audition for facing a defensive side in their 1-1 draw with Manchester City. Port Vale are also expected to switch to defensive play to contain the Gunners. The hosts might stick with a five-man midfield while sacrificing the attack.
Playing for a draw at 90 might be an achievable target for the league's one side. However, the wealth in attacking quality at Arsenal is sure to unlock the hosts at some point. Our prediction for Port Vale v Arsenal is for Arsenal to win to nil.
Port Vale vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
In Arsenal’s opening six matches, only two have produced over 2.5 goals, and they’ve scored more than a goal in just three of the six matches. In a game where key players will be rested and probably facing a defensive side, we could see another low-scoring outing.
While Port Vale will not commit too many bodies in attack, we feel Arsenal will want just a simple win and move on. Therefore, our second prediction is for the match to have under 2.5 goals.
Use the Port Vale vs. Arsenal game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
Are you looking to use the match between Port Vale and Arsenal in an upcoming accumulator bet? If so, you'll want to join Vbet to place that acca. There is an odds bonus of up to 100% when you place accumulators which contain at least three selections that are all odds of 1.3 or bigger. Look at the other games in the Carabao Cup and start to build those accas!
Port Vale vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
The Port Vale v Arsenal match will be played on Wednesday, 24th September.
The Port Vale v Arsenal match will be staged at Vale Park.
Yes. The Port Vale v Arsenal match will be aired on Sky Sports Main Event.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
