Italy - Serie A
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
Struggling sides, Parma and Lecce will open matchday 23 of the Italian Serie A at Stadio Ennio Tardini this Friday. The two sides are tied on 20 points, with a superior goal difference seeing Parma sit two places ahead of their visitors. Let’s have a look at the preview and a prediction for this match.
Parma will look at themselves as the favorites coming into this game despite failing to win any of their last four matches. They will rue the manner in which they lost 3-2 to Milan in their last game.
Parma led twice in the match, but conceded twice in stoppage time to drop points from a winning position.
Lecce haven't had a great run in this fixture, and that includes losing a 2-0 lead in September. With both teams finishing with 10 men back then, it was Parma who scored twice in stoppage time to force a 2-2 draw.
In this game, Lecce will be looking to do better than they did in their last two matches. Their 4-0 loss at home to Inter Milan marked the second straight league game they conceded as much.
Four defeats in their last six league matches definitely paint them as underdogs here. It doesn’t help that they have just one win, and three losses in the last four away league games.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Parma v Lecce Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.4 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.46 | 3.46 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.46 | 3.46 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and Lecce?
Our prediction for the Parma vs Lecce match is: Parma wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/01/2025 between Parma and Lecce in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.3% for a win of Parma against Lecce with odds of 2.55 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Parma vs Lecce is 17.87% with odds of 3.5 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs Parma with odds of 3.6 at Betobet.
Parma - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:
| Parma Lecce Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Parma wins | 44.3% | 2.55 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.67% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Parma | 22.99% | 6 at Bet365 |
Parma vs Lecce Form
Parma and Lecce's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
32 | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | -13 |
|
17
|
27 | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -32 |
Parma and Lecce Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
23 Nov 2024 - Serie A
4 Nov 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
6 Dec 2024 - Serie A
9 Nov 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
11 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
30 Dec 2024 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
8 Nov 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
11 Jan 2025 - Serie A
30 Dec 2024 - Serie A
7 Dec 2024 - Serie A
25 Nov 2024 - Serie A
2 Nov 2024 - Serie A
Parma vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Sep 2024 - Serie A
1 Nov 2023 - Coppa Italia
19 Mar 2022 - Serie B
7 Nov 2021 - Serie B
15 Aug 2021 - Coppa Italia
2 Aug 2020 - Serie A
Players list
Z. Suzuki
DefenderG. Leoni
A. Vogliacco
A. Hainaut
E. Valeri
MidfielderP. Almqvist
S. Sohm
ForwardJ. Ondrejka
D. Camara
A. Bonny
M. Djuric
W. Falcone
DefenderF. Guilbert
F. Baschirotto
G. Jean
A. Gallo
MidfielderT. Helgason
L. Coulibaly
B. Pierret
S. Pierotti
ForwardN. Krstovic
T. Morente
Substitutes
M. Moretta
E. Corvi
DefenderB. Balogh
M. Lovik
N. Trabucchi
MidfielderN. Estevez
A. Hainaut
J. Ondrejka
A. Bernabe
D. Camara
E. Plicco
ForwardA. Bonny
P. Almqvist
J. Samooja
C. Fruchtl
DefenderTiago Gabriel
D. Melo Veiga
P. Dorgu
MidfielderL. Coulibaly
M. Kaba
ForwardR. Burnete
T. Morente
A. Rebic
Missing players
A. Circati
Y. Osorio
ForwardM. Kowalski
G. Charpentier
F. Marchwinski
Most goals and assists
Parma
Lecce
A. Bonny
(6 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(10 Goals)
E. Valeri
(6 Assists)
T. Helgason
(4 Assists)
Parma - Lecce Key Points
- In the last six Serie A meetings between these sides, Parma are unbeaten.
- Parma avoided defeat in three of their last five league matches.
- Lecce suffered defeat three times in the last five league matches.
- In their last four away Serie A matches, Lecce lost three times.
- Parma won twice in their last four home league matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Parma vs Lecce Prediction
Parma had to come from 2-0 down, forcing a draw in their first meeting with Lecce this season. That result brought their Serie A unbeaten run against Lecce to five and they look set to extend the same here.
Two wins in four home league matches fuel this belief, which is aided by Lecce’s deplorable run of three losses in four away league games. With Parma's dominance in this fixture, our prediction for Parma v Lecce is that Parma wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Parma Lecce
| Parma vs Lecce | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma wins | 2 | 2.55 | +27.5% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.2 | -5.9% |
| Lecce wins | 3.6 | 2.9 | -19.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Parma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 27.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 39.2% (-10.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Parma vs. Lecce game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Parma and Lecce? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
