Paris FC vs Brest Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Paris FC
03/05/2026 11:15
Brest

Prediction :

 

Paris FC wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Paris FC have secured their stay in Ligue 1 and will be meeting another side that has also confirmed safety, Brest. The two sides are tied on 38 points and it is as good as a dead rubber, both being 15 points adrift of European football slots. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.

Under Antoine Kombouare, Paris FC have shown great resilience. That was until they met in-form Lille last week. The 1-0 defeat to Les Dogues was Kombouare’s first defeat in charge, ending a run of four wins and as many draws.

Paris have lost three times in 15 league matches, and all the defeats were against sides in the top four.

Brest have shown all the unwanted qualities at this level in their recent matches. They’ve been both inconsistent and poor. Earlier, they failed to make the most of Nantes playing with nine men and could only draw the match 1-1.

Their biggest shocker was to come in the most recent match, as they lost a 3-0 lead to draw 3-3 with Lens. That marked the third time in their last four matches that Brest conceded at least three goals.

Les Pirates are coming into this encounter having failed to win any of their last five matches, losing three and conceding 13 goals. The visitors also lost the reverse match, 2-1.

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Paris FC v Brest Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.03 3.65 3.65
Melbet
1.98 3.64 3.64
Betwinner
1.97 3.62 3.7
Bet365
2 3.6 3.6
Roobet
1.97 3.6 3.55
Check all Paris FC vs Brest odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Paris FC and Brest?

Our prediction for the Paris FC vs Brest match is: Paris FC wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2026 between Paris FC and Brest in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.43% for a win of Paris FC against Brest with odds of 2.05 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Paris FC vs Brest is 32.73% with odds of 3.8 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Brest vs Paris FC with odds of 3.84 at 888Starz.

Paris FC - Brest Prediction and Best Odds:

Paris FC Brest Prediction Probability Odds
Paris FC wins 40.43% 2.05 at LSbet
Under 2.5 52.06% 2.16 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 52.08%
Half-time / Full-time : Paris FC/Paris FC 17.77% 3.2 at Bet365

Paris FC vs Brest Form

Paris FC and Brest's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11 Paris FC
44 34 11 11 12 -3
12 Brest
39 34 10 9 15 -12

Paris FC and Brest Last Matches

Paris FC
Paris FC Last matches
D W D W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  1
Lille

19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  3
Paris FC

10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
4 :  1
Monaco

5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Paris FC

22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
3 :  2
Le Havre

15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
0 :  0
Paris FC
D L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  1
Lille

10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
4 :  1
Monaco

22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
3 :  2
Le Havre

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
1 :  0
Nice

14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  5
Lens

31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
2 :  2
Marseille
D D D D D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

5/6 (83%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  3
Paris FC

5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Paris FC

15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
0 :  0
Paris FC

8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  1
Paris FC

21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  1
Paris FC

8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  0
Paris FC
Brest
Brest Last matches
W L L L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
3 :  3
Lens

19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  1
Brest

4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
3 :  4
Rennes

21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  0
Brest

14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  0
Brest

8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Le Havre
L W W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
3 :  3
Lens

4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
3 :  4
Rennes

8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Le Havre

20 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Marseille

7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
2 :  0
Lorient

25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  2
Toulouse
D D W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

Nantes
1 :  1
Brest

21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
3 :  0
Brest

14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Monaco
2 :  0
Brest

1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Brest

14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
Brest

1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1

Nice
2 :  2
Brest

Paris FC vs Brest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Paris FC

25 %

Draw

25 %

Brest

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.75
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.75
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5

14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
1 :  2
Paris FC

21 Jan 2019 - Ligue 2

Paris FC
0 :  1
Brest

10 Aug 2018 - Ligue 2

Brest
1 :  1
Paris FC

24 Feb 2018 - Ligue 2

Paris FC
0 :  1
Brest

Paris FC against Brest Lineups: Starting 11

Paris FC

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

35
K. Trapp
14
H. Traore
42
D. Coppola
5
M. Mbow
19
N. Sangui
18
M. Munetsi
23
R. Matondo
93
J. Ikone
10
I. Kebbal
27
M. Simon
9
W. Geubbels
19
L. Ajorque
14
R. Lascary
8
H. Magnetti
24
L. Tousart
10
R. Del Castillo
13
J. Chotard
12
L. Zogbe
71
R. Le Guen
5
B. Chardonnet
77
K. Lala
30
G. Coudert

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

Brest

Substitutes

Paris FC
Paris FC
Goalkeeper

O. Nkambadio

Defender

T. Ollila

H. Traore 85'

Otavio

Midfielder

V. Marchetti

R. Matondo 77'

A. Camara

M. Lopez

I. Kebbal 65'

Forward

A. Gory

L. Koleosho

W. Geubbels 65'

C. Immobile

J. Ikone 76'

Brest
Brest
Goalkeeper

R. Majecki

N. Jauny

Defender

J. Diaz

Midfielder

K. Doumbia

H. Magnetti 70'

H. Makalou

L. Tousart 60'

E. Ebimbe

R. Lascary 60'

Forward

P. Mboup

J. Chotard 83'

M. Balde

R. Del Castillo 70'

S. Diop

Missing players

Paris FC
Paris FC
Goalkeeper

R. Riou

Defender

S. Alakouch

Midfielder

J. Lopez

P. Lees Melou

Forward

P. Hamel

J. Krasso

Brest
Brest
Defender

D. Guindo

B. Locko

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Paris FC
CD Huachipato Brest
Top Goalscorer
Algeria I. Kebbal (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France R. Del Castillo (9 Goals)
Best assists
Algeria I. Kebbal (4 Assists)
France M. Lopez (4 Assists)
Best assists
France L. Ajorque (9 Assists)

Paris FC - Brest Key Points

  1. Brest lost this encounter in the reverse fixture.
  2. In their last five matches, Paris FC recorded three wins.
  3. Brest are winless in their last five matches, having lost three times.
  4. Paris FC’s three defeats in the last 15 league games were against top four sides.
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Our Paris FC vs Brest Prediction

Paris FC have been on the rise and will be keen on continuing with the same after the loss to Lille. Three wins in their last five matches will definitely pump up their confidence levels as they face a side that has been struggling.

Across their last five matches, Brest have managed to secure just two points. Losing a three-goal lead in the last round points to a lack of confidence in the away team, and that could be punished here. Our prediction for Paris FC v Brest is that Paris FC wins.

Prediction :

 

Paris FC wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Paris FC Brest

Paris FC vs Brest Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Paris FC wins 2.15 2.05 -4.7%
Draw 3.4 3.8 +11.8%
Brest wins 3.4 3.84 +12.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Paris FC is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 48.8% (2.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Paris FC vs Brest Prediction