Paris FC vs Brest Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Paris FC have secured their stay in Ligue 1 and will be meeting another side that has also confirmed safety, Brest. The two sides are tied on 38 points and it is as good as a dead rubber, both being 15 points adrift of European football slots. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Under Antoine Kombouare, Paris FC have shown great resilience. That was until they met in-form Lille last week. The 1-0 defeat to Les Dogues was Kombouare’s first defeat in charge, ending a run of four wins and as many draws.
Paris have lost three times in 15 league matches, and all the defeats were against sides in the top four.
Brest have shown all the unwanted qualities at this level in their recent matches. They’ve been both inconsistent and poor. Earlier, they failed to make the most of Nantes playing with nine men and could only draw the match 1-1.
Their biggest shocker was to come in the most recent match, as they lost a 3-0 lead to draw 3-3 with Lens. That marked the third time in their last four matches that Brest conceded at least three goals.
Les Pirates are coming into this encounter having failed to win any of their last five matches, losing three and conceding 13 goals. The visitors also lost the reverse match, 2-1.
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Paris FC v Brest Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
2.03 | 3.65 | 3.65 |
|
|
|
1.98 | 3.64 | 3.64 |
|
|
|
1.97 | 3.62 | 3.7 |
|
|
|
2 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
|
|
|
1.97 | 3.6 | 3.55 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Paris FC and Brest?
Our prediction for the Paris FC vs Brest match is: Paris FC wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2026 between Paris FC and Brest in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.43% for a win of Paris FC against Brest with odds of 2.05 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Paris FC vs Brest is 32.73% with odds of 3.8 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Brest vs Paris FC with odds of 3.84 at 888Starz.
Paris FC - Brest Prediction and Best Odds:
| Paris FC Brest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC wins | 40.43% | 2.05 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 52.06% | 2.16 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Paris FC/Paris FC | 17.77% | 3.2 at Bet365 |
Paris FC vs Brest Form
Paris FC and Brest's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
44 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 |
|
12
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -12 |
Paris FC and Brest Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Brest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2019 - Ligue 2
10 Aug 2018 - Ligue 2
24 Feb 2018 - Ligue 2
Paris FC against Brest Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
O. Nkambadio
DefenderT. Ollila
Otavio
MidfielderV. Marchetti
A. Camara
M. Lopez
A. Gory
L. Koleosho
C. Immobile
R. Majecki
N. Jauny
DefenderJ. Diaz
MidfielderK. Doumbia
H. Makalou
E. Ebimbe
P. Mboup
M. Balde
S. Diop
Missing players
R. Riou
DefenderS. Alakouch
MidfielderJ. Lopez
P. Lees Melou
ForwardP. Hamel
J. Krasso
D. Guindo
B. Locko
Most goals and assists
Paris FC - Brest Key Points
- Brest lost this encounter in the reverse fixture.
- In their last five matches, Paris FC recorded three wins.
- Brest are winless in their last five matches, having lost three times.
- Paris FC’s three defeats in the last 15 league games were against top four sides.
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Our Paris FC vs Brest Prediction
Paris FC have been on the rise and will be keen on continuing with the same after the loss to Lille. Three wins in their last five matches will definitely pump up their confidence levels as they face a side that has been struggling.
Across their last five matches, Brest have managed to secure just two points. Losing a three-goal lead in the last round points to a lack of confidence in the away team, and that could be punished here. Our prediction for Paris FC v Brest is that Paris FC wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Paris FC Brest
| Paris FC vs Brest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC wins | 2.15 | 2.05 | -4.7% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.8 | +11.8% |
| Brest wins | 3.4 | 3.84 | +12.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Paris FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 48.8% (2.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.