Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
The final curtain in the Premier League before the November international break comes from Old Trafford, where Manchester United will be taking on Aston Villa on Sunday evening. This fixture ended 3-1 to the Red Devils last season, and our prediction is that there will be goals at both ends in this match as well.
Man United fans will return to Old Trafford with renewed belief this weekend after seeing their side claw their way back from 2-0 down to beat Roma 3-2 in the Champions League in midweek. However, the pressure is still firmly on Michael Carrick and the Red Devils, as they are winless since August in the EPL and could enter the international break below the dotted line if they drop points here.
Unai Emery’s side are back to domestic action after suffering their first loss in this season’s UCL away to Barcelona. However, the Villans are on an upward trajectory in the Prem, unbeaten in five games, and three points here could catapult them into the top six if results elsewhere also go in their favour. Let’s get into the key stats!
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Manchester United v Aston Villa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.06 | 3.65 | 3.10 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.95 | 3.19 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.80 | 3.07 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.80 | 3.07 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.80 | 3.07 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
Members only · free registration
What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Aston Villa match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/11/2026 between Manchester United and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.37% for a win of Manchester United against Aston Villa with odds of 2.23 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Aston Villa is 26.72% with odds of 3.95 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Manchester United with odds of 3.3 at Bet365.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa Form
Manchester United and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -3 |
|
17
|
7 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 |
Manchester United and Aston Villa Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2026 - Champions League
31 Oct 2026 - Premier League
25 Oct 2026 - Premier League
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2026 - Champions League
25 Oct 2026 - Premier League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
16 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2026 - Premier League
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2026 - Champions League
31 Oct 2026 - Premier League
28 Oct 2026 - Carabao Cup
24 Oct 2026 - Premier League
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Oct 2026 - Premier League
24 Oct 2026 - Premier League
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2026 - Champions League
28 Oct 2026 - Carabao Cup
17 Oct 2026 - Premier League
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Sept 2026 - Premier League
16 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
Manchester United vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
25 May 2025 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
11 Feb 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Manchester United - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Manchester United will need to carry their momentum from midweek into this clash. After losing to Chelsea 2-0 away last weekend, they are now winless in their last seven league games (D4 L3).
The Red Devils have underperformed their 14.03 xG this season, scoring just 10 times to date. They have the fifth-highest xGA per 90 this term (1.66) and have conceded the fifth-most goals in the division (15).
United have earned four points from as many home league games this season and enter this one winless in their last three. They have not kept a clean sheet at Old Trafford in the EPL since February 7!
However, Man United have won their last six home matches against Villa in all competitions!
Meanwhile, Aston Villa come into this weekend’s clash looking to extend their five-match unbeaten run in the top flight after being held to an unexpected 1-1 draw by Fulham last time out.
While the Villans surpassed the 100-shot mark for the season last week, they still have the fourth-lowest xG in the league (10.93). Defensively, they are averaging 1.64 xGA per 90 after nine games.
Notably, the visitors have earned seven of their 12 points this season on the road, with all of those coming in their last three away games (W2 D1). However, they have not tasted victory at this venue since September 2021.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Manchester United vs Aston Villa last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Substitutes
T. Heaton
K. Darlow
DefenderM. de Ligt
N. Mazraoui
L. Martinez
H. Amass
MidfielderS. Lacey
Y. Tielemans
M. Mount
T. Fletcher
A. Santos
ForwardJ. Zirkzee
J. Wright
M. Bizot
DefenderT. Mings
T. Harwood-Bellis
MidfielderL. Goretzka
R. Barkley
ForwardI. Mbaye
Alysson
G. Hemmings
T. Abraham
A. Garnacho
Missing players
L. Shaw
L. Martinez
P. Dorgu
MidfielderM. Ugarte
ForwardM. Rashford
B. Sesko
M. Cash
A. Wan-Bissaka
M. Ruggeri
MidfielderA. Onana
Manchester United & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Mattheus Cunha had an eventful evening against Roma, winning his side a penalty, scoring twice, including the winner, before being sent off in stoppage time. The Brazilian is one to watch for the home side in this match.
Shea Lacey made an impressive cameo off the bench in midweek. The young winger was a bundle of energy and set up Cunha for the winner, which he will hope earns him some more minutes this weekend.
Carlos Baleba is facing another lengthy spell out after doing his hamstring in midweek. He joins Benjamin Sesko, Luke Shaw, and Manuel Ugarte on the sidelines. Marcus Rashford and Patrick Dorgu could return to the squad, while Lisandro Martinez is suspended.
Nicolas Jackson is enjoying a purple patch in the Prem!
The Senegalese international is now significantly overperforming his 2.31 xG. He has scored all five of his league goals this season in his last five matches, doing so from just nine shots on target.
Johan Manzambi was deployed in the number 10 role against Barca, but the 21-year-old Swiss international is likely to be shifted back out to the flank and could prove a handful for Leny Yoro in United’s right-back slot.
The visitors have three confirmed absentees, with Aaron Wan-Bissaka set to miss this clash with his former club due to a hamstring injury. Matteo Ruggeri is out until after the international break, and Amadou Onana is sidelined for the foreseeable future.
Most goals and assists
Manchester United
Aston Villa
B. Mbeumo
(4 Goals)
N. Jackson
(5 Goals)
M. Cunha
(2 Assists)
J. McGinn
(3 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(3 Assists)
Manchester United and Aston Villa Stats in Premier League
Manchester United - Aston Villa Key Points
- Manchester United have conceded two or more goals in five of their last six matches.
- Manchester United and Aston Villa are averaging 1.66 and 1.64 xGA per 90 in the league this season, respectively.
- Five of Aston Villa’s last six league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Aston Villa have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven away games in all competitions.
- Both league games between these sides last season ended with both teams scoring.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Manchester United vs Aston Villa Prediction
Manchester United dearly needed that victory in midweek to bring some positivity back to Old Trafford, but their defensive frailties were still plainly evident in that match, and they have now shipped 11 goals in their last four games in all competitions.
The Villans have not won a match at Old Trafford in over five years, but Emery will know that there is no better time to change that record than right now. With both sides likely feeling that they can take all three points here, we are expecting plenty of chances at both ends. Our Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction is BTTS.
Manchester United vs Aston Villa Alternative Predictions
Nicolas Jackson to score or assist
Draw
Get up to €100 to bet on the Manchester United vs. Aston Villa game
You can get yourself up to €100 in matched bets for the battle between Manchester United and Aston Villa when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Premier League!
Manchester United vs Aston Villa - FAQs
The Premier League match between Manchester United and Aston Villa will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
