Lens vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lens and Marseille are coming off contrasting outings in Europe, and they shift gears to Ligue 1 to battle for three points. Hosts Lens start the week sitting ninth and Marseille sixth. The visitors have had a good time lately, and it is showing in their results, so in our prediction we are backing a Marseille win.
Lens were expected to have a great season after pushing PSG in the title fight, winning the domestic cup, and returning to the Champions League. It has, however, been the opposite.
Les Sang et Or are struggling a lot in the season. They are currently ninth, seven points behind the leaders after their 1-0 defeat to Lille in the last round. Right after the loss, they went into an even tougher outing as they suffered a 9-1 loss to UCL debutants Como.
Marseille suffered in the early stages of the season, but all that is a distant memory at the moment. They are coming off their first win in the Europa League, beating German giants Bayer Leverkusen 1-0.
That was their third straight victory. It was a special win for the fact that it happened away from home against a team that hadn’t lost or conceded a goal in the competition.
Les Phocéens will look to carry the same spirit back home into this encounter. Having won the last four Ligue 1 matches, that should come naturally.
Also, Marseille have only lost once in their last eight matches coming right after playing in Europe.
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Lens v Marseille Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.13 | 3.85 | 2.85 |
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2.28 | 4.09 | 3.01 |
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2.20 | 3.94 | 2.90 |
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2.12 | 3.94 | 3.05 |
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2.20 | 3.94 | 2.90 |
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Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Lens vs Marseille match is: Marseille wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/11/2026 between Lens and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.57% for a win of Lens against Marseille with odds of 2.28 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs Marseille is 23.93% with odds of 4.09 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Lens with odds of 3.05 at Betwinner.
Lens vs Marseille Form
Lens and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
15 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | +7 |
|
9
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 |
Lens and Marseille Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2026 - Champions League
30 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Nov 2026 - Champions League
24 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
9 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2026 - Europa League
1 Nov 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
20 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2026 - Europa League
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Sept 2026 - Europa League
11 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1
Lens vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
Lens vs Marseille last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
R. Gurtner
M. Gorgelin
DefenderN. Celik
S. Sagnan
J. Gradit
J. Todibo
S. Abdulhamid
MidfielderA. Bulatovic
M. Soares
Y. Titraoui
ForwardF. Sotoca
J. Kadile
T. Vermot
I. Gomis
DefenderB. Meite
A. Koum
MidfielderN. Kamissoko
A. Gomes
N. Tocukvu
T. Mmadi
ForwardN. Maupay
K. Abdallah
A. Valero
Missing players
M. Nawrocki
I. Ganiou
ForwardO. Edouard
A. Sima
Emerson
D. Cornelius
Most goals and assists
Lens and Marseille Stats in Ligue 1
Lens - Marseille Key Points
- Marseille are coming off three straight wins
- Lens have lost three of their last four matches.
- At home, Lens lost three of their last five matches.
- Marseille have won three of their last five meetings with Lens.
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Our Lens vs Marseille Prediction
Our prediction for Lens v Marseille is that Marseille wins. Marseille started the season poorly, but things have settled down now, making them one of the form teams heading into this round.
They’ve hauled themselves from the relegation zone to the top six, and only the league leaders PSG are in better form than Marseille across the last five Ligue 1 rounds. They face a Lens side coming from one of their toughest weeks after conceding nine times in a Champions League game to add on to a tumultuous campaign.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.