Palmeiras vs Chapecoense Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Despite missing a few players, Serie A leaders Palmeiras will be the favorites against bottom-placed Chapecoense in their Sunday duel. In this matchup, the only remaining unbeaten home team meets a Chapecoense side yet to win on the road. Palmeiras have also been solid in defence and our prediction will back a comfortable home win here.
This round marks the last matchday before the league takes a break, and Palmeiras aren’t in any danger of falling off the summit. They have a seven-point buffer even though they’ve played a game more than second-placed Flamengo.
This comfortable lead was aided by a 3-0 win at Flamengo in their last league game. Ahead of this match, they thrashed Junior 4-1 in the Copa Libertadores.
A 2-1 loss to Cruzeiro in their last league outing left Chapecoense still looking to add to their sole Serie A win this season. The visitors are enduring a tough return to the topflight and have now suffered nine losses in their opening 16 matches of the league campaign.
This early in the season, they are already in the relegation scrap and a return to Serie B looks very likely if nothing changes. Fabio Matias’ side is currently 11 points below safety.
Going by their performances against top sides, this gap might get wider after this round. They have lost each of the last five meetings with Palmeiras.
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Palmeiras v Chapecoense Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 5.2 | 8.2 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.72 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.25 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.38 | 4.5 | 7.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and Chapecoense?
Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs Chapecoense match is: Palmeiras wins to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/05/2026 between Palmeiras and Chapecoense in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.95% for a win of Palmeiras against Chapecoense with odds of 1.43 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs Chapecoense is 21.75% with odds of 5.4 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Chapecoense vs Palmeiras with odds of 12.5 at Betsson.
Palmeiras - Chapecoense Prediction and Best Odds:
| Palmeiras Chapecoense Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras wins | 55.95% | 1.43 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 53.33% | 2.21 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Palmeiras | 25.82% | 4.1 at LSbet |
Palmeiras vs Chapecoense Form
Palmeiras and Chapecoense's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
44 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | +19 |
|
20
|
10 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -22 |
Palmeiras and Chapecoense Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
19 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
18 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Apr 2026 - Copa do Brasil
Palmeiras vs Chapecoense Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Jun 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Oct 2019 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Sept 2018 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Aug 2017 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2017 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Nov 2016 - Brasileirão Serie A
Palmeiras against Chapecoense Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
Aranha
K. Lima da Cunha
DefenderK. Mohamed
Jefte
L. Benedetti
L. Ferreira dos Santos
Victor Gabriel
R. Coutinho
ForwardR. Fillipi
E. Bele
Eduardo
Paulinho
R. Santos
M. Palhares Guimaraes
DefenderVinicius Eduardo
M. da Silva Santos
W. Clar
MidfielderV. Balieiro
R. Ricoldi
David Antunes
Jean Carlos
I. de Vargas da Rosa
H. Meritao
ForwardN. Pessoa
Missing players
J. Piquerez
ForwardV. Roque
R. Thyere
Kauan
MidfielderB. dos Santos
Most goals and assists
Palmeiras
Chapecoense
J. Lopez
(6 Goals)
W. Clar
(3 Goals)
A. Pereira
(10 Assists)
B. Pacheco
(3 Assists)
Palmeiras - Chapecoense Key Points
- Palmeiras are unbeaten in their last six matches against Chapecoense.
- In half of these teams’ last six meetings, Palmeiras managed three clean sheets.
- Chapecoense are winless in their seven away league matches so far.
- Palmeiras are the only unbeaten home side in the league at the moment.
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Our Palmeiras vs Chapecoense Prediction
Palmeiras will go into the month-long break well tucked at the top of the league table. That was confirmed by their win against the defending champions last time out in the league. Their next encounter is considerably easier, facing an opponent they’ve beaten in each of their last five meetings.
They’ve also kept clean sheets in three of their last six meetings with Chapecoense, who aren’t carrying a great run in defence into this encounter. Our prediction for Palmeiras v Chapecoense is that Palmeiras wins to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Palmeiras Chapecoense
| Palmeiras vs Chapecoense | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras wins | 1.21 | 1.43 | +18.2% |
| Draw | 6 | 5.4 | -10.0% |
| Chapecoense wins | 14 | 12.5 | -10.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Palmeiras is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 18.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.6% and is now 69.9% (-12.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
