England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Kennedy Kechula | in Championship Predictions
Oxford United and Derby County hope to return recharged after the international break. Separated by two points, the two sides clash on matchday 10 in the Championship. Read on to find our prediction of the match.
Hosts Oxford are still in the relegation zone after suffering their fifth loss in the league last time out. They fell 2-1 at Watford, going winless in three back-to-back matches.
While they failed to keep a second straight clean sheet in that match, Oxford will be pleased to have scored for the first time in three matches. The U’s have managed only two clean sheets in the 11 matches played this season.
Derby County are among the four teams with one win after nine league games. Five of their matches ended in draws, and they will want to improve on that as well.
Ahead of the international break, the Rams posted a 1-1 draw with Southampton, their third straight such result. It was also the fourth straight match in which they trailed, but they’ve been able to come back in the latest three.
Derby managed only one clean sheet in their 11 matches this season. That was in an away match at West Bromwich Albion, and they’ll be keen on replicating the same here.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Oxford United v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 3.2 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.1 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.5 | 3 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.1 | 2.88 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Oxford United and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Oxford United vs Derby County match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2025 between Oxford United and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.76% for a win of Oxford United against Derby County with odds of 2.65 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Oxford United vs Derby County is 46.29% with odds of 3.28 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Oxford United with odds of 3.1 at Bwin.
Oxford United - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Oxford United Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 46.29% | 3.28 at 22bet |
| Under 2.5 | 58.43% | 2.2 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 22.06% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Oxford United vs Derby County Form
Oxford United and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -2 |
|
21
|
19 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | -7 |
Oxford United and Derby County Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
21 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
17 Aug 2025 - Championship
3 May 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sept 2025 - Championship
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
22 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
Oxford United vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
Players list
J. Cumming
DefenderB. Spencer
M. Helik
C. Brown
J. Currie
MidfielderP. Placheta
W. Vaulks
C. Brannagan
B. Davies
B. De Keersmaecker
ForwardM. Harris
J. Widell Zetterstrom
DefenderB. Clark
D. Sanderson
M. Clarke
C. Elder
MidfielderE. Adams
C. Blackett-Taylor
ForwardP. Agyemang
L. Salvesen
B. Clark
C. Morris
Substitutes
M. Ingram
DefenderB. Davies
G. Leigh
S. Long
MidfielderP. Placheta
T. Goodhram
F. Krastev
ForwardM. Harris
W. Lankshear
J. Vickers
DefenderD. Batth
S. Langas
C. Elder
B. Clark
L. Salvesen
C. Blackett-Taylor
P. Agyemang
K. Jackson
Missing players
M. Phillips
ForwardO. Romeny
C. Nelson
O. Beck
MidfielderL. Thompson
L. Travis
Most goals and assists
Oxford United
Derby County
W. Lankshear
(5 Goals)
C. Morris
(10 Goals)
M. Helik
(2 Assists)
, 
B. De Keersmaecker
(2 Assists)
J. Ward
(5 Assists)
Oxford United - Derby County Key Points
- In nine of Derby’s last 11 matches, both teams scored.
- Derby County have one clean sheet in their last 11 matches.
- Oxford’s 11 matches this season produced just two clean sheets.
- Five of Oxford United’s last nine matches had both teams scoring.
- Four of five meetings between these two sides had both teams score.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Oxford United vs Derby County Prediction
The one commodity that has proven rare in these two teams’ early season exchanges has been clean sheets. From the opening 11 games across all competitions, Derby County have one and Oxford United managed two. As such, they’ve conceded over 1.0 goals on average, with Oxford letting in 13 in total and Derby conceding 15.
Given that there has only been one clean sheet recorded in the last five meetings between them, the goals market sounds interesting. Our prediction for Oxford United v Derby County is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Oxford United Derby County
| Oxford United vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United wins | 2.25 | 2.45 | +8.9% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.2 | -5.9% |
| Derby County wins | 3 | 2.85 | -5.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 31.3% (1.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Oxford United vs. Derby County game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Oxford United and Derby County? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
