Derby County vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
Derby County, looking to end a two-match winless run in the Championship, will be hosting promotion-chasing Millwall this Wednesday. Third-placed Millwall are edging closer to the top two, while Derby arrive for this game sitting 15th. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
The Rams are struggling to replicate their form from between October and November, when they posted five straight wins. They have only managed one in their last four.
Coming into this game, they’ve even lost twice on the bounce in their home matches. The hosts are coming off a 3-1 defeat at home to Leicester City. They walk straight into a fixture they haven't won in five, drawing twice.
Millwall have posted six wins in their last 10 games and will view this match as an opportunity to keep up the pressure on the top two sides. They are serious contenders for an automatic promotion ticket and will label this a winnable game.
The Lions are coming off an impressive 1-0 win away to Bristol City and will not be worried about a second straight away game.
They take into this game a three-match winning run, and their visits to Derby have lately been very fruitful. Millwall have won each of their last five away matches hosted by Derby County.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Millwall Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.65 | 3.05 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.1 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.76 | 3.11 | 2.71 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.05 | 2.74 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.2 | 2.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Millwall?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Millwall match is: Millwall wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/12/2025 between Derby County and Millwall in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.65% for a win of Derby County against Millwall with odds of 2.9 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Millwall is 25.46% with odds of 3.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Millwall vs Derby County with odds of 2.75 at Stake.
Derby County - Millwall Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Millwall Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 38.89% | 2.75 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.79% | 2.28 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Millwall | 18.15% | 6 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs Millwall Form
Derby County and Millwall's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
46 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
|
12
|
38 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +1 |
Derby County and Millwall Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Oct 2025 - Championship
21 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1 Nov 2025 - Championship
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
25 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
20 Feb 2019 - Championship
18 Aug 2018 - Championship
Derby County against Millwall Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Vickers
DefenderC. Forsyth
D. Batth
C. Nelson
MidfielderE. Adams
C. Blackett-Taylor
R. Brewster
L. Salvesen
K. Jackson
S. Benda
DefenderD. McNamara
W. Harding
K. Grant
J. Bryan
M. Langstaff
A. Emakhu
A. Matthews
J. Howland
Missing players
O. Beck
ForwardC. Morris
L. Jensen
MidfielderM. Luongo
W. Smallbone
B. Baker
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Millwall
C. Morris
(10 Goals)
F. Azeez
(7 Goals)
J. Ward
(7 Assists)
T. Ballo
(4 Assists)
Derby County - Millwall Key Points
- Millwall have posted three straight wins.
- Derby lost three of their last four matches.
- At home, Derby lost their last two outings.
- Derby are winless in five meetings with Millwall.
- Millwall won all their latest five away matches at Derby.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
Our Derby County vs Millwall Prediction
Millwall will have all the reasons to head into this game pumped up. The Lions are not only unbeaten in their last five matches against Bristol, but they have also won each of their last five when visiting Derby.
Heading into this game, the visitors also have the better run of form, having won their last three games back-to-back. Derby are coming off three defeats in their last four encounters and have also lost their last two matches at home. Our prediction for Derby County v Millwall is that Millwall wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Millwall
| Derby County vs Millwall | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 2.34 | 2.9 | +23.9% |
| Draw | 3 | 3.2 | +6.7% |
| Millwall wins | 3.22 | 2.75 | -14.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Millwall is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.1% and is now 36.4% (5.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Derby County vs. Millwall game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Derby County and Millwall when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
