Nlex Road Warriors vs San Miguel Beermen Prediction & Betting Tips - PBA
Philippines - PBA
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Basketball Predictions
The Smart Araneta Coliseum will come to life on Thursday as the San Miguel Beermen battle the NLEX Road Warriors in this first leg of PBA Philippine Cup quarterfinals. Can the defending champions defeat the NLEX Road Warriors to qualify for the semifinals? Here is our prediction.
The San Miguel Beermen are on their way to retaining the Philippine Cup this season following a strong start to their campaign. They finished top of the standings in the elimination round with an impressive 9–2 record. This stellar run has seen them head into this playoffs as the top seed – needing just a win to book their place in the last four.
Notably, Leo Austria's men will be confident about victory in Thursday's encounter. They boast a terrific nine-game winning streak from the elimination round. This includes a 113-104 victory over the Meralco Bolts in their last game.
NLEX Road Warriors sneaked into this playoffs – grabbing the final playoff spot – after finishing eighth in the standings with a 6–5 record. They wrapped up their campaign in the elimination round with a 107–95 defeat against Converge FiberXers in overtime. This marked their third defeat in a row and fourth in their last six fixtures. Can they defy the odds to edge the San Miguel Beermen?
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The Best Betting Odds for Nlex Road Warriors v San Miguel Beermen Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
5 | 1.14 |
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4.33 | 1.2 |
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3.75 | 1.23 |
|
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4.5 | 1.17 |
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|
4.4 | 1.16 |
|
Who will win the Nlex Road Warriors vs San Miguel Beermen Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Nlex Road Warriors vs San Miguel Beermen match is: San Miguel Beermen -10.5 handicap points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Nlex Road Warriors vs San Miguel Beermen game on 25/12/2025 of the current PBA season:
- Nlex Road Warriors has a 28.2% chance to pick up the win against San Miguel Beermen according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 5.
- There is a probability of 71.8% ⭐ for San Miguel Beermen to win vs Nlex Road Warriors with odds of 1.23 at Unibet.
Nlex Road Warriors vs San Miguel Beermen Form
Nlex Road Warriors and San Miguel Beermen Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
17 Dec 2025 - PBA
13 Dec 2025 - PBA
7 Dec 2025 - PBA
16 Nov 2025 - PBA
8 Nov 2025 - PBA
2 Nov 2025 - PBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
16 Nov 2025 - PBA
8 Nov 2025 - PBA
2 Nov 2025 - PBA
26 Oct 2025 - PBA
12 Oct 2025 - PBA
18 Jun 2025 - PBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
17 Dec 2025 - PBA
13 Dec 2025 - PBA
7 Dec 2025 - PBA
29 Oct 2025 - PBA
22 Oct 2025 - PBA
8 Oct 2025 - PBA
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
19 Dec 2025 - PBA
17 Dec 2025 - PBA
13 Dec 2025 - PBA
5 Dec 2025 - PBA
12 Nov 2025 - PBA
7 Nov 2025 - PBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
17 Dec 2025 - PBA
7 Nov 2025 - PBA
26 Oct 2025 - PBA
12 Oct 2025 - PBA
8 Oct 2025 - PBA
25 Jul 2025 - PBA
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
19 Dec 2025 - PBA
13 Dec 2025 - PBA
5 Dec 2025 - PBA
12 Nov 2025 - PBA
2 Nov 2025 - PBA
19 Oct 2025 - PBA
Nlex Road Warriors vs San Miguel Beermen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
8 Oct 2025 - PBA
5 Apr 2025 - PBA
15 Mar 2023 - PBA, Governors Cup
Nlex Road Warriors - San Miguel Beermen Key Points
- The San Miguel Beermen have won their last nine games.
- The San Miguel Beermen have won their last five games by double digits.
- The NLEX Road Warriors have lost four of their last six games.
- The NLEX Road Warriors have lost their last three games.
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Our Nlex Road Warriors vs San Miguel Beermen Prediction
Seeded below their opponents San Miguel Beermen, the NLEX Road Warriors require back-to-back wins in this series to qualify for the next round. They are likely to struggle on Thursday, having lost their last three games, and four of their last six.
Notably, the San Miguel Beermen are the clear favorites to secure victory, coming off the back of a terrific winning run. They also won their last five games by double digits. Hence, our NLEX Road Warriors vs San Miguel Beermen prediction is San Miguel Beermen -10.5 handicap points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
