Nice vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Marseille have the early chance to go top of the Ligue 1 standings when action returns after the international break. Placed second, Les Phoceens will be traveling to ninth-placed Nice this Friday. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Nice will be thankful for the timing of the November international break. Les Aiglons left having suffered back-to-back league defeats. The most recent of them was a 2-1 fall against the much-improved Metz.
In between those league losses was a home loss to Freiburg in the Europa League. They do have three wins in the last five meetings with Marseille and will be banking on such a run as action returns.
Nice are also unbeaten in their last five home matches in Ligue 1.
For Marseille, the break didn’t come at a great time. A 3-0 win before leaving for the international break placed Marseille just two points below PSG.
That comfortable win affirmed Marseille’s position as the league’s highest scorers, with 28 goals in 12 matches. Of that tally, 13 came in the last five league games.
They’ve also bagged 10 points from their latest five matches and will be targeting an away win here. Roberto De Zerbi’s men are the third-best away performers in Ligue 1, with nine points out of 18. They have three wins in the last four games on the road.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Nice v Marseille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.6 | 3.75 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.8 | 1.98 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.76 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.65 | 3.65 | 1.93 |
|
|
3.85 | 3.85 | 1.95 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nice and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Nice vs Marseille match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/11/2025 between Nice and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.3% for a win of Nice against Marseille with odds of 3.85 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nice vs Marseille is 13.76% with odds of 3.85 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Nice with odds of 2.04 at 888Starz.
Nice - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nice Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nice wins | 44.3% | 3.85 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.38% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Nice | 20.06% | 8 at Bet365 |
Nice vs Marseille Form
Nice and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
32 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | +19 |
|
14
|
18 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | -10 |
Nice and Marseille Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
Nice vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
28 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
Players list
Y. Diouf
DefenderA. Mendy
A. Bah
K. Peprah Oppong
J. Clauss
M. Bard
MidfielderS. Abdul Samed
C. Vanhoutte
ForwardS. Diop
M. Cho
T. Moffi
J. De Lange
DefenderB. Pavard
L. Balerdi
Emerson
MidfielderG. Kondogbia
A. Vermeeren
A. Gomes
ForwardT. Weah
M. Greenwood
I. Paixao
P. Aubameyang
Substitutes
M. Dupe
DefenderA. Abdi
T. Louchet
I. Jansson
M. Sanson
J. Boga
B. Nguene
T. Gouveia
K. Carlos
G. Rulli
DefenderC. Egan-Riley
U. Garcia
MidfielderT. Mmadi
M. O'Riley
D. Bakola
B. Nadir
R. Vaz
N. Maupay
Missing players
Dante
M. Abdel Monem
M. Bombito
MidfielderT. Ndombele
Y. Ndayishimiye
H. Boudaoui
A. Murillo
F. Medina
N. Aguerd
MidfielderP. Hojbjerg
H. Traore
ForwardA. Gouiri
Most goals and assists
Nice
Marseille
S. Diop
(6 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(11 Goals)
T. Louchet
(2 Assists)
, 
H. Boudaoui
(2 Assists)
, 
C. Vanhoutte
(2 Assists)
,
M. Cho
(2 Assists)
,
J. Clauss
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Boga
(2 Assists)
,
S. Diop
(2 Assists)
P. Aubameyang
(5 Assists)
Nice - Marseille Key Points
- Both teams scored in eight of Nice’s last 10 outings.
- Nice failed to score once in their last five matches.
- Marseille failed to score in one of their last 10 games.
- In four of Marseille’s last six games, both teams scored.
- Nice have kept two clean sheets in their eight home games.
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Our Nice vs Marseille Prediction
Marseille look to keep the pressure on PSG and will surely be going for a win here. They have a concern, though, with their backline finding it hard to keep clean sheets. That is a shortcoming they have addressed with a free-scoring attack.
The visitors haven't prevailed in recent meetings with Nice, and this will be another big test. With Nice’s impressive home run, they will only be worried about their defence line’s porosity. Our prediction for Nice v Marseille is: BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nice Marseille
| Nice vs Marseille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice wins | 3.55 | 3.85 | +8.5% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.85 | +11.6% |
| Marseille wins | 2.02 | 2.04 | +1.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nice is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.2% and is now 26.0% (-2.2%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Nice vs. Marseille game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Nice and Marseille when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Ligue 1!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
