Nantes vs Paris FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Nantes and Paris are set to face off in a Ligue 1 relegation six-pointer this weekend. The Sunday match, hosted by Nantes, finds these two separated by two points, with Paris in 15th spot and Nantes sitting 16th. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Nantes spun a major upset to start their year as they beat Marseille 2-0 away in Ligue 1. However, they couldn’t follow through in their second game, a French Cup tie that ended in defeat on penalties after drawing 1-1 with Nice.
Having only failed to score once in five league matches, Nantes will be confident of bagging three points here. That would see the hosts rise out of the drop zone for at least this match week.
Paris FC will have their own motivations coming into this game. They aren’t just presented with an opportunity to open a gap from the bottom three but also boost their survival chances.
They will look at this match and feel they can go for the kill, coming fresh from defeating PSG in the French Cup. Jonathan Ikone came off the bench in the first half and, with 16 minutes to go, scored the goal that dumped out PSG.
In their two earlier competitive meetings with Nantes, though, Paris lost. The most recent was in October, Nantes winning 2-1.
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Nantes v Paris FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.25 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.1 | 2.87 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.15 | 2.69 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.15 | 2.76 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nantes and Paris FC?
Our prediction for the Nantes vs Paris FC match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/01/2026 between Nantes and Paris FC in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.5% for a win of Nantes against Paris FC with odds of 2.86 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nantes vs Paris FC is 23.02% with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Paris FC vs Nantes with odds of 2.87 at Melbet.
Nantes - Paris FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nantes Paris FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC wins | 47.48% | 2.87 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.28% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Paris FC | 22.39% | 6.5 at LSbet |
Nantes vs Paris FC Form
Nantes and Paris FC's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
44 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -3 |
|
17
|
23 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 |
Nantes and Paris FC Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
12 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
12 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2026 - French Cup
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
Nantes vs Paris FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Oct 2019 - Coupe de la Ligue
Nantes against Paris FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
P. Carlgren
DefenderS. Doucoure
U. Radakovic
MidfielderJ. Lepenant
B. Guirassy
B. Deuff
ForwardD. Broulaye Kone
I. Ganago
A. Camara
O. Nkambadio
DefenderT. De Smet
T. Ollila
MidfielderM. Munetsi
L. Doucet
M. Cafaro
V. Marchetti
J. Lopez
ForwardL. Koleosho
Missing players
C. Awaziem
F. Centonze
ForwardM. Mohamed
S. Alakouch
MidfielderP. Lees-Melou
S. Chergui
ForwardM. Simon
P. Hamel
W. Geubbels
Most goals and assists
Nantes
Paris FC
M. Abline
(6 Goals)
I. Kebbal
(9 Goals)
M. Abline
(3 Assists)
I. Kebbal
(4 Assists)
,
M. Lopez
(4 Assists)
Nantes - Paris FC Key Points
- Three of Paris’ last four matches had over 2.5 goals.
- A total of 20 goals were scored in Nantes’ last five matches.
- 13 goals were netted in Paris FC’s last five matches on the road.
- On average, 3.4 goals were scored in Nantes’s last five home games.
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Our Nantes vs Paris FC Prediction
This will be the third time Paris FC and Nantes face off competitively in their history. The first two meetings between them produced 11 goals, with Nantes prevailing. Going into this game, with both sides fighting for survival, there’s no outright favorite.
This will be one of the exciting battles to follow in Ligue 1 this weekend. End-to-end action is expected here as both seek three crucial points. A high-scoring match is therefore very likely. Our prediction for Nantes v Paris FC is for more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nantes Paris FC
| Nantes vs Paris FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes wins | 3.2 | 2.86 | -10.6% |
| Draw | 3.41 | 3.3 | -3.2% |
| Paris FC wins | 2.44 | 2.87 | +17.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Paris FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.0% and is now 34.8% (-6.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
