New Zealand vs Ireland Prediction & Betting Tips - Nations Championship

Rugby Union - Nations Championship

New Zealand
18/07/2026 03:10
Ireland

Prediction :

 

Ireland +10.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Nations Championship Predictions

Two teams who have won their two opening fixtures in the inaugural Nations Championship meet as World No. 2 New Zealand and third-ranked Ireland lock horns in Round 3 of the competition at Eden Park on Saturday. Who will blink first? Ireland arrive on a six-Test winning streak and have won their last two away Tests on New Zealand soil, hence our prediction favouring the visitors.

New Zealand fought off European champions France’s late rally to escape with a narrow two-point victory in their Nations Championship opener. Will Jordan unseat Doug Howlett to become the team's all-time leading try-scorer after scoring a hat-trick of tries to inspire them to a thumping 47–17 victory over Italy in their second fixture last week. 

The All Blacks will count on the Crusaders fullback’s attacking prowess once again for a clean sweep of their three-match home Tests in the competition. However, they are set for a far more difficult clash against the Irish side. 

Ireland sustained their winning start to the Nations Championship with a comfortable 36–20 victory over Japan last week. The 2026 Six Nations runners-up have now won their opening two fixtures in the competition, both as the away team. 

Overall, Andy Farrell’s men have won each of their last five matches dating back to the 2026 Six Nations and have put together eight wins across their last nine Tests played outside Ireland. They have lost their last three matchups with the All Blacks, but won their previous two meetings between the two sides on New Zealand soil.

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New Zealand v Ireland Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.23 29 4.3
1xbet
1.21 23 4.54
Melbet
1.21 23 4.54
Betwinner
1.21 23 4.54
22bet
1.21 23 4.54
Check all New Zealand vs Ireland odds

New Zealand vs Ireland Form

New Zealand and Ireland Last Matches

New Zealand
New Zealand Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
47 :  17
Italy

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
34 :  32
France

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
26 :  52
New Zealand

15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

England
33 :  19
New Zealand

8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Scotland
17 :  25
New Zealand

1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
13 :  26
New Zealand
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
47 :  17
Italy

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
34 :  32
France

27 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
33 :  24
Australia

13 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
10 :  43
South Africa

6 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
24 :  17
South Africa

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

New Zealand
29 :  19
France
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
26 :  52
New Zealand

15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

England
33 :  19
New Zealand

8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Scotland
17 :  25
New Zealand

1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
13 :  26
New Zealand

4 Oct 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
14 :  28
New Zealand

23 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
29 :  23
New Zealand
Ireland
Ireland Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Japan
20 :  36
Ireland

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Australia
31 :  33
Ireland

14 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
43 :  21
Scotland

6 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
27 :  17
Wales

21 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

England
21 :  42
Ireland

14 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
20 :  13
Italy
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

14 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
43 :  21
Scotland

6 Mar 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
27 :  17
Wales

14 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

Ireland
20 :  13
Italy

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
13 :  24
South Africa

15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
46 :  19
Australia

8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
41 :  10
Japan
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Japan
20 :  36
Ireland

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

Australia
31 :  33
Ireland

21 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

England
21 :  42
Ireland

5 Feb 2026 - Six Nations

France
36 :  14
Ireland

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Portugal
7 :  106
Ireland

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Georgia
5 :  34
Ireland

New Zealand vs Ireland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

New Zealand

67 %

Draw

0 %

Ireland

33 %

1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
13 :  26
New Zealand

8 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Ireland
13 :  23
New Zealand

14 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Ireland
24 :  28
New Zealand

16 Jul 2022 - Test Matches

New Zealand
22 :  32
Ireland

9 Jul 2022 - Test Matches

New Zealand
12 :  23
Ireland

2 Jul 2022 - Test Matches

New Zealand
42 :  19
Ireland
New Zealand vs Ireland Prediction

New Zealand - Ireland Key Points

  1. New Zealand have won their last three meetings with Ireland.
  2. New Zealand have lost both of their previous home Tests against Ireland.
  3. Ireland have won their last six matches.
  4. Ireland have won eight of their last nine Tests played outside Irish soil.
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Our New Zealand vs Ireland Prediction

New Zealand and Ireland put their winning starts to the Nations Championship on the line in this clash. We expect a competitive contest that could go either way, with both sides looking to maintain their perfect run. New Zealand have been tipped as favourites, playing at home against lower-ranked opponents. 

However, Ireland are likely  to pose a significant challenge to the hosts given their impressive start to the competition and strong record in previous trips to face the All Blacks. We back them to win or keep the game close. Our New Zealand vs Ireland prediction: Ireland +10.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Ireland +10.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.