Napoli vs Pisa SC Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Napoli
22/09/2025 14:45
Pisa SC

Prediction :

 

Napoli Win and Under 2.5

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Serie A Predictions

Napoli will put their 100% winning record of the 2025-26 Serie A campaign on the line on matchday four when they host Pisa on Monday. This match at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona between the league-leading Partenopei (nine points) and the 18th-placed Nerazzurri (one point) comes with our prediction of a home win and under 2.5 goals.

Ahead of this round, Napoli lead the standings over Juventus by goal difference. Pisa are one of the six sides yet to win a game after three rounds and are in the bottom three.

A 2-0 away defeat at Manchester City was a humbling experience for Napoli in the Champions League on Thursday. That halted a winning start to the campaign for the defending league champions.

Napoli have won all three of their league matches this year and kept a clean sheet in two of those. The lone exception came in a 3-1 away win over Fiorentina last weekend.

Pisa’s 34-year wait for Serie A action hasn’t gone to plan, although they started with a creditable 1-1 draw at Atalanta on matchday. Consecutive 1-0 defeats since then, including last weekend against Udinese, kept them waiting for their first win.

Both those losses have come at home, and Pisa will hope they can repeat the matchday one heroics again on the road.

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Napoli v Pisa SC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.32 5.4 11
1xbet
1.32 5.46 11
Melbet
1.28 5.45 11
Betwinner
1.29 5.3 10.5
Bet365
1.3 5.25 10
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Pisa SC?

Our prediction for the Napoli vs Pisa SC match is: Napoli win and under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/09/2025 between Napoli and Pisa SC in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.25% for a win of Napoli against Pisa SC with odds of 1.35 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Pisa SC is 26.11% with odds of 5.6 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 16.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Pisa SC vs Napoli with odds of 13 at LSbet.

Napoli - Pisa SC Prediction and Best Odds:

Napoli Pisa SC Prediction Probability Odds
Napoli wins 57.25% 1.35 at Betway
Over 2.5 goals 51.96% 2.01 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 52.38%
Half-time / Full-time : Napoli/Napoli 26.12% 1.95 at Bet365

Napoli vs Pisa SC Form

Napoli and Pisa SC's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Napoli
76 38 23 7 8 +22
20 Pisa SC
18 38 2 12 24 -45

Napoli and Pisa SC Last Matches

Napoli
Napoli Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli

13 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Napoli

30 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Cagliari

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  2
Napoli

14 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
2 :  1
Olympiacos

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
4 :  0
ASD Sorrento 1945
L D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Cagliari

14 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
2 :  1
Olympiacos

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
4 :  0
ASD Sorrento 1945

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
3 :  2
Girona

4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
1 :  1
Casertana

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Napoli
1 :  2
Brest
W W D W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

18 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Napoli

13 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  3
Napoli

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  2
Napoli

18 May 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Napoli

3 May 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Napoli

19 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Monza
0 :  1
Napoli
Pisa SC
Pisa SC Last matches
L D D D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Udinese

30 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Roma

24 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Pisa SC

17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

Cesena
0 :  0
Pisa SC

8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
2 :  2
Pisa SC

5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
Pisa SC
D W W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Udinese

30 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Roma

27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Pisa SC
1 :  0
Pro Vercelli 1892

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Pisa SC
5 :  0
AC Bra

13 May 2025 - Serie B

Pisa SC
2 :  1
Cremonese

9 May 2025 - Serie B

Pisa SC
3 :  3
FC Sudtirol Bolzano
L W L D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Pisa SC

17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

Cesena
0 :  0
Pisa SC

8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
2 :  2
Pisa SC

5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayer Leverkusen
3 :  0
Pisa SC

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Empoli
2 :  3
Pisa SC

4 May 2025 - Serie B

Bari
1 :  0
Pisa SC
Napoli vs Pisa SC Prediction

Napoli against Pisa SC Lineups: Starting 11

Napoli

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

1
A. Meret
22
G. Di Lorenzo
31
S. Beukema
4
A. Buongiorno
37
L. Spinazzola
6
B. Gilmour
21
M. Politano
20
E. Elmas
11
K. De Bruyne
8
S. McTominay
19
R. Hojlund
8
M. Nzola
32
S. Moreo
94
G. Bonfanti
6
M. Marin
20
M. Aebischer
14
E. Akinsanmiro
7
M. Leris
47
M. Lusuardi
4
A. Caracciolo
5
S. Canestrelli
1
A. Semper

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Pisa SC

Substitutes

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

M. Ferrante

V. Milinkovic-Savic

Defender

M. Olivera

M. Gutierrez

A. Rrahmani

J. Jesus

A. Buongiorno 81'

L. Marianucci

Midfielder

A. Vergara

F. Anguissa

E. Elmas 58'

S. Lobotka

B. Gilmour 58'

Forward

G. Ambrosino

D. Neres

N. Lang

L. Lucca

R. Hojlund 78'

Pisa SC
Pisa SC
Goalkeeper

S. Scuffet

Nicolas

Defender

R. Albiol

T. Esteves

S. Angori

G. Bonfanti 75'

A. Calabresi

J. Cuadrado

M. Leris 61'

Midfielder

M. Tramoni

M. Nzola 75'

M. Hojholt

I. Vural

Forward

G. Piccinini

H. Meister

S. Moreo 61'

Lorran

M. Marin 80'

Missing players

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

N. Contini

Forward

R. Lukaku

Pisa SC
Pisa SC
Defender

F. Coppola

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Napoli
CD Huachipato Pisa SC
Top Goalscorer
Denmark R. Hojlund (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy S. Moreo (7 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Giovane (6 Assists)
Best assists
Algeria M. Leris (3 Assists)
France M. Tramoni (3 Assists)

Napoli - Pisa SC Key Points

  1. Napoli won their last four Serie A matches, three witnessing under 2.5 goals.
  2. At home, Napoli won six of their last seven league matches, four coming by a clean sheet.
  3. Seven of Napoli’s last nine Serie A games produced two or fewer goals.
  4. Three of Napoli’s four competitive matches this season saw fewer than three goals.
  5. Pisa conceded exactly one goal in each of their three league games this season.
  6. Pisa failed to score in their last two Serie A matches.
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Our Napoli vs Pisa SC Prediction

Pisa haven’t excited their fans this season yet, scoring only one league goal. They have managed to keep it tight defensively, though, conceding exactly once in each of their three games. Napoli won’t mind keeping the goals to a minimum as they chase another win with a clean sheet. That has been the case in seven of their last eight Serie A wins, with the lone exception coming last weekend.

This match could keep the goals to a minimum, and our Napoli vs Pisa SC prediction is Napoli win and under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Napoli Win and Under 2.5

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Pisa SC

Napoli vs Pisa SC Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Napoli wins 1.2 1.35 +12.5%
Draw 6 5.6 -6.7%
Pisa SC wins 12 13 +8.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Napoli is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 12.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 74.1% (-9.3%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.