Napoli vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Top four hopefuls, Napoli and Roma, meet this weekend as the Italian Serie A enters Matchday 25. Napoli, who host the latest version of the Derby del Sole, are third in the standings and are just three points ahead of their fifth-placed visitors. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Napoli are in danger of being left by the wayside in their title defence. Gli Azzurri have accumulated 49 points, and recent inconsistency has led them to drop to nine points off the pace.
They saw their Coppa campaign come to an end in midweek as they lost 2-1 to Como in the quarter-finals. It was their third loss in the last five games and snapped a run of back-to-back league wins.
Roma have struggled against Napoli in the recent past. They have won just once in the last 12 meetings with their soon-to-be hosts.
Winless in the last four encounters with Napoli, the Giallorossi lost at home in the reverse match by a solitary goal. As the capital club arrives for this latest duel in better form than Napoli, they will feel this is the opportune time to get one on their rivals.
Gian Piero Gasperini’s men are coming off a 2-0 win at home over Cagliari, their 15th in the league, strengthening their hold on fifth spot. Roma are tied on 46 points with fourth-placed Juventus.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Napoli v Roma Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 2.9 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.46 | 2.84 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.41 | 2.82 | 3.52 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.8 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.48 | 2.76 | 3.35 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Roma?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Roma match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2026 between Napoli and Roma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.23% for a win of Napoli against Roma with odds of 2.57 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Roma is 42.21% with odds of 2.9 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Napoli with odds of 3.61 at 888Starz.
Napoli - Roma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Napoli Roma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 42.21% | 2.9 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 66.48% | 1.8 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time : Napoli / Full-time : Roma | 15.94% | 15 at Bet365 |
Napoli vs Roma Form
Napoli and Roma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
76 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | +22 |
|
3
|
73 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 |
Napoli and Roma Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Serie A
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
28 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2 Feb 2026 - Serie A
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
13 Jan 2026 - Coppa Italia
10 Jan 2026 - Serie A
29 Dec 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2026 - Serie A
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
6 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
Napoli vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
28 Apr 2024 - Serie A
23 Dec 2023 - Serie A
29 Jan 2023 - Serie A
Napoli against Roma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
N. Contini
A. Meret
DefenderM. Olivera
P. Mazzocchi
B. Gilmour
A. Santos
Giovane
R. Lukaku
G. De Marzi
P. Gollini
DefenderD. Rensch
J. Ziolkowski
K. Tsimikas
Angelino
MidfielderM. Della Rocca
N. El Aynaoui
M. Soule
R. Vaz
L. Venturino
Missing players
G. Di Lorenzo
MidfielderF. Anguissa
M. Hermoso
MidfielderM. Kone
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Roma
R. Hojlund
(12 Goals)
D. Malen
(14 Goals)
Giovane
(6 Assists)
P. Dybala
(7 Assists)
Napoli - Roma Key Points
- Roma's Serie A matches are averaging 1.79 goals.
- Roma have conceded 14 league goals in 24 outings.
- Roma and Napoli have kept a combined 18 clean sheets in the league.
- Eight of the last 10 meetings between Roma and Napoli have seen under 2.5 goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Napoli vs Roma Prediction
This fixture has, in recent matchups, posted low-scoring outcomes. No team has scored more than once in the last three meetings, and there is a strong possibility this will be replicated on Sunday.
Roma have conceded the least tally of goals in the league, and goalkeeper Mile Svilar has kept 11 clean sheets. They will most likely frustrate a depleted Napoli side that could miss up to seven players in this clash. Our prediction for Napoli v Roma is for less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Roma
| Napoli vs Roma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 2.27 | 2.57 | +13.2% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 2.9 | -4.9% |
| Roma wins | 3.55 | 3.61 | +1.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.8% and is now 34.5% (1.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Napoli vs. Roma game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Napoli and Roma? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
