Italy - Serie A
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by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions
Napoli could take another step closer to winning a second Serie A title in the last three seasons when they host Genoa in a Matchday 36 fixture on Sunday. This match at Diego Armando Maradona Stadium between leaders Partenopei and the 13th-placed comes with our prediction of a Napoli win with a clean sheet.
With three rounds to go, Napoli’s 77 points put them three points ahead of nearest challengers Inter Milan. Genoa’s 39 points put them six points outside the top ten and perhaps very little left in the campaign.
A 1-0 away win at Lecce last weekend extended Napoli’s unbeaten league run to nine matches (W6, D3). That included winning the last four with a clean sheet, and Napoli have the league’s best defensive record of the season.
Playing at home is an added advantage, as Napoli are unbeaten in their last nine league matches here (W7, D2). That included four wins along with a clean sheet.
Genoa lost 2-1 at home to AC Milan last Monday, making it a fourth consecutive winless fixture (D1, L3). Worryingly enough, they lost three in a row, including two without scoring.
Improving their away form will be a challenge as Genoa haven’t won in their last nine league trips (D4, L5). That included failures to score in four of their last five away league games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Genoa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.27 | 5.25 | 11 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.6 | 11 |
|
|
1.57 | 2.87 | 8 |
|
|
1.28 | 5 | 11 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.1 | 11.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Genoa?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Genoa match is: Napoli wins to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/05/2025 between Napoli and Genoa in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.98% for a win of Napoli against Genoa with odds of 1.57 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Genoa is 34.68% with odds of 5.47 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 3.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs Napoli with odds of 13.4 at 1xbet.
Napoli vs Genoa Form
Napoli and Genoa's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
77 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 30 |
|
13
|
39 | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | -13 |
Napoli and Genoa Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
19 Apr 2025 - Serie A
14 Apr 2025 - Serie A
7 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
14 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Serie A
19 Apr 2025 - Serie A
7 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
4 Apr 2025 - Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
4 Apr 2025 - Serie A
14 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
17 Feb 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
7 Mar 2025 - Serie A
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
8 Feb 2025 - Serie A
Napoli vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Dec 2024 - Serie A
17 Feb 2024 - Serie A
16 Sep 2023 - Serie A
15 May 2022 - Serie A
29 Aug 2021 - Serie A
6 Feb 2021 - Serie A
Napoli vs Genoa last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
J. Jesus
A. Buongiorno
MidfielderS. Lobotka
ForwardD. Neres
A. Matturro
MidfielderH. Cuenca
R. Malinovskyi
F. Miretti
J. Onana
M. Cornet
M. Thorsby
ForwardC. Ekuban
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Genoa
R. Lukaku
(12 Goals)
A. Pinamonti
(8 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(10 Assists)
A. Martin
(5 Assists)
Napoli and Genoa Stats in Serie A
Napoli - Genoa Key Points
- Napoli won their last four matches without conceding a goal.
- Napoli won seven of their last nine home league matches.
- At home, Napoli won their last two league fixtures without conceding.
- Genoa failed to score in four of their last six Serie A matches.
- Genoa didn’t score in four of their last five away league games, losing three of those.
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Our Napoli vs Genoa Prediction
It’s Napoli’s title to lose as they lead the league by three points with three matches to go. With all three of their remaining matches against teams in the lower half of the table, they couldn’t have asked for a better schedule. Recent form also augurs well, as the leaders have been consistently winning games, most of those backed by defensive excellence. Genoa have very little left to play in the season, and their recent form has declined over the weeks. Our Napoli vs Genoa prediction is Napoli wins to nil.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Napoli vs. Genoa game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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