Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA US Open

WTA - WTA US Open

WTA 13 Japan
Naomi Osaka
05/09/2026 19:00
WTA 20 Belgium
Elise Mertens

Prediction :

 

Match end in two sets

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Tennis Predictions

World No. 13 Naomi Osaka battles Elise Mertens, ranked 20th in the world, in the US Open third round tonight at Louis Armstrong Stadium. Each of the last eight meetings between the two players has been decided in straight sets, leading us to go for another two-set contest between the pair. 

Naomi Osaka saw her first-round clash against Anastasia Zakharova stretched to the brink before she scraped through with a straight-set victory. She then overcame World No. 42 Katerina Siniakova in three sets, winning 6–2, 5–7, 6–1 to advance to this round. 

The former World No. 1 has seen five of her last seven matches decided in straight sets. She won both of her previous meetings with Elise Mertens this year without dropping a set, extending their streak of straight-set encounters to eight. 

Elise Mertens kicked off her US Open campaign with a 2–0 victory over Spain's Kaitlin Quevedo before dispatching 86th-ranked Maria Timofeeva 6–2, 7–6(7–5) in the second round on Thursday. Thursday's result means 16 of the Belgian’s last 23 outings have been decided after two sets. 

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Naomi Osaka v Elise Mertens Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.31 3.3
1xbet
1.34 3.39
Melbet
1.33 3.34
Betwinner
1.33 3.34
22bet
1.33 3.34
Check all Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens odds

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Who will win the Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens match is: Match to end in two sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens game on 05/09/2026 of the current WTA US Open season:

  • Naomi Osaka has a 65.38% chance to win against Elise Mertens according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.34.
  • Elise Mertens has a 34.62% probability of winning facing Naomi Osaka ⭐ with odds of 3.5 at Betway.

Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Naomi Osaka has a 65.38 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Naomi Osaka65.38 %
Elise Mertens34.62 %

Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Form

Naomi Osaka and Elise Mertens Last Matches

Naomi Osaka Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

3 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  1
Katerina Siniakova

31 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  0
Anastasia Zakharova

11 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Naomi Osaka
1 :  2
Elena Rybakina

9 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Leylah Fernandez
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka

7 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Elise Mertens
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka

5 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Panna Udvardy
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka
Elise Mertens Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

3 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Maria Timofeeva
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

1 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open

Kaitlin Quevedo
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

29 Aug 2026 - WTA Monterrey Open

Diane Parry
2 :  1
Elise Mertens

28 Aug 2026 - WTA Monterrey Open

Nikola Bartunkova
1 :  2
Elise Mertens

27 Aug 2026 - WTA Monterrey Open

Yuliia Starodubtseva
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

26 Aug 2026 - WTA Monterrey Open

Panna Udvardy
1 :  2
Elise Mertens

Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Naomi Osaka

75 %

Elise Mertens

25 %

7 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Elise Mertens
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka

23 Jun 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  0
Elise Mertens

8 Aug 2024 - WTA National Bank Open

Naomi Osaka
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

11 Jun 2024 - WTA Libema Open

Elise Mertens
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka
Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Prediction

Naomi Osaka - Elise Mertens Key Points

  1. Five of Naomi Osaka’s last seven matches have been decided in two sets.
  2. All eight of Naomi Osaka’s last meetings with Elise Mertens have ended in straight-sets.
  3. Both of Elise Mertens’ matches in the US Open have ended in straight sets.
  4. Sixteen of Elise Mertens’ last 23 matches have been decided in two sets.
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Our Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens Prediction

Naomi Osaka heads into this clash as the favourite, having won her previous two meetings with Elise Mertens this year. Meanwhile, Mertens will be out to continue her strong run in the competition after back-to-back straight-set victories.

While we expect a thrilling contest, recent trends suggest this clash is unlikely to go beyond two sets. Each of their last eight encounters has all been decided in two sets, making the two-set bet a reliable pick. Our Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens prediction: Match to end in two sets.

Prediction :

 

Match end in two sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.